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2018 Win probability from Reddit
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numbersdontlie Offline
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Post: #1
2018 Win probability from Reddit
Updated after week 10. We have a shot at a 10 win seaso.
[Image: northern%20illinois%20-%20sp%2B%20-%20red-green.png]

sauce:
[url]
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/EvRoHa...-green.png[/url]
(This post was last modified: 11-11-2018 10:21 PM by numbersdontlie.)
08-06-2018 09:09 PM
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PrideinthePack2 Offline
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Post: #2
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Looks like 6-6 is the most likely record. Just win the damn conference.
08-07-2018 11:48 AM
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DogTracks Offline
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Post: #3
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
I think this definitely fits most people's expectations for the season.
08-07-2018 12:24 PM
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Dog Fan Offline
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Post: #4
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
I love how they give us an 80% win probability for CMU. Um, have they watched Huskie football over the last several years? No way.
08-07-2018 12:31 PM
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IWokeUpLikeThis Offline
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Post: #5
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
NIU’s most likely win is CMU with only Akron (8%) and Ball St (9%) within striking distance.

Pseudo-statisticians, lol.
08-07-2018 03:19 PM
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randyfensfanclub1 Offline
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Post: #6
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
This is a great chart for stat/probability nerds like myself.

I do find the 20% chance of winning at FSU kind of odd. Namely since it's the same probablity that CMU beats NIU.

Also interesting is the probablity of NIU having 2 wins or less in the 1st 4 is 85% but yet the probablity of starting 3-1 or 4-0 is twice that of starting 0-4.(15.2% vs. 7.5%).

ECON 363 all over when we figured out the probability of Red/A's W.S. giving the A's a 55% chance of winnning the series. Glad I didn't bet it like another NIU alum turned Chicago area sports media celeb.03-lmfao
08-09-2018 12:31 PM
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thehappyhuskie Offline
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Post: #7
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
[Image: raw]
08-10-2018 10:43 AM
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numbersdontlie Offline
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RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Updated. See 1st post
09-30-2018 08:01 PM
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numbersdontlie Offline
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RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Updated. See 1st post
10-15-2018 10:03 AM
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Lord Stanley Offline
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Post: #10
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
43% W % for BYU?

I'll take those odds, damn.
10-15-2018 10:06 AM
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numbersdontlie Offline
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RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Updated
11-04-2018 10:18 PM
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17Huskies Offline
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Post: #12
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Man...toss-ups the rest of the year, going to be exciting.
11-05-2018 12:14 AM
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numbersdontlie Offline
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Post: #13
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Don't look now but we have a shot at 10 win season
11-11-2018 10:22 PM
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HuskieJoe Offline
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Post: #14
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
(11-11-2018 10:22 PM)numbersdontlie Wrote:  Don't look now but we have a shot at 10 win season

or 11
11-11-2018 10:37 PM
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MaddDawgz02 Offline
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RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!
11-11-2018 10:38 PM
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HuskiePride12 Offline
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RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?
11-12-2018 01:14 PM
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NIU007 Offline
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Post: #17
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
(11-12-2018 01:14 PM)HuskiePride12 Wrote:  
(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?

Yea, but injuries can happen, especially at QB. Ball State's QB is out (at least I think he's still out), EMU's QB Glass is out, Toledo's Guadagni is out and WMU's Wassink is out. Akron's QB is out also. It's a perilous position to play, apparently.
11-12-2018 01:55 PM
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7 Offline
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Post: #18
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
(11-12-2018 01:55 PM)NIU007 Wrote:  
(11-12-2018 01:14 PM)HuskiePride12 Wrote:  
(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?

Yea, but injuries can happen, especially at QB. Ball State's QB is out (at least I think he's still out), EMU's QB Glass is out, Toledo's Guadagni is out and WMU's Wassink is out. Akron's QB is out also. It's a perilous position to play, apparently.

I don’t think Childers is exactly irreplaceable....lol
11-12-2018 02:11 PM
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East Side Bleachers Offline
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Post: #19
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
I don’t think Childers is exactly irreplaceable....lol
[/quote]

Comedy aside and like it or not, but at this point of the season, Childers IS irreplaceable.
11-12-2018 02:33 PM
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NIU007 Offline
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Post: #20
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
(11-12-2018 02:11 PM)7 Wrote:  
(11-12-2018 01:55 PM)NIU007 Wrote:  
(11-12-2018 01:14 PM)HuskiePride12 Wrote:  
(11-11-2018 10:38 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  Really need to get as many people as possible to Wednesday's game. If you have a situation where it is inconvenient, but you can make it Wednesday, make it happen! Who knows when the next opportunity for a MAC championship appearance will happen again. Show up for this one!

You do realize we have almost everyone back next year right?

Yea, but injuries can happen, especially at QB. Ball State's QB is out (at least I think he's still out), EMU's QB Glass is out, Toledo's Guadagni is out and WMU's Wassink is out. Akron's QB is out also. It's a perilous position to play, apparently.

I don’t think Childers is exactly irreplaceable....lol

Considering we haven't seen Thompson except for a couple plays, we would have to assume there's a dropoff (?). And it wouldn't take much.
11-12-2018 04:16 PM
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