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2018 Win probability from Reddit
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numbersdontlie Offline
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Post: #1
2018 Win probability from Reddit
Updated after 6 games [Image: northern%20illinois%20-%20sp%2B%20-%20red-green.png]

sauce:
[url]
https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/9k...it-android[/url]
(This post was last modified: 10-15-2018 10:03 AM by numbersdontlie.)
08-06-2018 09:09 PM
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PrideinthePack2 Offline
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Post: #2
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Looks like 6-6 is the most likely record. Just win the damn conference.
08-07-2018 11:48 AM
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DogTracks Offline
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Post: #3
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
I think this definitely fits most people's expectations for the season.
08-07-2018 12:24 PM
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Dog Fan Offline
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Post: #4
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
I love how they give us an 80% win probability for CMU. Um, have they watched Huskie football over the last several years? No way.
08-07-2018 12:31 PM
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IWokeUpLikeThis Offline
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Post: #5
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
NIU’s most likely win is CMU with only Akron (8%) and Ball St (9%) within striking distance.

Pseudo-statisticians, lol.
08-07-2018 03:19 PM
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randyfensfanclub1 Offline
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Post: #6
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
This is a great chart for stat/probability nerds like myself.

I do find the 20% chance of winning at FSU kind of odd. Namely since it's the same probablity that CMU beats NIU.

Also interesting is the probablity of NIU having 2 wins or less in the 1st 4 is 85% but yet the probablity of starting 3-1 or 4-0 is twice that of starting 0-4.(15.2% vs. 7.5%).

ECON 363 all over when we figured out the probability of Red/A's W.S. giving the A's a 55% chance of winnning the series. Glad I didn't bet it like another NIU alum turned Chicago area sports media celeb.03-lmfao
08-09-2018 12:31 PM
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thehappyhuskie Offline
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Post: #7
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
[Image: raw]
08-10-2018 10:43 AM
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numbersdontlie Offline
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Post: #8
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Updated. See 1st post
09-30-2018 08:01 PM
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numbersdontlie Offline
Livin in a van down by the river.
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Post: #9
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
Updated. See 1st post
10-15-2018 10:03 AM
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Lord Stanley Offline
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Post: #10
RE: 2018 Win probability from Reddit
43% W % for BYU?

I'll take those odds, damn.
10-15-2018 10:06 AM
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