(05-30-2018 09:57 AM)bigCasu_ Wrote: (05-30-2018 08:10 AM)High Country Student Wrote: I'd say 7-5 is realistic for us this year. Could swing a game either way but 7-5 is the most realistic number I keep coming back to for us.
I am not looking forward to what will happen online if App goes 7-5 this season. Plus, I don't think that's happening either. 8-4 should be the floor, 11-1 the ceiling.
Here is how I break it down:
Penn State we have a very low chance of winning. Prove me wrong Neers but for now I call it an L.
Three toss up games on the schedule. Troy, StAte, and Southern Miss. I include Southern Miss in this mainly because of the fact that they are a quality team that we are playing early in the year as we break in a new QB. I say we go 1-2 or 2-1 with these three games. My personal opinion is 1-2 because two of them are early on in the schedule.
The next tier I define as teams we should beat but they're capable of pulling the upset. I include South, UL, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, and Coastal in here. I personally believe we will drop one if not two of these. Mainly because I'm being cautious until we know for sure how we will click at QB. I'll be optimistic and say we go 4-1.
Finally the "should be definite" wins for us are Gardner Webb, UNCC, and Texas State.
With that said, I'll move us to 8-4. Ceiling at 10-2 this year in my opinion. I put the floor at 6-6. That would include losses to Penn State, Southern Miss, Troy, StAte, and two losses from the tier I mentioned that included South, UL, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, and Coastal.