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The probability of UAB making the quarterfinals is 79.6%. That's higher than anyone that doesn't have a bye.

The probability UAB makes the semi's is 29.6%. That's 5th. Everyone with a bye is at least 68%

The probability UAB makes the final game is 13.1%
The probability UAB wins it all is 5.4%.

Winning it all is MT at 42.3%
ODU 21.3%
WKU 19.6%
Marshall 7.6%
UAB 5.4%

The rest are 1.3% or lower.

UAB got a good draw despite not being a top 4
We can replay Western Kentucky , I know that we draw with them but they wont get 20 more FT then UAB in texas :)

Marshall can be MT for a third time :)
bUT WE need to beat the FL team :)

I’d like revenge against ODU in the semis—we really blew that one.