Stickboy46
Heisman
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 12:22 PM)AirRaid Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:12 PM)pesik Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:47 AM)AndShock Wrote: Finding a way to dodge ECU or USF is important to avoid a 10 spot RPI tank. I know the committee doesn’t really compare RPIs but being in the top 40 would be a nice feather in the cap.
almost impossible at this point if you think temple beats uconn and tulsa
ecu in the first round almost guaranteed
Need ECU to beat Tulsa. Unlikely as it is, if that happens Temple sneaks into the 5th seed. That is also the easiest path to 20 wins.
I was about to comment that Tulsa moving to Top 75 would help WSU, Cincy and Houston (adding a Q1 win), but just realized that Cincy and Houston only played Tulsa once, both at home. Such odd scheduling.
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02-28-2018 12:34 PM |
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2bumsabroad
2nd String
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:18 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Temple needs 20 wins if they want an at large. I think that will do it, but anything less and I think they are out.
Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
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02-28-2018 12:47 PM |
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fishpro1098
All American
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RE: Bubble Watch
Temple is completely capable of sh!tting the bed and losing the next two.
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02-28-2018 12:59 PM |
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stever20
Legend
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:18 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Temple needs 20 wins if they want an at large. I think that will do it, but anything less and I think they are out.
Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
Nope. 19-13(would mean wins over UConn, Tulsa this week, and ECU(they're almost locked into the 6 seed) followed by a loss to Houston) and they are 19-13 with a 39 RPI. 15 SOS. That's extremely bubbly. could go either way. now beating Houston- and they're in.
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02-28-2018 01:37 PM |
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2bumsabroad
2nd String
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 01:37 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:18 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Temple needs 20 wins if they want an at large. I think that will do it, but anything less and I think they are out.
Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
Nope. 19-13(would mean wins over UConn, Tulsa this week, and ECU(they're almost locked into the 6 seed) followed by a loss to Houston) and they are 19-13 with a 39 RPI. 15 SOS. That's extremely bubbly. could go either way. now beating Houston- and they're in.
Can I ask how you determined that? I just used live RPI's forecast and at 19 wins it says and RPI of 33.9 and an SOS of 13, but maybe I did it wrong. Stinks for Temple they can't avoid us hah
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02-28-2018 01:46 PM |
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stever20
Legend
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 01:46 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 01:37 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
Nope. 19-13(would mean wins over UConn, Tulsa this week, and ECU(they're almost locked into the 6 seed) followed by a loss to Houston) and they are 19-13 with a 39 RPI. 15 SOS. That's extremely bubbly. could go either way. now beating Houston- and they're in.
Can I ask how you determined that? I just used live RPI's forecast and at 19 wins it says and RPI of 33.9 and an SOS of 13, but maybe I did it wrong. Stinks for Temple they can't avoid us hah
I used RPI Forecasts Wizard. It conceptually makes sense as 18-12 regular season would be 33.9. But then you add RPI bomb ECU and then a loss vs Houston. It makes sense that the RPI would drop about 5 spots.
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02-28-2018 01:54 PM |
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ArmoredUpKnight
Heisman
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RE: Bubble Watch
I miss Taco
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02-28-2018 02:02 PM |
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TU4ever
All American
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:18 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Temple needs 20 wins if they want an at large. I think that will do it, but anything less and I think they are out.
Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
This although who they play matters to change that RPI they can't really sink below low 40s at 18 wins. 19 is upper 30s/low 40s. Either puts them safely under the 45 number.
The losses hurt, but not as much as the good wins help. While win loss record comes up the committee usually talks about total number of good wins.
18 and Temple is in by all historical standards.
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02-28-2018 02:05 PM |
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2bumsabroad
2nd String
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 01:54 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 01:46 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 01:37 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
Nope. 19-13(would mean wins over UConn, Tulsa this week, and ECU(they're almost locked into the 6 seed) followed by a loss to Houston) and they are 19-13 with a 39 RPI. 15 SOS. That's extremely bubbly. could go either way. now beating Houston- and they're in.
Can I ask how you determined that? I just used live RPI's forecast and at 19 wins it says and RPI of 33.9 and an SOS of 13, but maybe I did it wrong. Stinks for Temple they can't avoid us hah
I used RPI Forecasts Wizard. It conceptually makes sense as 18-12 regular season would be 33.9. But then you add RPI bomb ECU and then a loss vs Houston. It makes sense that the RPI would drop about 5 spots.
Okay, you're correct. That's a really cool site. If I could figure out how to give you rep, I would
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02-28-2018 02:14 PM |
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Huskypride
New Kid on the Block
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 02:14 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 01:54 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 01:46 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 01:37 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
Nope. 19-13(would mean wins over UConn, Tulsa this week, and ECU(they're almost locked into the 6 seed) followed by a loss to Houston) and they are 19-13 with a 39 RPI. 15 SOS. That's extremely bubbly. could go either way. now beating Houston- and they're in.
Can I ask how you determined that? I just used live RPI's forecast and at 19 wins it says and RPI of 33.9 and an SOS of 13, but maybe I did it wrong. Stinks for Temple they can't avoid us hah
I used RPI Forecasts Wizard. It conceptually makes sense as 18-12 regular season would be 33.9. But then you add RPI bomb ECU and then a loss vs Houston. It makes sense that the RPI would drop about 5 spots.
Okay, you're correct. That's a really cool site. If I could figure out how to give you rep, I would
you need 500 posts to be able to give rep points.
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02-28-2018 02:15 PM |
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stever20
Legend
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 02:05 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:18 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Temple needs 20 wins if they want an at large. I think that will do it, but anything less and I think they are out.
Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
This although who they play matters to change that RPI they can't really sink below low 40s at 18 wins. 19 is upper 30s/low 40s. Either puts them safely under the 45 number.
The losses hurt, but not as much as the good wins help. While win loss record comes up the committee usually talks about total number of good wins.
18 and Temple is in by all historical standards.
looks like 18-13 with 2 wins this week, losing next week to ECU rd 1 puts Temple at 18-13 with a 41 RPI.
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02-28-2018 02:24 PM |
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TU4ever
All American
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 02:24 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:05 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
This although who they play matters to change that RPI they can't really sink below low 40s at 18 wins. 19 is upper 30s/low 40s. Either puts them safely under the 45 number.
The losses hurt, but not as much as the good wins help. While win loss record comes up the committee usually talks about total number of good wins.
18 and Temple is in by all historical standards.
looks like 18-13 with 2 wins this week, losing next week to ECU rd 1 puts Temple at 18-13 with a 41 RPI.
Flip it 1-1 with an ECU win and Houston loss and the numbers are almost identical. Losing to ECU is the worst outcome numbers wise.
Historically speaking Temple is a real threat for the 4th bid. In comparison to other teams with similar numbers Temple is near the top. Barring a ton of upsets Temple should be in.
Unfortunately this all hinges on them winning two more games which could easily happen or they could have no chance at, Temple is that bi-polar
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02-28-2018 02:33 PM |
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2bumsabroad
2nd String
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Location: Conshohoken,PA
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 02:24 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:05 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
This although who they play matters to change that RPI they can't really sink below low 40s at 18 wins. 19 is upper 30s/low 40s. Either puts them safely under the 45 number.
The losses hurt, but not as much as the good wins help. While win loss record comes up the committee usually talks about total number of good wins.
18 and Temple is in by all historical standards.
looks like 18-13 with 2 wins this week, losing next week to ECU rd 1 puts Temple at 18-13 with a 41 RPI.
The biggest knock against temple is their crappy losses. No way can they take another, especially from ECU and make it in my opinion. Even with a 41 RPI. I think if they win the next 3 and they have an extremely high chance of being in. If you look at the matchups, lots of bubble teams are going to lose through sunday.
It starts today with
Providence and Nova.
Syracuse is a dog versus BC
Florida St is a dog to Clemson
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02-28-2018 02:48 PM |
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Nevadanatural
1st String
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RE: Bubble Watch
Temple barely escaped with a win against Tulsa at home. If Taplin is healthy I feel really good about a Tulsa win in Tulsa.
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02-28-2018 02:49 PM |
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stxrunner
All American
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 01:37 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:23 AM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:18 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Temple needs 20 wins if they want an at large. I think that will do it, but anything less and I think they are out.
Not even close to what the numbers say.
18 solid bubble
19 in 10 seed
20 in 7-9 seed
Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
Nope. 19-13(would mean wins over UConn, Tulsa this week, and ECU(they're almost locked into the 6 seed) followed by a loss to Houston) and they are 19-13 with a 39 RPI. 15 SOS. That's extremely bubbly. could go either way. now beating Houston- and they're in.
Exactly what I'm saying. It's possible things shake out around them right to get in with 19 wins, but unless things really break their way, they are going to need 20 wins whether it's the final 2 reg season and 2 tourney, or 1 reg season and 3 tourney.
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02-28-2018 02:54 PM |
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Stickboy46
Heisman
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 02:49 PM)Nevadanatural Wrote: Temple barely escaped with a win against Tulsa at home. If Taplin is healthy I feel really good about a Tulsa win in Tulsa.
Depends on which Temple shows up. The good Temple handles Tulsa easily.
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02-28-2018 03:00 PM |
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TU4ever
All American
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 02:48 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:24 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:05 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 11:45 AM)stxrunner Wrote: Not a chance. Maybe they get a look at 19, but they don't get in without 20.
I know you are fixated on their RPI and their solid Q1/Q2 record, but those 4 quadrant 3 losses are going to absolutely kill them. Other bubble teams don't have anything close to that.
You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
This although who they play matters to change that RPI they can't really sink below low 40s at 18 wins. 19 is upper 30s/low 40s. Either puts them safely under the 45 number.
The losses hurt, but not as much as the good wins help. While win loss record comes up the committee usually talks about total number of good wins.
18 and Temple is in by all historical standards.
looks like 18-13 with 2 wins this week, losing next week to ECU rd 1 puts Temple at 18-13 with a 41 RPI.
The biggest knock against temple is their crappy losses. No way can they take another, especially from ECU and make it in my opinion. Even with a 41 RPI. I think if they win the next 3 and they have an extremely high chance of being in. If you look at the matchups, lots of bubble teams are going to lose through sunday.
It starts today with
Providence and Nova.
Syracuse is a dog versus BC
Florida St is a dog to Clemson
A loss to ECU will put them on the edge, by far the scariest scenario for Temple at 18 wins.
They'll be safely in with 18 wins and avoiding that loss to ecu. My guess is they beat UConn, lose to Tulsa, beat ECU or Tulane and then lose to Houston/WSU 18-13 and a bid.
We get four in unless UCF/Tulsa/SMU/Memphis go on a run and win the title. I don't think USF, Tulane, or ECU have the horses to pull it off. Cincy, wsu, and Houston are so good though I think one of them will win out. If Temple loses to the tourny winner it will pull their RPI up a few spots more.
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02-28-2018 03:01 PM |
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2bumsabroad
2nd String
Posts: 269
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Location: Conshohoken,PA
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 03:01 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:48 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:24 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:05 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
This although who they play matters to change that RPI they can't really sink below low 40s at 18 wins. 19 is upper 30s/low 40s. Either puts them safely under the 45 number.
The losses hurt, but not as much as the good wins help. While win loss record comes up the committee usually talks about total number of good wins.
18 and Temple is in by all historical standards.
looks like 18-13 with 2 wins this week, losing next week to ECU rd 1 puts Temple at 18-13 with a 41 RPI.
The biggest knock against temple is their crappy losses. No way can they take another, especially from ECU and make it in my opinion. Even with a 41 RPI. I think if they win the next 3 and they have an extremely high chance of being in. If you look at the matchups, lots of bubble teams are going to lose through sunday.
It starts today with
Providence and Nova.
Syracuse is a dog versus BC
Florida St is a dog to Clemson
A loss to ECU will put them on the edge, by far the scariest scenario for Temple at 18 wins.
They'll be safely in with 18 wins and avoiding that loss to ecu. My guess is they beat UConn, lose to Tulsa, beat ECU or Tulane and then lose to Houston/WSU 18-13 and a bid.
We get four in unless UCF/Tulsa/SMU/Memphis go on a run and win the title. I don't think USF, Tulane, or ECU have the horses to pull it off. Cincy, wsu, and Houston are so good though I think one of them will win out. If Temple loses to the tourny winner it will pull their RPI up a few spots more.
I don't see it but I hope you're right. Go temple
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02-28-2018 03:09 PM |
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Huskypride
New Kid on the Block
Posts: 2,575
Joined: Mar 2017
Reputation: 154
I Root For: Competitive FB
Location: Worcester
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RE: Bubble Watch
(02-28-2018 03:01 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:48 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:24 PM)stever20 Wrote: (02-28-2018 02:05 PM)TU4ever Wrote: (02-28-2018 12:47 PM)2bumsabroad Wrote: You're wrong.
I think 19 is the mark. With 19 wins they're projected to be 33 or 34 RPI with a 13 SOS. That would be the greatest snuff in the 68 team era. The highest rpi "big" conference team ever left out was 40 and this was pre 68 teams. In the 68 team era, its 48. The highest RPI team ever left out in the 68 NCAA tourney was CSU at 29 with a whopping 107 sos, .
Not to mention this years bubble is weak as crap. I can't believe teams like Baylor and Texas are still in the tourney by many. Crazy
With 19 wins there is no team close to temples numbers that haven't made it, ever.
This although who they play matters to change that RPI they can't really sink below low 40s at 18 wins. 19 is upper 30s/low 40s. Either puts them safely under the 45 number.
The losses hurt, but not as much as the good wins help. While win loss record comes up the committee usually talks about total number of good wins.
18 and Temple is in by all historical standards.
looks like 18-13 with 2 wins this week, losing next week to ECU rd 1 puts Temple at 18-13 with a 41 RPI.
The biggest knock against temple is their crappy losses. No way can they take another, especially from ECU and make it in my opinion. Even with a 41 RPI. I think if they win the next 3 and they have an extremely high chance of being in. If you look at the matchups, lots of bubble teams are going to lose through sunday.
It starts today with
Providence and Nova.
Syracuse is a dog versus BC
Florida St is a dog to Clemson
A loss to ECU will put them on the edge, by far the scariest scenario for Temple at 18 wins.
They'll be safely in with 18 wins and avoiding that loss to ecu. My guess is they beat UConn, lose to Tulsa, beat ECU or Tulane and then lose to Houston/WSU 18-13 and a bid.
We get four in unless UCF/Tulsa/SMU/Memphis go on a run and win the title. I don't think USF, Tulane, or ECU have the horses to pull it off. Cincy, wsu, and Houston are so good though I think one of them will win out. If Temple loses to the tourny winner it will pull their RPI up a few spots more.
you also have to account for the flat out disrespect that the aac gets every year from the selection committee. because of that i don't think temple will be in if they win less then 19 games.
(This post was last modified: 02-28-2018 03:14 PM by Huskypride.)
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02-28-2018 03:13 PM |
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C0|db|00ded
Instrument of Pain
Posts: 3,531
Joined: Apr 2017
I Root For: Wichita State
Location:
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RE: Bubble Watch
I just want to say... if Temple makes the Dance, the Shockers made your season. We owed you for the K|Uck-City beatdown in 2015. Even-Steven if you make it! Homies for life too!
P.S. Unless you hire a D-Bag coach who beats us on a consistent basis. Then we'll have to rescind our pact.
T
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02-28-2018 03:14 PM |
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