https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/...018-216488

Liberal Jeff Greenfield puts up a contrarian viewpoint to the beliefs by many Democrats that they will win bigly in November.

Their 18-point "lead" on the generic ballot is down to 3, and personal tax cuts haven't even hit yet.

#RedWave
#SuperMajority
#TwoTerms

Nor has the SchumerShutdown effect.

They've set the standard for victory as taking back the US House. I'm curious the response if they gain but don't take House

(01-23-2018 02:26 PM)Kronke Wrote:  Their 18-point "lead" on the generic ballot is down to 3, and personal tax cuts haven't even hit yet.

#RedWave
#SuperMajority
#TwoTerms

source on 3? I give 7.8 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/con...id=rrpromo

(01-23-2018 02:32 PM)tennis2k4 Wrote:  

(01-23-2018 02:26 PM)Kronke Wrote:  Their 18-point "lead" on the generic ballot is down to 3, and personal tax cuts haven't even hit yet.

#RedWave
#SuperMajority
#TwoTerms

source on 3? I give 7.8 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/con...id=rrpromo

Typical response, same thing the alt-left tried (and failed) to prop themselves up with during the general. When the numbers start swinging away from your narrative, fall back on the rolling average that is still relying on polls from weeks ago.

lol sad

(01-23-2018 02:36 PM)Kronke Wrote:  

(01-23-2018 02:32 PM)tennis2k4 Wrote:  

(01-23-2018 02:26 PM)Kronke Wrote:  Their 18-point "lead" on the generic ballot is down to 3, and personal tax cuts haven't even hit yet.

#RedWave
#SuperMajority
#TwoTerms

source on 3? I give 7.8 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/con...id=rrpromo

Typical response, same thing the alt-left tried (and failed) to prop themselves up with during the general. When the numbers start swinging away from your narrative, fall back on the rolling average that is still relying on polls from weeks ago.

lol sad

I ask for source and you deflect, sad.

(01-23-2018 02:37 PM)tennis2k4 Wrote:  

(01-23-2018 02:36 PM)Kronke Wrote:  

(01-23-2018 02:32 PM)tennis2k4 Wrote:  

(01-23-2018 02:26 PM)Kronke Wrote:  Their 18-point "lead" on the generic ballot is down to 3, and personal tax cuts haven't even hit yet.

#RedWave
#SuperMajority
#TwoTerms

source on 3? I give 7.8 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/con...id=rrpromo

Typical response, same thing the alt-left tried (and failed) to prop themselves up with during the general. When the numbers start swinging away from your narrative, fall back on the rolling average that is still relying on polls from weeks ago.

lol sad

I ask for source and you deflect, sad.

That isn't a deflection to anyone that can comprehend basic math. Your rolling average is based heavily on 3 week old news.

Hurts donut

(01-23-2018 02:40 PM)Kronke Wrote:  Hurts donut

That's from the 5th to 11th polling we are talking about today.

So Jan 5th-11th is old, but your rolling average that goes back to December 15th isn't.

bahahahaha

Ouchie.

(01-23-2018 02:44 PM)Kronke Wrote:  So Jan 5th-11th is old, but your rolling average that goes back to December 15th isn't.

bahahahaha

Ouchie.

Rolling average more accurate than one poll of a thousand people over a week ago.

Polls in Jan for an election in Nov. OK

Not when two huge events are being excluded. You're using pre-tax cut and pre-shutdown data to gauge the current temperature. That is insane and shows how desperate you are, but you know that.

I'll tell you what, let's just wait 3 weeks for your inaccurate polls to fall off, for tax cuts and the shutdown debacle to bake itself in, and then I'll call for you to post that rolling average again.

bahahaha

(01-23-2018 02:50 PM)Kronke Wrote:  Not when two huge events are being excluded. You're using pre-tax cut and pre-shutdown data to gauge the current temperature. That is insane and shows how desperate you are, but you know that.

I'll tell you what, let's just wait 3 weeks for your inaccurate polls to fall off, for tax cuts and the shutdown debacle to bake itself in, and then I'll call for you to post that rolling average again.

bahahaha

You are using a pre-shutdown poll too so yeah I will gladly post every update to the rolling average because it is more accurate than one poll still.

why is the human being the only life form on this planet to produce audible, loud and ripping flatulence?

(01-23-2018 02:57 PM)hoopfan Wrote:  why is the human being the only life form on this planet to produce audible, loud and ripping flatulence?

Not germane to the topic but we aren't





Of course your question makes about as much sense as using three week old polling data so there's that.

(01-23-2018 02:32 PM)solohawks Wrote:  They've set the standard for victory as taking back the US House. I'm curious the response if they gain but don't take House

I'm sure it'll be a calm, measured response in which the leadership plus rank and file have a moment of political reflection in which they come out with rational policy proposals.