(11-11-2017 11:37 PM)stever20 Wrote: (11-11-2017 11:29 PM)AubTiger16 Wrote: (11-11-2017 11:12 PM)stever20 Wrote: (11-11-2017 10:48 PM)JRsec Wrote: (11-11-2017 10:29 PM)RUScarlets Wrote: This game doesn't make a difference for Bama. It will come down to the Iron Bowl in two weeks:
1. Bama 10-0
2. Miami 9-0
3. Clemson 9-1
4. OU 9-1
5. Auburn 8-2
6. Wisconsin 10-0
7. UGa 9-1
8. OSU 8-2
More like:
1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Miami/Oklahoma
4. Oklahoma/Miami
5. Wisconsin
6. Georgia
7. Auburn
The committee will assume a big jump for Auburn if we beat Alabama. They will assume that the loser of Clemson and Miami in the CCG will determine their seed. And until then they will keep Georgia hanging back. Because if they beat Kentucky and Georgia Tech their fate will be decided in the SEC CCG.
Wisconsin gets the big jump to 5th because the committee really wants a Big 10 representative in the CFP. The only way Wisconsin fails to make it is if they lose a game between now and then.
Right now the committee will be thinking they take the SEC champ. Wisconsin, the ACC champ and Oklahoma. The only way anyone will get two in now will be if Wisconsin loses badly to Ohio State in the CCG, and Oklahoma drops another one. Then if Clemson beats Miami the ACC could sneak two in. Or if Alabama beats Auburn and loses a close one to Georgia.
But I think those scenarios are now more remote. I don't think OSU factors in at all (Oklahoma State or Ohio State). The Pokes have no defense and the Buckeyes have two blow out losses one of which was not to a top 10 school.
Miami will be #2 over Clemson after this tonight. Really meaningless in the long run as they'll play.
Alabama, Georgia (still), Clemson, Miami, Oklahoma, and Wisconsin control their own fates. If they win out, they are in the playoff. Ohio St gets really interesting because if they win and someone knocks off Oklahoma- going to not be that much left that could top them. Even including Oklahoma.
As does Auburn...
If we win out.
Going based off of what I see right now and possible finishes.
Wins:
Bowl Team Missouri
Bowl Team Texas A&M
Top 20ish Mississippi State
Top 5-6 Georgia
Top 4 Alabama
Top 5-6 Georgia
Even with the 2 losses on the road it wont matter.
@ Top 2-3 Clemson
@ Top 20 LSU
We'll have played 6 ranked teams beating 4 of them with 3 top 5 wins. If we win out, we're in. No one would have that kind of overall resume' wins wise.
Lets see....
Clemson beats Miami by 1 in ACC title game...
Clemson in for sure
Wisconsin wins out and goes 13-0. They're in.
Oklahoma wins out and goes 12-1. They're in.
The question would be Miami vs Auburn. It would be extremely close.
We'll have to see if it gets to that point.
It would be hard to argue that in the scenario that Auburn wins out that they wouldn't be the best team in the country.
The Clemson game was played early, Stidham was playing his 2nd game in 2 years. They'll take that into account as well as the fact Auburn didn't have KJ who is arguably the best RB/playmaker in the country. He was also hobbled against LSU still recovering from his game 1 injury (Yes I know he carried 31 times and ran for 150+ and a TD but on a couple of breakaway chances he couldn't run full speed and he protected his injury quite a bit). Pettway (Who was the top statistical RB in the SEC last year) won't be as he's done for the season.
Also, Auburn would have been the only team to beat 2 and play 3 teams in the top 4 of the CFP at any point in the season. (If Georgia wins out and sneaks back into the top 4 before the CCG it'll be played 4 and beat 3).
Miami will have played 2 and beat 1.
Clemson would have played 2 and beat 2. (If Auburn is in the top 4 if not it'll be 1 and 1)
Oklahoma would have played zero and beat zero.
Wisconsin would have played zero and beat zero.
Auburn would have 4 CFP wins. Conference Ship
Miami would have 2 CFP wins.
Clemson would have 4 CFP wins. Conference Ship
Wisconsin we don't know yet because Iowa is about to drop out. Should be 2 CFP as long as NWestern doesn't lose to Minnesota. Conference Ship
Oklahoma would have 4 CFP wins. Conference Ship
As far as the quality of wins, no team would have what Auburn has. 3 top 5 wins. Clemson would have 2. Miami would have 1. No one else has that at all.
It's not as cut and dry as some people wanna think. That was proven when Penn State who had the head to head win over Ohio State and won the B1G Championship was left out for Ohio State.
SoS, wins, losses, eye test, best team right now, and so on will come into effect.
It'll definitely be interesting, but I'm gonna stick with what everyone has been saying for the last couple of weeks. If Auburn wins out, we're in. I like it better than any other scenario
.
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Laughable Scores - 2017 Football - Week 11
