The New C-USA

East:
Old Dominion
East Carolina
Charlotte
Marshall
App State
Temple
Navy

West:
WKU
MTSU
UAB
La Tech
Southern Miss
Memphis
Tulane

PAC 24:
Northwest:
Washington
Washington State
Oregon
Oregon State
Boise State
Eastern Washington

California:
Stanford
California
UCLA
USC
San Diego State
Hawaii

Desert:
UNR
UNLV
Arizona
Arizona State
Fresno State
Utah

East:
Colorado
New Mexico
UTSA
Houston
Montana
Air Force

Big 10:
West:
Nebraska
Kansas
Iowa
Minnesota
Colorado State
North Dakota State

Big 10 South:
Missouri
Texas
Rice
Tulane
Vanderbilt
Kentucky
Oklahoma

Central:
Illinois
Northwestern
Wisconsin
Indiana
Purdue
Notre Dame

East Coast:
Rutgers
Penn. State
Maryland
Virginia
North Carolina
Georgia Tech

SEC:
West:
Oklahoma State
Kansas State
Texas A&M
TCU
Arkansas
LSU

SEC Gulf Coast:
Ole Miss.
Miss. State
Tennessee
Memphis
Alabama
Auburn

Southeast:
South Carolina
Clemson
Florida
Florida State
Georgia
UCF

North:
NC State
Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh
Navy
Cincinnati
West Virginia

AAC east, ACC and C-USA east merged to become the new ACC.

Big 12, AAC West, C-USA west beside UTEP and SBC west merged to form the new Big 12 lineup.

SBC, C-USA, Jacksonville State, MVFC schools, Chattanooga, CAA, Eastern Kentucky, East Tennessee State, North Alabama, Kennesaw Stat, Valdosta Georgia, West Florida, North Florida, FGCU, Stony Brook, Albany, Tennessee State, Tarleton State, Central Oklahoma and eastern Southland conference schools could reform the new AAC, C-USA and SBC conferences.

MWC could get the best Big Sky, Azusa Pacific, Long Beach State, UTEP, West Texas A&M, Colorado Mesa, Colorado State-Pueblo and some others for filling in spots for who left MWC and to form a 24 team conference.

GNAC, RMAC, Lone Star, Gulf South, the Missouri and Great Lake conferences, and some GAC schools will move up as a whole for D1 FCS by that time.

The entire PAC 12 votes no. Mesa and CSU-Pueblo are not moving up. The RMAC is not moving up.

I predict that Oklahoma will be the catalyst for the next realignment. They weigh going to the Big Ten with Kansas or to the SEC with Oklahoma St:

The Big Ten offers them the prestige of an academically strong conference. Their division foes include Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Northwestern, and Purdue and two cross division games against East Division foes. The drawback is the OOC schedule--only 3 slots and you can't realistically keep both Bedlam and the RRR.

The SEC also has a lot to offer: Division foes Oklahoma St, Texas A&M, Missouri, Arkansas, LSU, Ole Miss, and Miss St. They also only require 8 conference games so theoretically if they wanted to keep the RRR they could. The ability to bring their instate rival is a huge perk.

Ultimately I think they pick the SEC--much to my pro Big Ten chagrin.

Texas then weighs its options:

Restock the Big 12 and carry on
A Pac 12 deal
FB independence and ACC Olympic sports

Maintaining the status quo in the Big 12 has a lot of appeal. They are the sole top dog and probably insist that Houston gets one of the two slots giving the longhorn voting block a lot of cache. They also keep things local the way they like them.

The Pac 12 has a lot of intrigue. There's no way they go in with just one Texas school with them so I bet they insist on bringing in a voting block and carry Texas Tech, TCU, and Baylor/Houston/Rice as their plus 1s, 2s, and 3s. This gives them a formidable voting block.

Option 3 is a Notre Dame style deal with the ACC. I'll preface by saying that it would suck for Olympic sports. Lots of travel to lots of schools their fans don't care about. The perks are that they control their revenue and 7/12ths of their schedule. I think they make 4H/3A longterm series with TCU, Texas Tech, and Baylor. They also mix in 2 for 1s with foes like Houston, SMU, and Rice, and buy games with UTEP, UTSA, UNT, and Texas St. They also play at least two high profile games against other blue bloods like Notre Dame and Ohio St on a rotating basis.

Ultimately I think they choose option 1 and their is only minimal realignment among the G5 to adjust.