(10-27-2017 01:09 PM)C0|db|00ded Wrote: The Big Pee is absolutely trending down. They made a little noise with a bounty of at-large bids (winning very few NCAA games) based on a mirage - aka RPI hacking strategy - which was cute (the MVC did the same back in 2006 and finished 4th in RPI in the country). But the general public isn't stupid, they know the Pee is nothing but the dregs of the old Big East and a couple new mid-majors sprinkled in for filler.
Villanova, a poor man's version of UCONN, is now the leader of this new church conference and should be able to continue to win as long as nothing really crazy happens inside the program; i.e. sexual deviancy charges. Eventually the Pee will settle around 2-3 bids a year (in a strong year) with the AAC settling around 4-5. The AAC just has bigger brands than Pee, and while a couple are currently down, they'll be back. If current National Power Wichita State continues on their expected trend, this reality of a 4-5 bid average will happen sooner rather than later.
Considering the fact that the AAC plays football, preference will be made to broadcast AAC games in all sports on the major networks where a contract is signed... over Church League ball. When the Fox Sports contract runs out, it will surely be renegotiated lower as it's been a net loser for Fox. Priest-ball started off with a bang, but fizzled quickly as the brand recognition of the Big East name had an expiration date - which just happens to be quickly approaching. All the low-information basketball fans have been tuning in (after they locate the channel) to Big East games saying, "WTF?! Where is Syracuse, UCONN, Pitt, Notre Dame, Cincy, Louisville, etc." They soon realize they're watching a game of Suburban H.O.R.S.E. between the Omaha BJ's and Seton Fail and they're like... *click* *click* *clickity* *click*
Thoughts?
T
...
Really?
BE has been 4th, 2nd, 4th, and 3rd in RPI over the past 4 years.
The BE earned 6, 11, 12 and 13 NCAA units over the past 4 years. So, its actually trending upward in its NCAA performance. The AAC has earned 11, 3, 5 and 3 over the same time period.
The BE conference is doing just fine on the court.
TV Contract lasts until 2025.
BTW, FS1 is in 85+ million homes at $.80-1.00 per household per month. A good reason why FS1 is on basic cable in Phily, Chicago, Cincinnati, Milwaukee, Omaha, Indianapolis, New York, and DC is because of the BE schools. $60 million for the BE is a bargain for FS1. It differs from the AAC which are mostly, second tier teams in their home states. No one is dropping ESPN in Dallas if SMU isn't on the network or in Wichita if Wichita State's conference is dumped by ESPN. Those schools don't really push the needle. But, there is no way FS1 is on basic cable in Milwaukee if Marquette gets dropped.
As for interest, the BE averaged over 10,000 fans per game (about double the AAC) and the BE tournament had about three times as many attendees per game than the AAC tournament last year. Historically, the most teams in the AAC and in the Valley are close in terms of fan support (and quality of play too, with the obvious exception of UC, Memphis and UConn). Unfortunately for the AAC, Memphis and UConn are down. The rest of the AAC is currently no better than the Valley (well, except for SMU and their fall will be hard and fast when Brown's recruits are gone). When WSU plays in front of 300 at Houston or taking 3 planes to get to the ECU game so they can play in front of a few score keepers and cheerleaders, they will be wishing they could go back to the glory days of playing Drake and Missouri State.