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UofToledoFans Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Schedule/results/best case scenario
05-bump winning MAC games by good margains, Miami keeps winning, NIU looks good, and Tulsa is a dumpster fire.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/sta...probWinOut
12.5% probability to win out puts us in the top 20 in the nation by percentage. Miami Huricanes sit at 10%. Both have 40% plus chance to win their own conference.
(This post was last modified: 10-22-2017 02:20 AM by UofToledoFans.)
10-22-2017 01:32 AM
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eastisbest Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Schedule/results/best case scenario
(10-22-2017 01:32 AM)UofToledoFans Wrote:  05-bump winning MAC games by good margains, Miami keeps winning, NIU looks good, and Tulsa is a dumpster fire.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/sta...probWinOut
12.5% probability to win out puts us in the top 20 in the nation by percentage. Miami Huricanes sit at 10%. Both have 40% plus chance to win their own conference.

Says OSU has a 71.7% chance to beat a team ranked 4 spaces above them. Wouldn't take much from that.

Poor EMU, five losses, none by more than a TD.
10-22-2017 05:33 AM
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UofToledoFans Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Schedule/results/best case scenario
(10-22-2017 05:33 AM)eastisbest Wrote:  
(10-22-2017 01:32 AM)UofToledoFans Wrote:  05-bump winning MAC games by good margains, Miami keeps winning, NIU looks good, and Tulsa is a dumpster fire.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/sta...probWinOut
12.5% probability to win out puts us in the top 20 in the nation by percentage. Miami Huricanes sit at 10%. Both have 40% plus chance to win their own conference.

Says OSU has a 71.7% chance to beat a team ranked 4 spaces above them. Wouldn't take much from that.

Poor EMU, five losses, none by more than a TD.
It has us at 63rd or whatever in its rankings and our chance is according to those rankings. It is what it is... Fpi means nothing, just an interesting look. Massey composite should have us around 36.
10-22-2017 06:14 AM
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UofToledoFans Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Schedule/results/best case scenario
05-bump because we probably wont get help from NIU, I am now hoping they are our sole good win and go 9-3. At one time I wanted Ohio, WMU, and NIU to get 9 but the parity in this league is strong. Its possible WMU and us beat them so there is a slew of 8 win teams in our conference... But that just makes our conference look weak. We will have played the East Champ in the regular season so the conf records will be plagued by playing Toledo.
Once again... This is all speculation and wishful thinking... But its been a good year so far! Fingers crossed this doesnt go down as winning the MAC in a down year.
(This post was last modified: 10-27-2017 06:43 AM by UofToledoFans.)
10-27-2017 06:39 AM
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UofToledoFans Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Schedule/results/best case scenario
05-bump holy crap... Inside track to Detroit!
11-03-2017 07:09 AM
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UofToledoFans Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Schedule/best case scenario/total resume
Current record: 9-2
Win over Elon by 35 (doesnt matter)
Win over Nevada by 13 (doesnt matter)
Win over Tulsa by 3 (doesnt matter)
Loss to Miami by 22 (hope they win 11 and we scored most on them all season... So far so good)
Win over EMU by 5 (hope they win 5)
Win over CMU by 20 (hope they win 7)
Win over Akron by 27 (hope they win 7)
Win over Ball State by 41 (doesnt matter)
Win over NIU by 10 (hope they win 9)
LOSS to Ohio by 28 (hope they win 9)
Win over BGSU by 29 (matters to us but no one else)

Win over 6 Win WMU
Win over 7 win Akron
11-16-2017 01:00 PM
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indianasniff Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Schedule/best case scenario/total resume
11-2 going into a bowl would be fun

With a championship
11-20-2017 06:51 PM
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