(05-12-2017 10:57 AM)ken d Wrote: I struggle to find a scenario that finds a P5 home for 7 Big 12 schools, much less 8. One would almost have to include the PAC participating, which I believe to be unlikely. IMO, the only way the PAC takes some is if UT and/or Oklahoma is included (probably both) and that makes it less likely that others could find a home in either the B1G or the SEC.
I agree that it would be a struggle but I think it is possible even without the PAC. The ones I believe will find a power conference home easily outside the XII are Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. I think West Virginia, Oklahoma St, Iowa St, and Texas Tech are likely. TCU is a maybe. Kansas St is a stretch. Baylor is out.
I think some G5 schools are more likely than Kansas St and Baylor like Connecticut, Cincinnati, and Houston. I see this:
PAC adds TCU & Houston
North: Washington, Washington St, Oregon, Oregon St, California, Stanford, Utah
South: USC, UCLA, Arizona, Arizona St, Colorado, TCU, Houston
B1G adds Kansas & Connecticut
West: Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Northwestern, Purdue
East: Indiana, Michigan, Michigan St, Ohio St, Penn St, Maryland, Rutgers, Connecticut
ACC adds West Virginia & Cincinnati (retains Notre Dame on current deal)
Atlantic: Boston College, Cincinnati, Clemson, Florida St, Louisville, North Carolina St, Syracuse, Wake Forest
Coastal: Duke, Georgia Tech, Miami, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Virginia, Virginia Tech, West Virginia
SEC adds Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, & Oklahoma St...considers and ultimately includes Kansas St & Iowa St to encroach B1G territory
Midwest: Iowa St, Kansas St, Missouri, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St
Southwest: Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Arkansas, LSU
Central: Mississippi, Mississippi St, Alabama, Auburn, Vanderbilt
East: Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida
Down the road I think there are mergers of sorts with the B1G-PAC and SEC-ACC.