(05-01-2017 05:11 PM)quo vadis Wrote: One and done is too liable to fluke results.
For what it's worth, I played around a bit in Excel. The numbers for a best-of-101 series surprised me a bit --- even with impractically long series like that a team needs to be
decisively better to win >90% of the time.
If Team A has a 55% chance of beating Team B in a given game:
Team A wins a best-of-1 series 55% of the time (duh)
Team A wins a best-of-3 series 57% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-7 series 61% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-15 series 65% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-101 series 84% of the time
If Team A has a 60% chance of beating Team B in a given game:
Team A wins a best-of-1 series 60% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-3 series 68% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-7 series 71% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-15 series 79% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-101 series 98% of the time
If Team A has a 70% chance of beating Team B in a given game:
Team A wins a best-of-1 series 70% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-3 series 78% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-7 series 87% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-15 series 95% of the time
Team A wins a best-of-101 series 100% of the time