(04-18-2017 08:34 PM)murrdcu Wrote: (04-18-2017 05:59 PM)JRsec Wrote: (04-18-2017 05:46 PM)murrdcu Wrote: (04-18-2017 12:57 PM)AllTideUp Wrote: Question...
Would that decision be left in the hands of the AD? The President has the final say doesn't he?
The AD can get the ball rolling and heavily influence things, but you always need the President to sign off on such a huge move.
And the president has no better cover than a popular outgoing A.D.. Perrin has the teflon coattails that the president needs.
Texas also has state politicians to skirt around if they wish ditch their little brothers. If not, move them to the ACC with a small group.
Anyway, I don't see any correlation between Corso and two ice hockey radio jockeys having anything to do with Perrin staying on for an extra year. Now if Texas was wanting to hire a Texas guy with great experience in recent P5 college football realignment, maybe they should hire West Virginia 's old AD Oliver Luck.
Murrdcu I get a little tired of people putting words in my mouth. I didn't say there was a correlation. I said I found it interesting. These kinds of stories find the air because things are slow, and slow times are used to float inside messages. I tied that to the fact that Texas has used these kinds of tactics for leverage as far back as I can remember and that covers a fairly long time. If Texas wanted to move sooner than the expiration of the GOR Perrin is the perfect guy to handle a move that might be considered controversial by the Texas alumni because he is popular with the older folks, meaning the donors.
What I don't believe in are people like Fluguar, Mr. SEC, Barry Trammel, and Clay Travis. They merely report and tell what folks want them to tell. They spread as much disinformation as they spread bonafide information, and probably more.
In the end money will decide the majority of realignment. Fit will be important but not the overriding issue for either the Big 10 or SEC. And it absolutely will be the motivator for the networks because they have stockholders to please and that's why they are in business. So I'll bet on the money every time when it comes to fan prejudices, stories about what schools will and will not do, blackballing hooey, and market models which I railed against in favor of content 7 years ago and throughout the last realignment.
From my vantage point today I only know that I was right. A&M made a great addition because of their content value. Yes they gave us entry into a great market, but A&M vs most of the West is must see and that will always be worth money. Missouri helped us to get the SECN going but right now how much content value are they providing?
The ACC was constructed on the market model and they are the worst paid P5 conference with the lousiest attendance, and the worst viewing numbers. Ooppy do for markets. The old guard of the Big 10 isn't exactly excited about Rutgers or Maryland.
I will listen to interviews given by Mike Slive because he knows why things happen and how they happen and he doesn't lie. What he doesn't say tells you as much as what he does. I listen to Delany and everyone who is not the commissioner of the Big 12. But this approach has apparently never found its way to the internet message board posters.
Every year I post the new numbers for a big danged reason. When we add again it will be with schools that improve our numbers. That means national brands or schools with at least a strong regional following in a large market.
So Virginia Tech or Virginia, North Carolina, Texas, Oklahoma, or Florida State can fill that bill. If we get into a situation of having to take a particular number to facilitate a deal then the average of the schools added need to add to those numbers, or address a stated need. The need possibilities are the contingencies that in a larger move that would include primary targets but might also see a Miami or T.C.U. sneak into a mix of schools.
The Big 10 is going to follow the same philosophy. Both of us prefer contiguous additions.
Texas and Oklahoma are strong enough brands to build a conference around. Whether that is ultimately done or not, the finances and necessary ancillary elements are in place for it to happen. It doesn't mean that it will, but it can't be ruled out. The fact that it could be so much more of a financially sound decision than say an ACCN is the intriguing part to me. We'll see.
But if somebody is added to the SEC they will come from the list of primary targets I provided. Anyone else would be filler, but filler that met a need.
In 7 years of posting here and elsewhere I have not made prediction but I have analyzed available information to talk about scenarios. Attendance, Revenue production, the ability to draw a television audience, are the tools I use. News or comments are the tools of the speculation. And I found out a long time ago in business outside of sports that large powerful entities never put out a story that isn't intended to accomplish something. What they hate is needless talk.
So when Slive says nothing happens for 5 or so years I believe him. When he says that the next moves could lead to very very large conferences, I still believe him, because content and leverage will be the tools for revenue enhancement in the future, because Boomers are dying out a part of the economic model, and because states are having to trim their budgets due to shortfalls in sales tax (partly due to business location deals and partly to a diminishing earning potential and therefore less disposable income among their citizens, and because the downturn in population numbers among the middle class means fewer kids in college going forward which means shrinking higher education budgets.
Put Time, Economic Pressure and Monetary Disparity in a mix and you will get larger conferences, and fewer G5 and P5 schools. That means that the weakest are the ones to diminish, not those associated with the leaders among the ranks.