(02-09-2017 01:12 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote: (02-08-2017 04:34 PM)UofToledoFans Wrote: (02-08-2017 02:30 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote: Not to self compliment these rankings but I think they have scored victories and been proven right with Ball State and NIU. Two teams which are not the real deal
Your #1 team for 9 games is 5-6 and in 8th place in the conference... you could literally scramble up 12 names in a hat and get some predictions right! Nothing about these have been predictive at all. Not even as close as my tinkering of your metrix when you multiply windex x3 of what you have.
If you look at KenPom EMU is still number 4, EMU's metrics are very very good still. Plus rankings above do not take into account Tuesday's games yet. They have been very predictive in not overreacting to NIU and BSU and indicating that WMU is better than their record indicates. I am pretty happy with this so far, much more stable than your typical Hustlebelt power rankings at least :)
I also am very satisfied that they are not showing Akron as leaps and bounds above the conference despite the record, which I think is also spot on
You look at Kenpom and I'll look at RPI, Sagarin, BPI, and
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD which indicates that Akron does have a large lead on the conference... because they are um...
10-1, and the next closest team is um
6-5.
It's not easy to seperate the 6-5 teams, I understand that. There will always be debate there because everyone is beating everyone.
I'll search other notable sites for their (PREDICTOR) and compare to yours, if you are attempting to PREDICT and not rank the teams based on their recent play...
By doing this, overall record and SOS is accounted for heavily. Whether or not WMU is playing better now or not, their predictors base every game equally... therefor an overall record of 8-15 will not grant you a PREDICTIVE advantage because they will lose 2 of every 3 games played based on the past.
Sagarin PREDICTOR:
Akron 101, Ohio 102, UB 132, EMU 134, Kent 148, Toledo 149, CMU 174, 176 NIU, BSU 177, WMU 190, BGSU 235, Miami 281.
RPI:
45 Akron, 118 CMU, 133 Ohio, EMU 153, UB 157, Toledo 169, NIU 201, BSU 207, BG 219, Kent 227, WMU 228, Miami 319.
BPI PREDICTOR:
19 Akron, 73 Ohio, 76 CMU, 132 Ball State, 155 EMU, 160 NIU, 171 Kent, 173 UB, 180 Toledo, 150 BG, 271 WMU, 294 Miami.
Take these three and give Akron a score of 1 because average three first place votes and you get... 1st place...imagine that! Three 12th place votes for Miami makes them last at 12th.
UofToledoFans PREDICTOR AVERAGE:
1.) Akron
2.33) Ohio
4.) CMU
4.33) EMU
5.33) UB
7.) Toledo
7.) NIU
7.) BSU
7.33) Kent
10.) BG
10.33) WMU
12.) Miami