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Seahawk Nation 08 Offline
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Post: #21
RE: POY
Let's assume that the award comes down to 3 primary factors: 1) Stats, 2) Player-of-the-Week honors, and 3) the "eye test". With the race for POY pretty wide open at this point, it would be wise to look at all the contenders for the award with these criteria in mind. I've narrowed it down to 8 candidates. In no particular order, here goes....


Daniel Dixon, W&M

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 2 (both during CAA play)

Scoring: 2nd (20.9 ppg)
FG %: 9th (.508)
Assists: 12th (2.8 apg)
Rebounding: 14th (5.7 rpg)
FT %: 2nd (.850)
3-Pt %: 11th (.397)

Dixon, much like his teammate Omar Prewitt, has been on a tear in the 2nd half of the CAA campaign, leading the Tribe to wins over UNCW, Northeastern and Charleston over the past 3 weeks. And in 2 of those 3 victories, Dixon put up over 25 points.

He's also certainly not a one-trick pony as a scorer. While he's still an excellent three-point shooter, he's been able to leverage his outside shooting ability to also get easier buckets in the 2-point range. And when he drives to the bucket for fouls, he's automatic from the stripe.

As one of three players in the league who has won multiple Player-of-the-Week awards in CAA play, Dixon will benefit from the "what have you done for me lately?" vote, though he might split the vote a bit with Prewitt.


T.J. Williams, Northeastern

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 2 (0 during CAA play)

Scoring: 3rd (20.6 ppg)
Assists: 3rd (4.8 apg)
FG %: 14th (.468)
Rebounding: 19th (4.6 rpg)
A/TO Ratio: 11th of 11 (1.3)
Minutes: 1st (38.1 mpg)

Williams has battled injuries of late, but as long as he finishes strong, POY might be his award to lose. No one in the league fills the stat sheet like he does, thanks in part to being relied on by Bill Coen for heavy minutes night in and night out. His only weakness? Turnovers. Perhaps from trying to do a little too much at times, Williams' many touches of the ball have also come with a lot of giveaways, giving him the worst Assist:Turnover ratio of any qualifying guard in the league.

The Huskies' tough schedule to finish out the season gives T.J. opportunities to shine as well. NU faces UNCW twice, Charleston once, and Elon on the road in their remaining 4 games. It's "sink or swim" time for Northeastern as well as Williams' POY chances. One more Player-of-the-Week honor would do wonders for his chances.


Tyler Seibring, Elon

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 2 (both during CAA play)

Scoring: 12th (15.1 ppg)
Rebounding: t-6th (7.1 rpg)
FT %: 9th (.795)
3-Pt %: 6th (.418)
Blocks: 8th (0.9 bpg)

Seibring has flown under the radar a bit for the Phoenix. But the 6-8 sophomore big man can no longer be ignored, even as his own teammate, Brian Dawkins, put up the more impressive offensive numbers in recent games against Charleston and UNCW. Seibring has been Elon's most consistent player over the course of the season, doing the dirty work inside while also displaying a strong shooting touch.

With a pair of Player-of-the-Week honors during league play and strong overall numbers, Seibring is certainly in the conversation for Player-of-the-Year, though he will need to have a breakout performance or 2 in the final 4 games to have a realistic chance.


Omar Prewitt, W&M

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 1 (occurred during CAA play)

Scoring: 7th (16.7 ppg)
Assists: 9th (3.5 apg)
Rebounding: 9th (6.1 rpg)
FG %: 11th (.494)
A/TO Ratio: 9th of 11 (1.7)

As mentioned previously for Dixon, Prewitt has been on an absolute tear in the 2nd half of the CAA schedule, more than arguably any other player in the league. After a solid junior campaign, Omar was asked to be "the guy" for the Tribe in many ways as a senior, and struggled in that role for much of the season.

However, the light switch has clearly gone on. In a blowout win over UNCW, he put up 28 points, 7 boards and 4 dimes. And in an 89-79 victory over Charleston, the best defensive team in the league, he posted a line of 30 points on 13-19 shooting, another 7 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals in 36 minutes. Being the best player on the court in a game like that will garner you votes, even if he didn't so much as share Player of the Week honors for doing so.


Joe Chealey, Charleston

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 1 (occurred during CAA play)

Scoring: 4th (18.7 ppg)
Assists: 11th (3.3 apg)
FT %: 3rd (.833)
3-Pt %: 7th (.417)
A/TO Ratio: 5th (1.9)
Minutes: 4th (35.9 mpg)

The best overall player on the 2nd-place team in the league, Chealey is another candidate that hasn't been mentioned nearly enough in the POY conversation.

It's possible that the Cougars' performance of late might be hindering his chances. Back to back losses to Northeastern and Charleston, with the former coming at home despite a 16-point halftime lead, are lending doubts to just how well the Cougars will perform even as the "host team" in the CAA Tournament.

Nevertheless, Chealey's play hasn't dipped over the course of the season. Against NU he put up 28 points on 8-14 shooting, was a perfect 9-9 from the line and had 3 assists and 1 steal.


Devontae Cacok, UNCW

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 2 (0 during CAA play)

Scoring: 20th (12.5 ppg)
Rebounding: 1st (11.1 rpg)
FG %: 1st (.760)
Blocks: 1st (1.7 bpg)
Steals: t-7th (1.4 spg)

Cacok blends so many qualities that any coach would covet out of a big man. As the 5 in UNCW's 4-guard lineup, Cacok is able to run the floor on offense for big buckets inside and plays bigger than his 6-8 frame on the defensive end. He's thrived in Coach Keatts' system in just his sophomore campaign.

Unfortunately, two things work against him: 1) He isn't a top scorer in the league, which is a characteristic that nearly all POY winners have had, and 2) Being on such a successful UNCW team, he might split votes with his own teammate, Denzel Ingram (more on him later) or perhaps even a "sleeper" candidate like C.J. Bryce. Be patient, big fella. With 2 years left in his career following this season, many accolades will be coming his way the remainder of his career.


Justin Wright-Foreman, Hofstra

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 2 (both during CAA play)

Scoring: 1st (22.2 ppg)
FG %: 4th (.525)
3-Pt %: 12th (.389)

Wright-Foreman picked up his 2nd POW honor on Monday, and as the CAA's top scorer has to be included as a top candidate for POY. However, with Hofstra sitting at 6-12 in league play, facing a tough remaining schedule, and with Wright-Foreman providing little else to the table other than scoring, I view Wright-Foreman as one of the weaker candidates on this list.

However, if the scoring title favorite is able to lead the Pride to key wins down the stretch, such as in their upcoming week where they host Charleston and UNCW, my views on him can change very quickly.


Denzel Ingram, UNCW

Player-of-the-Week Awards: 1 (0 in CAA play)

Scoring: 10th (16.0 ppg)
Assists: 2nd (5.3 apg)
Steals: t-9th (1.4 spg)
3-Pt FG Made: 1st (3.7 threes per game)
A/TO Ratio: 1st (3.5)

Ingram, the other candidate from the 1st-place Seahawks, does a lot of great things for his team that put him in contention for the POY award. Ingram is a clutch shooter who has also proven to be a very capable scoring point guard in Coach Keatts' system. Despite playing in a fast-paced scheme, Ingram is surprisingly efficient as a distributor, dishing out the 2nd most assists AND protecting the ball better than any point guard in the league.

The issue for Ingram is much the same as the ones facing Cacok: He might split votes, and if he finds himself outside of the Top 10 in the scoring ranks, that would unfortunately hurt him as well.

However, you can expect that UNCW will have two 1st-team all-CAA players when all is said and done. Two star performers for the current 1st-place team deserve some preferential treatment in that regard.
(This post was last modified: 02-14-2017 10:02 AM by Seahawk Nation 08.)
02-14-2017 10:00 AM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Offline
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Post: #22
RE: POY
Also kind of crazy to think that, of those 8 players above I've identified as candidates for POY with 2 weeks to go, at least 3 of them will end up getting bumped down to the 2nd Team all-CAA. None of them deserve that treatment but it is what it is!
02-14-2017 11:03 AM
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swampcougar1 Offline
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Post: #23
RE: POY
UNCW and W and M players could take votes from each other leaving it open to others
02-14-2017 12:49 PM
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geewizNU Offline
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Post: #24
POY
With TJ Williams dropping 33 pts on UNCW, I think he cemented the POTY award IMO.
02-17-2017 12:59 AM
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swampcougar1 Offline
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Post: #25
RE: POY
No one is a lock yet
02-18-2017 03:04 PM
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CG_Hawk06 Offline
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Post: #26
POY
Flemmings has now had back to back 20+ point games.
02-18-2017 05:38 PM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Offline
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Post: #27
RE: POY
(02-18-2017 05:38 PM)CoastGuardHawk06 Wrote:  Flemmings has now had back to back 20+ point games.

Too late in the game for him to jump into the race, I would think.
02-20-2017 01:49 PM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Offline
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Post: #28
RE: POY
(02-17-2017 12:59 AM)geewizNU Wrote:  With TJ Williams dropping 33 pts on UNCW, I think he cemented the POTY award IMO.

He's not a lock considering NU is 7-9 in league play. He'd be my top choice at this point but he's no lock.
02-20-2017 01:49 PM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Offline
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Post: #29
RE: POY
Player-of-the-Week goes to Mike Morsell. That doesn't help clear up the POY race at all. One more week and it's still a tough call.
02-20-2017 01:51 PM
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SomebodyToLove Offline
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Post: #30
RE: POY
Name Point-Rebounds-Assists

Justin Wright-Foreman 35-6-2
Daniel Dixon 32-4-5
TJ Williams 26-10-12
Tyler Seibring 30-12-0
Joe Chealey 18-9-7

Will the final POW win the POY? These 5 are the favorites I guess after big games today
02-23-2017 09:23 PM
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Water Boy Offline
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Post: #31
RE: POY
I doubt Justin Wright-Foreman will get POY because his team is weak and he wasn't that great in the OOC schedule but his emergence in CAA play this year has been quite remarkable. His conference scoring rate of 23.4 ppg has only been bettered by Gary Neal in the years since 2005-06 that stats are available on CAAsports.com (he is tied with Charles Jenkins). Those guys were both seniors and went on to the NBA. This is from a guy that scored 1.6 ppg last year and wasn't even a full time starter until the CAA schedule was well underway. In recent games, it seem no one can stop him and he has 10 straight games of scoring more than 20 points. The scary thing is he is just a sophomore.

In terms of conference scoring, Daniel Dixon follows up the the three mentioned above (Neal, Jenkins, and Wright-Foreman) as having the best in-conference scoring average (tied with Damion Lee) in the years for which stats are online. Clearly the defense isn't as tough as in years past, but still nice numbers from these guys.
02-24-2017 01:18 AM
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SomebodyToLove Offline
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Post: #32
RE: POY
For POY, how much are conference stats weighted vs. Non-conference?
02-24-2017 08:09 AM
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Water Boy Offline
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Post: #33
RE: POY
(02-24-2017 08:09 AM)SomebodyToLove Wrote:  For POY, how much are conference stats weighted vs. Non-conference?

I think it is probably up to the individual voter. If you look at the CAA handbook there is really no guidelines on the voting, it just lists the awards to be presented. There could be additional guidelines for MBB as the general CAA handbook doesn't even specify who votes (I believe it is a mixture of press, coaches, and perhaps SIDs.)

To me the conference stats seem the best way to measure players against each other especially with the CAA's balanced schedule. The drawback though is ignoring the first part of the season - although some would probably argue that it is only the conference season that matters.

I guess perhaps, we will see in this year's voting. TJ Williams seems to have been the strongest over the full year including leading his team to victory over teams like Michigan State and Connecticut on the road. Guys like Dixon and Wright-Foreman have elevated their play in the conference though.

Although historically scoring is one of the most important factors, there are plenty of other subjective things that go into the voting as well such as performance of the team and how well rounded the player is (not just a scorer). That is part of what makes it fun to speculate and argue about it here.
02-24-2017 09:23 AM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Offline
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Post: #34
RE: POY
With TJ Williams getting a triple-double on Thursday night, NOW we can probably put him as the top dog in the race. Another strong showing on Saturday and a Player-of-the-Week honor would give him 3 on the season (1 in CAA play).
(This post was last modified: 02-24-2017 04:04 PM by Seahawk Nation 08.)
02-24-2017 04:04 PM
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TDenverFan Offline
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Post: #35
RE: POY
Dixon put up 32 today, which should keep him in the conversation
02-25-2017 10:29 PM
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swampcougar1 Offline
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Post: #36
RE: POY
Think this up in air. Someone unexpected could get it because the expected are taking votes away from each other. Will probably be a very close vote.
02-26-2017 01:07 PM
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