(01-14-2017 09:13 AM)MWC Tex Wrote: (01-14-2017 12:28 AM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote: (01-13-2017 11:48 PM)NoDak Wrote: Cal Baptist must be optimistic that the WAC will survive until 2023, when CBU becomes eligible. That's a big commitment for a league for a league who's futjre looks bleak. That is another reason I think something is up with a WAC / Big Sky realignment.
Why would anyone in the Big Sky go to the WAC?
And why would any WAC schools go to the Big Sky? The WAC is setting up a conference for large metro areas that makes for easier travel.
The WAC is still 'the land of the misfit toys' conference. There's little cohesion and even a less of a desire for them to hang around. Basically they're the place teams land when no one wants them.
Lets recap
First we have the teams that aren't viable at the D3 level, much less at D1
1) Chicago State - is in serious trouble. The school appears to not be viable as an educational institution. Their continued presence in D1 is seriously in question.
Next up, geographical outliers, that are only in the WAC because no other conference will take them
2) UMKC - Is stuck with huge travel costs, in a low end conference, with no rivals, and no nearby teams. If the Summit, MVC, or even Southland wanted them...they'd go.
3) NMSU - Is actively looking for the exits. They have a good program in Oly sports and they are a flagship style school. They aren't long for the conference.
4) UTRGV - No rivals and huge costs. If offered a ticket out, they'd take it. The only issue is that due to their history and their geographical position....no one is calling.
5) Seattle - A small private school with 4k undergrads with no one near them. They'd leave, immediately, if any other conference called. No one has, so they're stuck until that happens.
Next up, a "school" that appears to be radioactive to other conferences for a variety of reasons.
6) Grand Canyon Education, Incorporated. For profit school with a very bad history on discrimination. They want to leave, and their basketball product isn't terrible, but their for profit designation is a non-starter for other conferences.
Next up, a school that could fit in another conference, and they would go immediately, but is probably being blocked by nearby schools
7) Utah Valley - Huge enrollment. But its in the shadow of BYU. And the place they'd really like to play already has 2 Utah members. So they''re probably stuck too. The BYU issue might be the sticking point IMHO. Over 90% of Orem churchgoing persons are members of the LDS Church and BYU is 4 miles away from campus.
And finally, we have the California Schools.
8) Cal State - Bakersfield - Would jump to the Big West or WCC if ever given the opportunity
9) Cal Baptist - A private, discriminatory moveup.
In short, every team in this conference, save Cal Baptist, is either looking for the exits, or is looking to simply keep the doors open.
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Cal Baptist's admission gives the league some more leeway. But not as much as one might think. At least NMSU and Chicago State will not be in this league in 3 years. Bank on it. This conference remains extremely unstable.