A friend of mine, a very intelligent education finance lawyer in Houston (Penn/Yale Law School) penned this on his FB page about Proposition 1:
Some folks have asked me to elaborate on my explanation for why I support the HISD ballot proposition. Here goes:
Why is HISD in this predicament?
To maintain equity in the school finance system, the state imposes a cap on how much property wealth per student a district is allowed to have. Because of rising property values in HISD and the state’s failure to make a corresponding increase in the school finance formulas and cap, HISD is now over this cap. Absent a substantial decline in property values, HISD will remain over this cap until the Legislature substantially raises the cap, which would also require a corresponding increase in state funding to maintain the equity of the system.
HISD has no choice but to get under the property wealth per weighted student cap, which is set at $504,000 per weighted student. HISD can either send $162 million to the state to buy attendance credits, thereby increasing the denominator in the ratio above (which requires voter approval, explaining the ballot proposition), or it can allow the Commissioner of Education to permanently detach about $18 billion worth of commercial property from its tax base and assign it to other districts, decreasing the numerator above. Either way, HISD is going to lose access to the funding. Moreover, as property values continue to rise, the amount of recapture owed every year will grow (absent a legislative increase in the cap).
Why I support the proposition.
There is no real dispute that having commercial property permanently stripped away is worse financially for HISD than buying the attendance credits. As former State Rep. and school finance guru Scott Hochberg points out in the op-ed I previously linked to, with a transfer of the property, HISD “loses the recapture amount, plus all the bond taxes the district would have collected off that property. That means the tax rate we all pay for bond payments, now and in the future, has to go up to make up for the taxes lost from the lost property.” In other words, HISD’s tax base will become smaller and it will need a higher tax rate to make its debt payments. That is why “property-wealthy” school districts overwhelmingly choose to buy attendance credits, rather than to allow seizure of property. This piece is a good summary of my views:
http://www.ttara.org/files/document/file...fa3ee1.pdf
Why people of good faith oppose the proposition.
The case for “no” is the seizure of property would not occur until fall 2017, after the Legislature meets. The argument is that the Legislature would be so fearful of a backlash from HISD voters and businesses subject to the transfer that it would be compelled to change the school finance system to protect HISD from paying recapture under the “Robin Hood” system. This seems like an enormous gamble to me. I am very skeptical that the Legislature would be compelled to action. After all, it cut $5.4 billion out of public education in 2011 rather than raising revenues, and did not experience any significant political backlash. Also, any solution that would take HISD out of Robin Hood would likely require infusing significant new money into the system to maintain current equity levels in the system, which is an anathema to this Legislature. Finally, the Legislature did not act when other large districts like Austin ISD have moved into the “recapture zone.”
The ballot language.
I’ve seen some people complain about the lack of clarity of the ballot language. HISD did not have any choice in the matter, as the language is dictated by statute – specifically Section 41.096(b) of the Texas Education Code.
Hope this is helpful.