(11-07-2016 08:57 AM)Michael in Raleigh Wrote: David Jackson, who was App State's play by play man on the radio from 2000 to 2016, convinced pretty well on the Black and Gold podcast that App State will be headed again to the Camellia Bowl. His logic:
- The New Orleans Bowl would take an 8-0 Troy over App because (a) they're closer and (b) they'd be the hands down conference champion, with wins over App and Arkansas State. The NO Bowl would take an 8-0 Arkansas State over an 8-0 App State because of proximity. I suppose if App is the only 8-0 SBC team, then the NO Bowl may actually take App.
- The Dollar General will swipe up Troy, whether they beat App or not, because the relatively local fan base will buy more tickets.
- The Camellia Bowl will jump all over App. Attendance was good last year. It's far enough to require fans to stay overnight and spend money at restaurants but close enough that fans can actually get there.
- I just don't think three bowl games are going to pass on a 10-2 (8-0 SBC) or 9-3 (7-1 SBC) App State team that leads the conference in attendance and traveled well to the bowl game last year. So no Cure Bowl for Appalachian State.
I guess that leaves Idaho for the Cure Bowl unless South Alabama or ULL can do something special here.
There is a gap in the reasoning.
Let's take some scenarios.
1. Troy defeats App, AState defeats Troy. AState wins out
AState NOLA, Troy to Mobile, App to Montgomery.
2. Troy defeats App and AState.
Troy to NOLA, App to Mobile because the non-conference record is more attractive, AState to Montgomery.
3. App defeats Troy, AState defeats Troy
NOLA probably takes App because it is better for TV and thus better for their sponsor. Mobile has a tougher call but may be inclined to take Troy because there is more pent-up demand for going to a bowl or takes AState as a co-champ. Either way the other lands in Montgomery.
4. App defeats Troy, Troy defeats AState.
NOLA is a closer call now, Troy at 10-2 with pent-up demand may jump App for NOLA unless NOLA can get a CUSA that can sell tickets, then best TV match trumps. The other lands in Mobile, AState headed to Montgomery.
If one of the three (most likely AState) loses outside these match-ups it can get even messier.