(11-01-2016 01:07 PM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  Trump States Needed:

Likely: Iowa, Georgia, Utah, Ohio, Florida, Arizona
50-50: North Carolina, Nevada
Uphill Climb (Needs 1 or 2): Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan, New Hampshire

NC is likely. Dem vote is down. While Dems are winning early vote, you have to look at history and realize NC Dems always win early vote. If the NC unaffiliateds are breaking towards Trump in any manner in which national polls suggest, Trump has got NC

(11-01-2016 03:06 PM)solohawks Wrote:  

(11-01-2016 01:07 PM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  Trump States Needed:

Likely: Iowa, Georgia, Utah, Ohio, Florida, Arizona
50-50: North Carolina, Nevada
Uphill Climb (Needs 1 or 2): Colorado, Pennsylvania, Michigan, New Hampshire

NC is likely. Dem vote is down. While Dems are winning early vote, you have to look at history and realize NC Dems always win early vote. If the NC unaffiliateds are breaking towards Trump in any manner in which national polls suggest, Trump has got NC

NC is obviously a must win state as well.

Trump +7 in NC

http://www.wral.com/wral-poll-trump-char.../16183780/

(11-01-2016 03:12 PM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  Trump +7 in NC

http://www.wral.com/wral-poll-trump-char.../16183780/

YUGE

I'll throw one wild prediction out there. If Trump wins, he will carry Rhode Island. Its got a lot of working class people. There hasn't been much polling there, but he was only 3 points back in September when he was last this close nationally.

(11-01-2016 03:18 PM)bullet Wrote:  I'll throw one wild prediction out there. If Trump wins, he will carry Rhode Island. Its got a lot of working class people. There hasn't been much polling there, but he was only 3 points back in September when he was last this close nationally.

Good call. I see there was a Google poll from last week that had Clinton +2 but only at 38%, with 19% still undecided.

(11-01-2016 03:18 PM)bullet Wrote:  I'll throw one wild prediction out there. If Trump wins, he will carry Rhode Island. Its got a lot of working class people. There hasn't been much polling there, but he was only 3 points back in September when he was last this close nationally.

Can we all agree that if he wins RI, this is going to get called very very early.

(11-01-2016 03:39 PM)solohawks Wrote:  

(11-01-2016 03:18 PM)bullet Wrote:  I'll throw one wild prediction out there. If Trump wins, he will carry Rhode Island. Its got a lot of working class people. There hasn't been much polling there, but he was only 3 points back in September when he was last this close nationally.

Can we all agree that if he wins RI, this is going to get called very very early.

Maybe on Fox, but CNN, ABC, NBC and probably CBS will be in denial.

I could easily see CNN and NBC calling it early for HRC based on the notoriously biased toward the Democrat exit polls, much as a couple of networks gave Gore Florida early in 2000, with ABC and CBS rushing to join them. When Trump doesn't concede, HRC gives a victory speech. It then becomes obvious that Trump did win FL, OH and NC and in the early morning when Trump carries NH, RI, WI or CO to put him over the top, he gives a victory speech. Meanwhile the other networks don't take back their call and on the morning shows, CNN, NBC, CBS and ABC will still talk about President Hillary while Fox will talk about President Trump.