http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/always...le/2599203

Republican Donald Trump should win the presidency by a slim margin according to a model that has accurately predicted the popular vote since 1988.

Using several standards to make his prediction, Alan Abramowitz's "Time for Change" model done for the University of Virginia's Center for Politics "Crystal Ball" shows Trump winning 51.4 percent to 48.6 percent for Hillary Clinton.

However, in an unusual move, Abramowitz is throwing his own model under the bus and suggesting that Clinton will win because Trump is so different from past presidential candidates and has such high unfavorability ratings that his election forecast basics can't be trusted.
-- Washington Examiner

HARD BOILED EGG MAKER

I can't wait for November 9th so we can stop hearing about polls.

(08-13-2016 04:58 PM)Niner National Wrote:  I can't wait for November 9th so we can stop hearing about polls.

yeah, then we're going to have to deal with one of those clowns as president. much better. well, wait. I guess we'll be trading the current preachy, pompous, sanctimonious clown for an actual clown.

not sure that's trading up.

(08-13-2016 05:09 PM)EagleX Wrote:  

(08-13-2016 04:58 PM)Niner National Wrote:  I can't wait for November 9th so we can stop hearing about polls.

yeah, then we're going to have to deal with one of those clowns as president. much better. well, wait. I guess we'll be trading the current preachy, pompous, sanctimonious clown for an actual clown.
not sure that's trading up.

I think it probably is. Which speaks volumes about our current situation.

(08-13-2016 05:10 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  

(08-13-2016 05:09 PM)EagleX Wrote:  

(08-13-2016 04:58 PM)Niner National Wrote:  I can't wait for November 9th so we can stop hearing about polls.

yeah, then we're going to have to deal with one of those clowns as president. much better. well, wait. I guess we'll be trading the current preachy, pompous, sanctimonious clown for an actual clown.
not sure that's trading up.

I think it probably is. Which speaks volumes about our current situation.

indeed. when president clown or president criminal would both be considered a step up . . . good heavens.

I had a feeling this pollster would do this. At least a couple of months ago he eluded to the fact that his poll is pointing in one direction, and he didnt like what direction was.

He has a new job forecasting climate change.

So many pollsters and experts are expecting Clinton to be the beneficiary of all these anti trump republicans. I just don't see it. Maybe if the democrats had not run Hilary Clinton, but those that don't like Trump also do not like her