(08-05-2016 03:52 PM)NJDuke97 Wrote: How do the Sagarin predictor rankings work- scale of 1-100- higher the score the better?
Explanation from Sagarin:
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
In layman speak: Higher numbers are better. You can use the predictor number to compare two teams on a neutral court* and get a rough 'vegas' line. The numbers I provided are obviously based on 2015/16 and are not valid for 2016/17 because of coaching changes, player changes, etc. They do however give you a rough feel for where the teams were at the end of last year. Obviously, there are a million other trends, data points, and statistics to look at before betting your hard earned money on a team, but this is a great starting point.
*to account for home court advantage last year you would have added 3.31 points to the home team's rating and then compared the two teams.
Example: If, at the end of last season, JMU had played Richmond on a neutral court in a postseason tournament, then this metric would support JMU being a 1 pt underdog.