(11-07-2016 03:50 PM)200yrs2late Wrote:  

(11-07-2016 02:45 PM)Max Power Wrote:  You better hope so because FL and NC are leaning blue now.

Link, cause even google says you are lying.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...-forecast/

538 doesn't know anything Max. It's gone back and forth for a whole week now.

Well it's going forth now. National polls are a leading indicator and have shifted to Hillary in the last couple days, and expect that to accelerate now that the FBI cleared her and it's splashed all over the media. FL and NC are in the bag.

(11-07-2016 04:01 PM)Max Power Wrote:  Well it's going forth now. National polls are a leading indicator and have shifted to Hillary in the last couple days, and expect that to accelerate now that the FBI cleared her and it's splashed all over the media. FL and NC are in the bag.

Dude come on. No one knows wtf they're talking about. Everyone invents their own narrative.

We'll see I guess. My prediction on here was 100% accurate in 2012. I like to think that wasn't pure luck.

538 is the only one with NC lean Clinton that I see

(11-07-2016 04:10 PM)200yrs2late Wrote:  538 is the only one with NC lean Clinton that I see

Fox News decision desk has NC as a Clinton lean, but they also have Texas and Georgia as toss ups. They are cucked.

Buddy the vast majority of forecasters have North Carolina going Hillary.

NYT: 66% Dem.

538: 52% Dem.

HuffPo: 88% Dem.

PredictWise (betting markets): 60% Dem.

Princeton: 57% Rep.

DailyKos: 59% Dem.

Cook: Tossup

Roth: Lean Dem.

U of Virginia: Lean Dem

(11-07-2016 04:17 PM)Max Power Wrote:  Buddy the vast majority of forecasters have North Carolina going Hillary.

NYT: 66% Dem.

538: 52% Dem.

HuffPo: 88% Dem.

PredictWise (betting markets): 60% Dem.

Princeton: 57% Rep.

DailyKos: 59% Dem.

Cook: Tossup

Roth: Lean Dem.

U of Virginia: Lean Dem

The vast majority of voters has it going for Trump.

HuffPo and NYT, give me a break.

I'll humor you with MUH NATE as it is at least halfway respectable, 52% doesn't "have it going" anywhere. That's a toss up.

(11-07-2016 04:24 PM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(11-07-2016 04:17 PM)Max Power Wrote:  Buddy the vast majority of forecasters have North Carolina going Hillary.

NYT: 66% Dem.

538: 52% Dem.

HuffPo: 88% Dem.

PredictWise (betting markets): 60% Dem.

Princeton: 57% Rep.

DailyKos: 59% Dem.

Cook: Tossup

Roth: Lean Dem.

U of Virginia: Lean Dem

The vast majority of voters has it going for Trump.

Bazinga

ABC/WaPo (stays H +4) and YouGov (goes from H +3 to H +4) release updated polls:

Angus Reid Global: Hillary +4
Monmouth: Hillary +6
Bloomberg/Selzer: Hillary +3
New Orleans Times-Picayune: Hillary +5
Fox News: Hillary +4
IBD/TIPP: Trump +2
CBS/NYT: Hillary +4
Rasmussen: Hillary +2
LAT/USC: Trump +5
UPI/CVOTER: Hillary +3
NBC/SurveyMonkey: Hillary +6
Politico/Morning Consult: Hillary +3
NBC/WSJ: Hillary +4
ABC/WaPo: Hillary +4
Boston Herald/RKM: Hillary +3
Reuters/Ipsos: Hillary +4
McClatchy/Marist: Hillary +1
Breitbart/Gravis: Hillary +2
YouGov: Hillary +4
RAND: Hillary +9
Google Consumer Surveys: Hillary +3

New Orleans Times-Picayune locks in final poll at H +5 (unchanged from yesterday) and there's a poll just released from the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES) showing H +4, but it was in the field for a full month which is highly unorthodox and makes it unreliable IMO.

CCES/YouGov: Hillary +4
Angus Reid Global: Hillary +4
Monmouth: Hillary +6
Bloomberg/Selzer: Hillary +3
New Orleans Times-Picayune: Hillary +5
Fox News: Hillary +4
IBD/TIPP: Trump +2
CBS/NYT: Hillary +4
Rasmussen: Hillary +2
LAT/USC: Trump +5
UPI/CVOTER: Hillary +3
NBC/SurveyMonkey: Hillary +6
Politico/Morning Consult: Hillary +3
NBC/WSJ: Hillary +4
ABC/WaPo: Hillary +4
Boston Herald/RKM: Hillary +3
Reuters/Ipsos: Hillary +4
McClatchy/Marist: Hillary +1
Breitbart/Gravis: Hillary +2
YouGov: Hillary +4
RAND: Hillary +9
Google Consumer Surveys: Hillary +3

(11-07-2016 11:59 AM)ECUGrad07 Wrote:  More than 3 million early voters in NC so far

"North Carolina's elections board says more than 45 percent of the state’s nearly 7 million registered voters have already cast their ballots ahead of election day, with Democrats and Republicans turning out in roughly equal proportions.

The State Board of Elections said Sunday that almost 3.1 million of North Carolina’s nearly 6.9 million registered voters have made their choices at early-voting location or by mail-in absentee ballots. That’s a double-digit increase over the early voting period during the last presidential election in 2012.

But percentages for Democratic and black voters remained lower compared to four years ago. Blacks comprised 22 percent of the early vote compared to 27 percent during the last presidential election, when Republican Mitt Romney won the state."

Democrats made up 42% of the early vote, Republicans 32%, unaffiliated 26%. 47.5% of Republicans and 47.5 of Democrats, and 39% of unaffiliated registered voters voted in early voting. With 3.1 million out of 6.9 million possible votes already in the bank that only leaves 3.9 possible votes left. A 70% total turnout would be outstanding, that is 4.8 million. 4.8-3.1=1.7 million votes left. Indications are that Clinton has the lead by about 9% in early voting and Trump should lead by about 17% in Tuesday voting. Where does that leave us? Too close to call.

https://worldwide.vote/hillary-vs-trump/#/results/total



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internal polling shows it is sliding to Trump.

(11-07-2016 08:49 PM)UofMstateU Wrote:  internal polling shows it is sliding to Trump.

He is already president in Japan.

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(11-07-2016 08:55 PM)Curumim Wrote:  

(11-07-2016 08:49 PM)UofMstateU Wrote:  internal polling shows it is sliding to Trump.

He is already president in Japan.

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Hillary's ground game of getting out the dead voters there was an abysmal failure.

(11-07-2016 03:55 PM)Max Power Wrote:  

(11-07-2016 03:50 PM)200yrs2late Wrote:  

(11-07-2016 02:45 PM)Max Power Wrote:  You better hope so because FL and NC are leaning blue now.

Link, cause even google says you are lying.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...-forecast/

MUH NATE

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(11-07-2016 04:06 PM)Max Power Wrote:  We'll see I guess. My prediction on here was 100% accurate in 2012. I like to think that wasn't pure luck.

Obama isn't running. He turned them out. She's not.

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