(01-03-2016 09:05 PM)SoCalBobcat78 Wrote: It took years for the power conference schools to get to a point where they could agree on a four team playoff format. They are probably never going to a 16 team playoff set-up. They may go to an 8 team playoff format eventually.
FBS conferences are not all equal and never will be. No one in a power conference will be interested in a 16 team playoff format to be fair to the G5 conferences. They already figure they are giving 25% of the playoff revenue and a spot in a major bowl game to the G5 conferences.
Every conference and school looks out for themselves first. Do you think that if the Big Sky Conference wanted to move up to the FBS level that they would be welcomed by the other G5 Conferences? No, because they would cut into the playoff revenue that the G5 conferences receive. The American Athletic Conference thinks there should be six power conferences and they should be one of them. They don't see themselves as equal to the Sun Belt.
It took us decades to get to a four team playoff. I think over time we could get to an eight team playoff format, but I can't see 16. I don't think the University Presidents could be sold on 16 and I don't think ESPN would be excited to televise first round blowouts. You will not get kids to come to Arkansas State or Texas State just because of an expanded playoff. They will still select USC, Alabama and Ohio State first. Like they do today. The prestige, the tradition and the money will win out.
I think the best we can hope for is an 8 team playoff with a guaranteed spot for a G5 school and as Attackcoog mentioned, better bowl games for the other four G5 conference champions that don't get selected. That I think is realistic and achievable. Anything beyond eight teams is a pipe dream.
What's funny about this comment to me is the delusion most AAC fans have. Many of them honestly think that they are a P5 conference stuck in the G5. Let's look at some of their conference and OOC games from this season:
- An FCS team, JMU, beat SMU, 48 to 45
- A terrible Army beat Tulane, 34 to 31
- Houston absolutely dominated Tulane early on, 42 to 7
- Tulsa barely beat a terrible FAU in OT, 47 to 44
- Tulsa only beat a winless UCF by two touchdowns, 45 to 30
- Another FCS team, Furman, beat UCF, 16 to 15
- UCF was dominated by an average USF team, 44 to 3
- UCF lost to a season that still has a losing record, UConn, 40 to 13
- Another down team, ECU, dominated UCF, 44 to 7
- ECU beat an average FCS Towson team by one touchdown, 28 to 20
- UConn beat an average FCS Villanova team by one touchdown, 20 to 15
- UConn was beat by an "lesser" Marshall team, 16 to 10
- UConn was handed a loss by an average Cincinnati team, 37 to 13
- Cincinnati barely beat a terrible Miami (Ohio) team, 37 to 33
- Cincinnati was dominated by San Diego State in their bowl, 42 to 7
- Memphis barely beat the "lesser" Bowling Green, 44 to 41
- Navy barely beat a terrible Army, 21 to 17
- Temple was handled by the "lesser" Toledo in their bowl, 32 to 17
- USF lost to the "lesser" WKU in their bowl, 45 to 35
- Auburn whooped Memphis in their bowl, 31 to 10
So, as much as the AAC thinks it closely aligns with the P5, it doesn't. It has more bottom of the barrel teams than they do dominating teams. There are a few teams that could stand to move up (i.e. Houston, Navy, Temple, USF), but the rest are right where they belong in the G5.