(05-03-2018 10:29 AM)maddvector Wrote: The Big 12 will eventually expand by 2 teams. The rumors are 4 AAC schools and 1 independent in the running for the 2 slots.
The AAC will then grab schools from the SunBelt and/or CUSA.
UCT has the facilities for either of these two conferences. ETSU would have to upgrade its football stadium.
As long as Texas and Oklahoma are there the B12 will stay the B10, which is the current membership right now. Here is whats going to happen:
The GOR (Gang Of Rights) all ends in 2023 for all conferences. By 2021 or 2022 Texas and Oklahoma will finally announce they are taking off to the PAC whatever. And they will take Oklahoma State and most likely Kansas with them. If not Kansas then the B10 which now stands at 13 will take them to get to an even 14.
This will leave the "Little Six" in KState, Iowa State, Baylor, TCU, Texas Tech and West Virginia. They will in turn take 4-6 members of the AACk in Memphis, Cincinnati, The Florida Twins the U_Fs, SMU and Houston, big surprise UConn gets left out again. If they decide to only take 4 then SMU and on of the Florida Twins gets left out. Which now makes the "Little Six" and their new friends not a Power Conference.
That then leaves Tulane, ECU, Tulsa, Temple, UConn and Navy (Football) twisting in the wind, you need 8 for a conference. This will then make most of CUSA East (at least 4 teams) along with Southern Miss and LA Tech a decision. Do they take off to join the six leftovers or let them fend for their selves.
If four from CUSA East (say Marshall, MTSU, WKU and one of the other Florida Twins, the F_Us) go with say Southern Miss and LA Tech to the new reformed AACk then that leaves One of the Florida Twins, Charlotte and ODU in the east and UTSA, Rice, UTEP, UAB and North Texas.
There have been rumblings for 5 or so years now on each off season that UTEP is headed to the MWC, at this time along with Rice or UTSA it might just happen.
That would mean then that Rice/UTSA, UAB, North Texas, ODU, Charlotte and one of the Florida Twins will raid the Sun Belt and probably take something like this: Appy State, GA Southern, ULL, Arkansas State and South Alabama.
That would leave Troy, GA State, ULM and Texas State. What happens then is a total mystery but I could see ULM doing the samething Idaho done and tuck their tails and go to the Southland, GA State, Texas State and Troy may try and stay IA Indy but that's a hard trick to pull if you don't have money.
After this shake up I could see things settle down for a long period. But this will all start with Texas an Oklahoma which probably should have happened in 2012 and just get it over with.