Will we, as a conference, supply enough teams to fulfill our projected spots??
We have 7-8 Bowl slots this year and as it currently stands, we are in jeopardy of not providing enough teams.

4-1 teams who should be virtual locks to reach 6 wins:
WKU, Marshall

3-2 teams who have a better than average chance to make it to 6 wins:
La Tech, S. Miss

Now this is where it gets scary. We have 6 teams with 2-3 records (FAU is 1-3, so I'll put them in this group for the moment, so 7 possibilities)). Of these 7, we need 4 to get to 6 wins. Who will it be?
MTSU, FIU, ODU, Charlotte, Rice, UTEP, FAU

These 2 teams, IMHO, are out of it with 1-4/0-4 records:
NT, UTSA

Who gets it done??

Discuss

(10-04-2015 09:15 AM)Psychored Wrote:  Will we, as a conference, supply enough teams to fulfill our projected spots??
We have 7-8 Bowl slots this year and as it currently stands, we are in jeopardy of not providing enough teams.

4-1 teams who should be virtual locks to reach 6 wins:
WKU, Marshall

3-2 teams who have a better than average chance to make it to 6 wins:
La Tech, S. Miss

Now this is where it gets scary. We have 6 teams with 2-3 records (FAU is 1-3, so I'll put them in this group for the moment, so 7 possibilities)). Of these 7, we need 4 to get to 6 wins. Who will it be?
MTSU, FIU, ODU, Charlotte, Rice, UTEP, FAU

These 3 teams, IMHO, are out of it with 1-4/0-4 records:
NT, UTSA

Who gets it done??

Discuss

Looking at that it's hard to say. I think MT and maybe Rice. most of the bottom teams must still play la tech , Marshall and WKU Then each other

Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 9-3
Marshall 11-1

(10-04-2015 11:28 AM)MU42 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 10-2
Marshall 11-1

Are you saying WKU will beat LSU and then lose to Marshall?

(10-04-2015 11:30 AM)freshtop Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 11:28 AM)MU42 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 10-2
Marshall 11-1

Are you saying WKU will beat LSU and then lose to Marshall?

Good Catch. That would be awesome but 9-3 for WKU.

Honest look at our remaining games...

CURRENT RECORD: 2-3
@ Western Kentucky - 25% chance of win --- 2-4
VS Florida Intl - 67% chance of win --- 3-4
@ Louisiana Tech - 33% chance of win --- 3-5
VS Marshall - 40% chance of win --- 3-6
@ Florida Atl - 60% chance of win --- 4-6
VS North Texas - 75% chance of win --- 5-6
@ UT San Antonio - 60% chance of win --- 6-6

But I think we'll have a better reflection after WKU.

These 2 teams, IMHO, are out of it with 1-4/0-4 records:
NT, UTSA

Who gets it done??

Discuss
[/quote]

I wouldn't count out UTSA just yet. We have NT, ODU, and Charlotte which are lock Ws.

If we can split Tech, Rice, MT, and USM. Boom we get to 6-6.

(10-04-2015 11:28 AM)MU42 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 9-3
Marshall 11-1

I think we will have 5 eligible, maybe 6. Cusa bottom half is pretty dreadful. I think utsa will upset a top team that sleep walks on them though.

(10-04-2015 11:28 AM)MU42 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 9-3
Marshall 11-1

Homer much? WKU is MUCH more likely to win in double digits than MU. Even with your soft schedule!

(10-04-2015 11:49 AM)SApuro Wrote:  These 2 teams, IMHO, are out of it with 1-4/0-4 records:
NT, UTSA

Who gets it done??

Discuss

I wouldn't count out UTSA just yet. We have NT, ODU, and Charlotte which are lock Ws.

If we can split Tech, Rice, MT, and USM. Boom we get to 6-6.
[/quote]

If you have any kind of passing game you can beat Rice this year. We basically have no defense beyond our front line. I don't really see a scenario where Rice doesn't make a bowl currently, but that is because there are way too many meaningless bowls these days.

(10-04-2015 12:18 PM)GoodOwl Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 11:49 AM)SApuro Wrote:  These 2 teams, IMHO, are out of it with 1-4/0-4 records:
NT, UTSA

Who gets it done??

Discuss

I wouldn't count out UTSA just yet. We have NT, ODU, and Charlotte which are lock Ws.

If we can split Tech, Rice, MT, and USM. Boom we get to 6-6.

If you have any kind of passing game you can beat Rice this year. We basically have no defense beyond our front line. I don't really see a scenario where Rice doesn't make a bowl currently, but that is because there are way too many meaningless bowls these days.
[/quote]

Rice has traditionally owned us. It would be nice to get that monkey off our back.

(10-04-2015 12:10 PM)Topper59 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 11:28 AM)MU42 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 9-3
Marshall 11-1

Homer much? WKU is MUCH more likely to win in double digits than MU. Even with your soft schedule!

If we beat USM we will be 8-1 going into MTSU, FIU and WKU. I like our 10 win chances as well.

This is probably going to another year were UTSA watchs teams who finish below UTSA in CUSA go to bowl games, and UTSA sits at home because of the OOC schedule this year.

(10-04-2015 11:28 AM)MU42 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 9-3
Marshall 11-1

No. Marshall will not be 11-1 at the end of the season. I don't know what Kool Aid you've been drinking, but I want some of it. I predict 7-5 at least, 8-4 at the most. They're playing IN Bowling Green, KY and Murfreesboro, TN. Marshall's offensive line has a lot of work to do. There's also a toss-up in next week's contest with Southern Miss.

Bowl eligibility is a useless term to me. 6-6 means nothing. MT fans, more than any, should be tired of that phrase if there is no destination at the end of the season. I'm looking for 7-5. Five more wins needed. Seven games left in regular season. Can Stockstill and the Raiders deliver? We'll see.

(10-04-2015 11:46 AM)Ole Blue Wrote:  Honest look at our remaining games...

CURRENT RECORD: 2-3
@ Western Kentucky - 25% chance of win --- 2-4
VS Florida Intl - 67% chance of win --- 3-4
@ Louisiana Tech - 33% chance of win --- 3-5
VS Marshall - 40% chance of win --- 3-6
@ Florida Atl - 60% chance of win --- 4-6
VS North Texas - 75% chance of win --- 5-6
@ UT San Antonio - 60% chance of win --- 6-6

But I think we'll have a better reflection after WKU.

I would say 60% beating Marshall at home. That would line up with the Sagarin predictor also. So 7-5 is very possible. No offense to Marshall but I think they are going to lose some CUSA games this year.

(10-04-2015 01:04 PM)BnGJacket Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 11:28 AM)MU42 Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:55 AM)Blue Raider Dave Wrote:  

(10-04-2015 09:37 AM)MU42 Wrote:  Bowl teams imo, Marshall, WKU, So Miss, Rice, FIU, MTSU, and La Tech.

If Middle Tennessee gets to a bowl it will be with a 6-6 record.

That is correct.

FIU 6-6
MTSU 6-6
Rice 8-4
So Miss 7-5
LT 9-3
WKU 9-3
Marshall 11-1

No. Marshall will not be 11-1 at the end of the season. I don't know what Kool Aid you've been drinking, but I want some of it. I predict 7-5 at least, 8-4 at the most. They're playing IN Bowling Green, KY and Murfreesboro, TN. Marshall's offensive line has a lot of work to do. There's also a toss-up in next week's contest with Southern Miss.

Yeah I agree, Marshall is good at home but Southern Miss will be tough test for Marshall

Yes. There is a VERY good chance that we lose multiple games in conference this year.

8/11 starters on offense are either FR or SO.