Eagle78
1st String
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Rumor Mill
(04-10-2015 11:05 AM)DefCONNOne Wrote: (04-09-2015 09:59 PM)Eagle78 Wrote: (04-09-2015 09:31 PM)DefCONNOne Wrote: (04-09-2015 05:12 PM)Eagle78 Wrote: (04-09-2015 04:18 PM)HuskyU Wrote: Until a GOR is challenged, no one really knows how rock solid it is.
If anyone's gonna take a shot at it, my money's on Delany and the Big Ten.
IMO, the are three things wrong with this statement:
1. GORs are hardly novel. They have been well utilized in other industries for years and have been viewed by the courts as binding and enforceable. If such a challenge were to be made, the courts would likely look to prior application of these instruments in other areas. Not saying that it would be an impossibility, but a conference, and more importantly, individual programs, would be taking huge risks which, IMO, they would be unlikely to take given ramifications of losing in court. In my experience, institutions by their very nature are generally risk averse.
2. What individual programs from other P5 conferences would even be interested? Let's be real here. As mentioned above, if any P5 program, such as from the ACC, was interested in making such a move, they would have done so prior to voluntarily signing the GOR. At the very least, programs would have kept their options open and not signed the document if they had a desire to bolt the conference at some point. Simple logic.
3. Delany is not the "king" of the BiG. He works for, and answers to, the BiG university presidents. See point #1 about institutions and their willingness to accept big risks. IMO, there is even more to this point. Since the BiG also has a GOR, and, as widely reported, these GORs are more or less mirror images of one another, any challenge by the BiG to another Conference's GOR becomes, IMO, a de-facto challenge to THEIR OWN GOR. IMO, one of the benefits which the GORs have ushered into CFB is stability. The proverbial conference "musical chairs" appears over for the for the foreseeable future. As a Uconn fan, I understand that might not be good news, but for the P5, IMO, stability makes networks much more comfortable in doing long-term, big $$ deals with the conferences. An assault on one GOR is an assault on all the GORS which, IMO, creates the kind of uncertainty across all of the CFB market which would not be desired by the universities.
There is a reason why CFB realignment has basically stopped despite all of the baseless speculation that gets thrown around on these boards. It is what it is. Some people just refuse to see the facts for what they are, IMO.
Yep, and you have ZERO idea why that is. Everyone thought CR was over in 2005 after BC joined the ACC, yet CR struck again in 2011. Then everyone said it was over after that round, until the very next year. So to get all sanctimonious and proclaim that people are grasping at straws is at the very least.......grasping at straws.
Um, a little bit of historical revisionism going on here maybe? NOBODY thought realignment was over after 2011 and 2012. Every Tom, Dick, and Harry seemed to be proclaiming that the ACC was going to be ripped part. There were endless media stories speculating about the next moves to be made in CFB realignment. Then, contrary to the overwhelming popular wisdom at the time, realignment just stopped. What happened? After all, EVERYBODY was predicting more moves to follow. Why didn't the ACC get ripped apart? Oh yes, GORs were adopted in 4 of the 5 P5 conferences. Action and reaction.
Oh, and here is something for you to consider, ALL of the moves that occurred or were announced in the 2011 and 2012 period you cited either occurred prior to the signing of GORs or involved schools from conferences without a GOR. How much P5 realignment has occurred SINCE the GORs were adopted? How many P5 schools that signed a GOR have jumped to another P5 conference? Um, that would be a big fat zero.
It's not rocket science. I realize that this is not the result you want, for obvious reasons; but facts are stubborn things.
I know you desperately cling to the notion that everyone didn't think CR was over after 2011, but those facts you like to throw in my face say otherwise. I know you can't accept the fact that a certain unnamed school will, and I do mean WILL, get the callup to a P5 conference. But, using conjecture and slight-of-hand will not make CR, and that certain unnamed school, go away.
Must I really link all the articles and blogs from that time period which inferred that conference realignment was far from over? OK, how about I link just one for starters...from that obscure (sarcasm intended) media outlet known as the New York Times. Perhaps you have heard of them?:
http://thequad.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09...haos/?_r=0
I call your attention to one of the quotes in the article:
"The only conferences that can feel completely secure are the Big Ten and the SEC."
I do believe that this blog article has frequently been linked in these threads.
To your main point, I don't "desperately cling" to anything. The facts are on my side; and the fact is that realignment came to a screeching halt once the GORs were put in place. That's not really open for debate. I opined that this will continue for the foreseeable future due to the GORs being in place. Most importantly, I provided a rationale for why the GORs have been effective.
You, on the other hand, have provided no rationale whatsoever to dispute my points. As I said before, I get why you feel that way. But, frankly IMO, you voice more of a hope rather than having any substance to substantiate your position. If you do have a rationale for your viewpoint, I would welcome the chance to debate it with you.
Oh, and one final point, I could care less whether or not that "unnamed school", as you put it, gets into the P5 or not. As a BC grad and life long BC fan/season ticket holder, I am much more concerned about the progress of our FB program than I am about other schools. I can also tell you that, whether you want to believe it or not, most of us BC fans have many other issue and concerns. That "unnanmed school" is very far down our list.
My whole thesis here has been why I think the GORs have been very effective instruments in stabilizing CFB, that's it.
Dude, you seem a bit angry. We are talking ideas and opinions here. None of this should be taken personally.
(This post was last modified: 04-10-2015 12:36 PM by Eagle78.)
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