RE: ACC's Next Move Crucial
I think the ACC has actually done pretty well with what it had to play with. Last year, there was a somewhat serious amount of chatter about the Big XII going after Clemson and FSU, which would have been deadly to the long term situation at the ACC. Unlike the Big XII, the ACC recognized that it was in a bad spot and had to act to get out of it. First, they needed to grab teams from the old Big East to stop the AAC from being part of the P5. Then they had to stop the Big XII from encroaching. Then they had to fend off the B1G.
They also, for some unknown reason, had to exclude WVU (probably due to internal politics in the AAC).
They saw all this coming and executed pretty well. But they were helped, immensely by other conferences acting stupidly. First dumb move - by the Big XII, which didn't take Louisville (a team that had sitting on a mens final four, a womens final four, a CWS berth, and a BCS bowl win) to go along with WVU. Dumb, dumb, dumb of the Big XII. Second dumb move was by the B1G, which filled up on a feast of Rutgers and Maryland when they probably could have gotten Georgia Tech and/or any number of better programs.
So the ACC took Louisville and got a scheduling agreement with ND.
As far as the ACC's next move....Stand pat. The threat isn't that another conference out expands them, but rather raids them (and for programs that mean something in the football order of things). Keep Florida State, Georgia Tech, Clemson, Louisville, and VT happy, instead of deferring to UNC/UVa. Because there really isn't much to be added that helps the ACC, other than adding WVU.
Even if TCU had managed to make the playoffs, its a bad situation for the Big XII. SEC competing with them in their Texas homeland. No real interest in the league outside of its Texoma heartland. The loss of market dominance in Kansas City. Pitt moving to the ACC takes away some of the marketing potential of WVU in Pittsburgh.
The GOR in the Big XII ends in six years. If there are a couple more seasons like this one, teams will start looking for the exits again. And this time, it will probably be OU/OSU saying screw this, we need to look out for number 1. If they went to the SEC....or even the Pac 12....it could force UT's hand. And that would probably be very bad news for Tech, Iowa State, Baylor, TCU, and probably Kansas, WVU, and Kansas State. This time, everyone knows that the Big XII will be under threat, especially if OU refuses to sign an extension of the GOR. But I wouldn't be surprised if they tried to pull off four of FSU, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Clemson, and VT first. ACC needs to keep them happy.
In short the threat is still there. But adding Cincy or Uconn isn't going to help the ACC. Nor will it help the Big XII
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