(12-07-2014 10:23 AM)Potomac Wrote: I'm shocked longhorn hasn't throw his weight around in this thread yet.
I'm glad most seem to be in my camp, realizing that rooting for your direct competition is not in our best interests if we actually want to beat them in the future.
I also agree that if I HAD to pick a CAA team to win it, then unh more than vu. They are less of a threat, we play them less often, and they're basically in Canada.
I started formulating a response to prove you were wrong as I think you stated in another thread it was not in our best interest due to recruiting. Well, I'm no longer going to disagree (or agree) but will instead provide the following limited data.
JMU won in 2004. Those recruits would have came in 2005 and probably redshirted with the majority of their PT would have been 2007 (8-4),
2008 (12-2) and 2009 (6-5). A noticeable bump 4 years after winning the NC as non redshirted recruits were not seniors and others were redshirt Juniors.
Looking at other CAA teams, Richmond and UD also experienced a noticeable bump 4 years after the NC. UD won it in 2003 and went 5-6 in 2006,
12-3 in 2007, and 4-8 in 2008. Richmond won 2008 and went 3-8 in 2011,
8-3 in 2012 and 6-6 in 2013. Villanova, currently 5 years from its 2009 title is 11-2 but went 6-6 last year.
I won't say a NC leads to better recruits and better recruits leads to better future seasons as the teams above went from 5-6 to 12-5 (UD), 3-8 to 8-3 (UR) and 6-6 to 11-2 (Nova) before their respected "bumps". I don't think the additional 5+ wins from season to season were due to the additional year of experience of the specific recruiting class (too many other variables).
It should be noted there are also recruits that go lower teams in the SEC versus MAC and C-USA teams because they want to play in the SEC. I think JMU could also benefit from players that want to play in the best FCS conference. Now maybe 1 recruit bounces from JMU to Nova due to their recent success but I don't think that causes an impact (especially over the course of multiple 20 person signing classes) on the future of JMU's success. So with just the possibility of limited impact, as long as JMU is committed to the CAA, I'd rather say the CAA is the best conference than not.
With all that said, out of 10 my happiness if a CAA teams wins the NC will be 0.01 and if a non CAA teams wins it will be 0.00.