JRsec
Super Moderator
Posts: 38,334
Joined: Mar 2012
Reputation: 8031
I Root For: SEC
Location:
|
RE: ACC Network "several years" away
(05-17-2014 01:50 PM)Lurker Above Wrote: (05-17-2014 10:54 AM)JRsec Wrote: (05-17-2014 12:12 AM)Lurker Above Wrote: (05-16-2014 10:39 PM)JRsec Wrote: (05-16-2014 10:32 PM)miko33 Wrote: I get why everyone hopes their school's conference gets the coveted "network". But seriously, who wants to be forced to buy another channel with the so so games? The BTN sucks, yet millions are forced to buy it. I can't believe people are bragging about there being a new SEC network - YAAAAAAAYYYYY!!!!! - and then ridiculing other conferences for not having. Haven't we learned about how boring and overpriced these stupid networks are? C'mon, support your school but don't sanction their intent to fleece us so that we can watch the sh!tty networks with low quality games.
Miko you just described 286 channels of the 300 I already get and am forced to buy to get the regular sports channels. Somehow this is more than a conference network issue.
BTW joint discussions have recently been held between the ACC/SEC and ESPN. I think the ACC will have one too and that it will be bundled with the SECN perhaps as soon as 2017. This is a non issue.
JR, this is a very big issue. The joint discussions you mention will unlikely lead to any bundling of an SEC and ACC. The more likely scenario is an large absorption of the ACC product into the SEC.
Lurker, under certain circumstances that is a possibility, and could even be as you state a likelihood, but those circumstances have not yet arisen, at least not publicly. The official line is that the discussions are being held for the sake of future scheduling between the two conferences in all sports that will broaden audience participation and reduce travel for OOC games between the two ESPN properties. This is 2014. The 2017 season is still 3 years away and the word was "could" under the right circumstances which means the expected success of the SECN and of course the right circumstances for the ACC.
Where your reasoning is particularly on point is in reacquiring the sublet rights. Whether that is in 1 year or 3, or 10 it has to be done before such a network can be accomplished. If the idea is to run the ACCN out of the same Charlotte facility, which would be simple to do, start up time for the project should be minimal, except for the rights. A lot can happen in three years and depending upon moves the Big 10 may or may not make many theories, approaches, and plans could change by then. The talking point right now is a joint venture, but certainly it lays the same groundwork for a future change of plans as well.
In three years the cable model could change, the economy could tank even more, the economy could rebound, the Big 10 contract will be done, the O'Bannon case will hopefully be through, the resolution of Maryland happens this year but hasn't happened yet, and maybe there is a clearer understanding of where we are headed with the union issue. Until then I have no doubt but what ESPN wants to hold onto the timeline on the decision about the ACCN and the proposed joint venture.
This approach freezes the SEC and ACC where they are with the exception that they are both still open to acquisitions from outside of each other's conference. ESPN will have time to assess the Big 12 situation, monitor the Big 10 situation, and wait to see what the PAC decides to do with regard to being open to more network influence over their product. If things continue to play out like they have and the ACC reacquires their rights then a bundle benefits both by virtue of footprints. The SEC won't need to own ACC property to get distribution in states they don't currently have and vice versa. That kind of model places any future expansion in Northeastern schools not owned by the Big 10, and in schools West of the Mississippi.
If Delany, after the Maryland moderation goes after more ACC schools then I agree the SEC becomes a haven for the property that ESPN wants to shelter and perhaps some properties that the SEC doesn't want in the Big 10's hands.
But, I believe there is more to be gleaned for the Big 10 (and FOX) by looking toward some kind of merger or business arrangement with the PAC. If that happens then the same could be in the offing for the SEC and ACC.
But that's how I see it.
Except for the northeast, Texas and NC/VA , "markets" are so yesterday for conferences that have networks. The networks, especially the SEC, needed the carriage boost from adding populous states, but the future is "market share". In all media, once distribution is achieved, content is king.
Look to our conference, the SEC. While every SEC game has value, certain matchups that bring very high ratings, even if both teams are not playing their best, and are the ones that really moves the needle and generate the most income. This is an important concept to remember. Revenue generation does not go up in a parallel line with market share of TV ratings, it goes up exponentially. Look at the ratings of SEC West intra-divisional games when two of Bama, TAMU, LSU, and AU played one another. In the SEC East, even though UGA was down, and UF was way down, UGA/UF still got high ratings.
For the SEC to make significantly more money they need more rainmaker games so that there is at least two such games every week, preferably three or four so at least one would be on the SECN.
So what schools provide rainmaker matchups against SEC teams in an expanded conference? Try these potential matchups where each SEC schools would play 5 to 7 marque SEC games per year:
Clemson/UGA
Clemson/AU
Clemson/UT
Clemson/SC
Clemson/FSU
Clemson/VT
Clemson/UF
Clemson/LSU
Clemson/Bama
Clemson/TAMU
VT/UT
VT/TAMU
VT/SC
VT/UGA
VT/UF
VT/FSU
VT/AU
VT/Bama
VT/LSU
FSU/AU
FSU/Bama
FSU/LSU
FSU/TAMU
FSU/UF
FSU/UGA
FSU/SC
FSU/TN
GT/UGA
GT/AU
GT/Bama
GT/TN
GT/Clemson
Gt/FSU
UNC/SC
Texas/Bama
Texas/LSU
Texas/Arkansas
Texas/TAMU
Texas/AU
Texas/UF'
Texas/UGA
Texas/FSU
Texas/TN
OU/Bama
OU/LSU
OU/Arkansas
OU/TAMU
OU/AU
OU/UF'
OU/UGA
OU/FSU
OU/TN
These are games people will watch, including casual fans across the nation. Of course it is not a complete list just an example of how many quality matchups could be created instantly by adding six schools.
The revenue generated by these additional marque games would be enormous. So much so that the immediate cries of "That would be too hard of a conference to play in for its schools to have a decent chance at making the 4 team playoff!" would be silenced by altering the rules of conference and national championship playoffs so such revenue could be generated.
Lurker
There is a thread on the SEC board "SEC Realignment just by the numbers" that touches on a lot of that. By the numbers the best programs for the SEC to add are Texas, Oklahoma, Florida State, and Clemson. If you pick up a North Carolina school or Virginia school other than markets there is not much of an impact for football. North Carolina and Virginia Tech would be the preferences. Obviously if your looking for eyeballs for hoops it's very different. But hands down the best programs for the SEC are those four. Georgia Tech might be a good regional boost and Virginia Tech if they pick back up their game would be solid too.
(This post was last modified: 05-17-2014 03:23 PM by JRsec.)
|
|