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(11-18-2013 07:52 PM)Bham Blazer Wrote:  

(11-18-2013 07:42 PM)BlazerGrad88 Wrote:  

(11-10-2013 05:46 PM)LairDweller Wrote:  

(11-10-2013 04:17 PM)BlazerGrad88 Wrote:  

(11-10-2013 03:25 PM)LairDweller Wrote:  yeah…a multimillion dollar gambling industry just picked a random number

I bet (pun intended) there's much less number-crunching analysis that goes into picking the betting lines than most people think, especially for a game involving a mid-major (ECU) and a low-major (UAB) that will attract little betting interest. Just my thoughts.

You are wrong

Seems that all the oddsmakers' analysis, computations, and algorithmic equations were off by just a wee bit, eh? Oh well ... 25 ... 49 ... what's the difference? And now their mathematical gyrations have concluded that Rice (7-3) is only 18 points better than a 1-8 team (vs. FBS opponents) that has given up 52+ points five times this season and three times in its last four games? Interesting.

Their goal is to get very 50-50 betting. The line is not exactly how they think it will go, but how the betting public's perception think it will go.

Also, if too many bets start coming in on one side, the line will move the other direction.