(11-10-2013 10:47 AM)BruceMcF Wrote: (11-09-2013 10:24 AM)He1nousOne Wrote: The balance will see to itself. The SEC has risen so high and the talent is so widespread now that it eventually will lose it's own balance and will be so competitive within itself that it will begin to be less competitive in the National Championship chase.
If we don't get down to four major conferences then there is the definite possibility in the future that the SEC is the conference that ends up missing out.
Yeah, there's a definite chance in the "99.99% chance the SEC champions will be one of the 4", "So, you're saying there's a chance the SEC will be left out?!!" sense.
Where we are today, what that competitiveness does is reduce the possibility of two SEC schools out of the four school playoff. And yes, there IS a "definite chance" that an arguably deserving second SEC school will be left out for an arguably less deserving Power5 conference champ.
(11-09-2013 01:18 PM)bullet Wrote: Its individual schedules that matter ooc. But the SEC and ACC compensate for playing each other. The ACC plays more FCS schools than any other conference. The SEC plays really, really bad FCS schools and some of the worst FBS schools as well. Pac 12 typically plays the toughest ooc schedule. The other 4 its hard to separate.
And some schools have made an art form of sailing on the edge of the one-FCS-school rule by scheduling one FCS school and one FBS school that was an FCS school sometime in the past three years.
Looking ahead to the Top Four Playoff, the Big Ten has already started leaning on its schools to stop scheduling FCS schools, but AFAIR its the Big12, SEC and ACC that tend to be closer to having most schools use their one allowed FCS game.
What if Alabama had lost last night to LSU? It's not like the idea of such is unfathomable. That would have Alabama with one loss and LSU with two. What then happens if Alabama loses to Auburn in their last game? The idea of Alabama losing to Auburn is also not so unfathomable, correct?
That is a two loss Alabama squad
In the other division we have Missouri with one loss. They play at Ole Miss and at home against A&M. Both games could be won or loss, neither are simple gimmie's. So what if Missouri loses one?
This is a very realistic scenario within the framework of what could have been this year. At best the SEC champ coming out has two losses. Does that get them in a 4 team playoff this year if we had one?
That could still happen you know. Alabama could still lose to Auburn an guess what happens if that happens? They don't go to the SEC Champnoship game, Auburn does. Does a 1 loss Alabama team that didn't make it to the SEC Championship get into the National Championship picture? Wouldn't that spot be Auburn's if the SEC gets one?
Now Auburn has two big games ahead of it. Georgia and Alabama but they are both at home, advantage Auburn. So, does that get Auburn into the top four if they win out? I would say its very possible but they would have to climb over Missouri, Clemson, Oregon and Stanford in terms of one loss teams this year and they would have to climb over two more teams that are currently undefeated. That is a pretty tall order. Who knows, maybe Alabama doesn't drop that far after a loss to Auburn and they end up hindering Auburn's rise into the top #4.
I didn't have to even get all that creative in order to come up with a viable scenario as to how the SEC could get locked out of a four team National Championship. As the talent continues to gravitate to the SEC, more and more teams are going to become competitive with the Elite, traditional programs of that conference. This type of scenario just becomes more likely as the other conferences are seen as not being as filled with talent on a year to year basis.
The SEC should be the greatest proponent for an 8 team National Tournament.