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Statistical analysis of 2013 CWS teams
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Fort Bend Owl Online
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Post: #1
Statistical analysis of 2013 CWS teams
It's not a complete list yet but I wanted to check up some stats on the 2013 CWS teams. Specifically, I checked out the following stats - batting average, team sacrifice hits, team steals and roughly how many pitchers threw meaningful innings.

One trend I'm seeing are good hitting teams with speed and a deep pitching staff are making it to Omaha. I guess that's not a surprise, but really the only team that has similar stats to Rice in Omaha will be UCLA. Every other team is built more for speed than we were this past season.

Code:
LSU    .308   42 SH  54 SB  66 G  14 pitchers
UCLA    .251   64 SH  66 SB  61 G  7 pitchers
Louis   .291   52 SH  130 SB 63 G  9 pitchers
NC St  .279   49 SH  107 SB 63 G  11 pitchers
Ind.    .305   54 SH  71 SB  62 G  10 pitchers
Rice    .279  84 SH  44 SB  64 G   7 pitchers

Really doesn't matter much on the remaining teams either. UNC (.308, 46, 85 SB, 10 pitchers) or So. Car. (.286, 35 SH, 62 SB, 8-10 pitchers); Ms. State (.296, 54 SH, 56 SB, 11 pitchers) or UVA (.314, 50 SH, 64 SB, 9 pitchers); and Oregon State (.293, 56 SH, 53 SB, 8 pitchers) or Kansas State (.322, 41 SH, 99 SB, 10 pitchers).

The bottom line to me is that I don't think you can have a 2:1 ratio for sacrifices to steals. Last year, Arizona won the national title with a lot of sacrifices (75) but they still had more steals (84) than sacrifices.
(This post was last modified: 06-10-2013 11:35 AM by Fort Bend Owl.)
06-10-2013 11:34 AM
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I45owl Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Statistical analysis of 2013 CWS teams
I kind of wonder how teams are racking up those innings for the deep pitching staffs. Based on yesterday's game, I wonder if NCSU's bullpen was a variant of "pitching by committee" whereas Wayne Graham's use of the bullpen is more traditional in trying to get multiple innings out of the reliever.

It stands to reason that if the strategy for compensating for the lack of a #4 and/or #5 starter is to pitch by committee in mid-week games, then the same strategy could work for relief in weekend series. If that's the case, then the numbers above may just reflect that strategy rather than a true depth of quality in the bullpen. Obviously, you have to have some quality to pursue that sort of strategy, but I really wonder if the #8 and #9 pitchers on Rice's staff are really any worse than guys in similar positions on other squads and at the same time whether the #5-7 guys on Rice's staff maybe aren't stronger than their peers on other teams.

As usual, this is just speculation on my part without any real depth to my knowledge on these teams or pitching in general.
06-10-2013 01:51 PM
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