We are currently in a 3-way tie for the 5 seed with Tulsa and Tulane (both of which we beat).
Remaining games for each team:
UAB: Smoo, UCF, @Mempiss
Tulsa: Tulane, Smoo, @Rice
Tulane: @Tulsa, @ECU, Houston
Tulsa definitely has the easiest road and could conceivably finish 9-7, ekeing out the 5 seed over UAB and Tulane. At this point, it may be a blessing in disguise for us to get bumped to the 6 seed, play a tune-up game against Rice, and then face the 3-seed (likely UTEP) in the quarters.
Right now, the only way to clinch the bye is to win out. If Tulsa and Tulane each lose one more (one of them has to lose today), then we can clinch with wins against Smoo and UCF.
Now if you really wanted to have fun with wacky scenarios:
We are still alive for the 3 seed. It could happen IF:
*We win out;
*ECU loses 2 of its last 3 (@USM, Tulane, Marshall);
*UTEP also loses 2 of its last 3 (@Rice, Mempiss, @Smoo)
Incredibly unlikely but still possible nonetheless.