They're not a threat for GSt in the immediate future. To Georgia Southern, no unless GSo does not get an invite to FBS. To Mercer, yes recruiting wise, but because the Bears are PFL, that puts them on the bottom talent wise, and when I say bottom, I mean bottom, to include UWG and VSU because they do offer scholarships and MU does not.
It will greatly depend on the new coach. I'm for Hatcher.
If they hire
Chris Hatcher(Murray St, GSo, VSU), I believe he can build a strong program. He recruited some really good talent at Southern that CJM was able to capitalize on that carried the Eagle Defense these last three seasons. The fact that they switched from the 4-3 to the 3-4 had as much to do with the losses as anything else like instability at QB with the Antonio Henton experiment. Those classes had already been through three coaching regimes and three offenses with Mike Sewak (triple option), Van Gorder (multiple), and Hatcher (spread).
Comparing Hatcher's tenure at GSo to that of MuSt, those three seasons at each look strikingly similar. At Southern they were 3-8 the year prior and with Hatch they went 7-4 in '07, a season highlighted by knocking off #1 App State in Boone, narrowly missing the SoCon Championship and the playoffs with a wide field goal against FU, and the Walter Payton Award going to Jason Foster. By contrast CJM was also 7-4 regular season in his first campaign as the Eagles HC. In '08 & '09, they went 6-5, and 5-6. Down down and out the door.
At Murray State who was absolutely abysmal, but also 3-8 the year prior to his arrival, they then went 6-5 in 2010, 7-4 ('11) where they left 48 on the board in "da Dome", 5-6('12) and he's still there (today that is).
Building from the ground up, the "
Hatch-Attack" could roll through the SoCon in a few years particularly if GaSo and App are gone. If hired, and he is able to sustain success as he did at VSU then another Georgia FBS program they can be within a decade. Nothing builds a program like success on the field, and with Fith Third Bank having nameing rights on the venue, I'm sure if they have packed games, that little stadium will expand. If I'm not mistaken it is expandable up to 20,000.
Like I said though, the right coach will determine how soon they are a threat.