Hello There, Guest! (LoginRegister)

Post Reply 
Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
Author Message
THE NC Herd Fan Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 16,168
Joined: Oct 2003
Reputation: 521
I Root For: Marshall
Location: Charlotte
Post: #1
Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
Almost all polls except Gallup and Rasmussen feel the need to take the Raw Poll results and weight them based on democrat/Republican turn out from 2008. That is the reason Obama has what appears to be a commanding lead. This is 2012 and Raw Poll data shows the race as a statistical tie. Obama is leading in the Raw Poll data but within the margin of error. If pollsters are going to weight the turnout seems 2010 would be the election data to use.
(This post was last modified: 09-27-2012 05:54 AM by THE NC Herd Fan.)
09-27-2012 05:53 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Advertisement


OLD DIRTY Offline
Banned

Posts: 738
Joined: May 2012
I Root For: Old Dominion
Location:
Post: #2
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
News is their business. People in misery and countries distressed and conflicted makes MUCH better news than people going to work and no terrorism to report.

Follow the money
09-27-2012 09:21 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Max Power Offline
Not Rod Carey
*

Posts: 10,059
Joined: Oct 2008
Reputation: 261
I Root For: NIU, Bradley
Location: Peoria
Post: #3
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
If these news organizations were trying to drum up business, they would be manipulating their data to show the race as closer than it really is. If the race is closer, more people will read and tune into their election coverage. Showing the race as a blowout is bad for business. But these are communists, so what do they care about dollars?
(This post was last modified: 09-27-2012 09:36 AM by Max Power.)
09-27-2012 09:34 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
BlazerFan11 Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 12,228
Joined: Dec 2005
Reputation: 367
I Root For: UAB
Location:
Post: #4
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
(09-27-2012 09:34 AM)Max Power Wrote:  If these news organizations were trying to drum up business, they would be manipulating their data to show the race as closer than it really is. If the race is closer, more people will read and tune into their election coverage. Showing the race as a blowout is bad for business. But these are communists, so what do they care about dollars?

I think MSNBC and CNN have proven they don't know what it takes to attract viewers.
09-27-2012 09:57 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
OLD DIRTY Offline
Banned

Posts: 738
Joined: May 2012
I Root For: Old Dominion
Location:
Post: #5
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
Not necessarily dollars today, though 46/47 for the last 2 months is close...

They want O relected for better business, part of that is telling Conservatives there's no no reason to go to the polls.
09-27-2012 10:09 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Advertisement


Max Power Offline
Not Rod Carey
*

Posts: 10,059
Joined: Oct 2008
Reputation: 261
I Root For: NIU, Bradley
Location: Peoria
Post: #6
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
Why would the New York Times, CBS, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and all the other outlets releasing these polls do better business if Obama wins? Fox News I'll give you, because they can tap into the conservative outrage with more crazy sensationalism.
09-27-2012 10:37 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
OLD DIRTY Offline
Banned

Posts: 738
Joined: May 2012
I Root For: Old Dominion
Location:
Post: #7
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
(09-27-2012 09:21 AM)OLD DIRTY Wrote:  News is their business. People in misery and countries distressed and conflicted makes MUCH better news than people going to work and no terrorism to report.

Follow the money

(09-27-2012 10:37 AM)Max Power Wrote:  Why would the New York Times, CBS, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and all the other outlets releasing these polls do better business if Obama wins? Fox News I'll give you, because they can tap into the conservative outrage with more crazy sensationalism.

Without comprehension, reading is useless.
09-27-2012 11:05 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Machiavelli Offline
Back to Reality. Oh there goes Gravity

Posts: 25,357
Joined: Apr 2006
I Root For: BGSU
Location:
Post: #8
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
the simple answer.........

to get it right. We shall see if they were my friend.

I honestly don't know. I lived through 2000 and 2004. The polls told me that Gore and Kerry would win. I believed it. For a time I was convinced it was shenaingan voter fraud by the GOP. To be honest I still believe some fraud happened but I digress. I really like Intrade. I wish it were around in 2000 and 2004. That's your best straw poll. The futures market is an excellent barometer. These poll numbers and intrade seem to go hand in hand. That's why I believe something is right about them. Who knows.
09-27-2012 11:28 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Max Power Offline
Not Rod Carey
*

Posts: 10,059
Joined: Oct 2008
Reputation: 261
I Root For: NIU, Bradley
Location: Peoria
Post: #9
RE: Why do pollsters manipulate their data?
(09-27-2012 11:05 AM)OLD DIRTY Wrote:  
(09-27-2012 09:21 AM)OLD DIRTY Wrote:  News is their business. People in misery and countries distressed and conflicted makes MUCH better news than people going to work and no terrorism to report.

Follow the money

(09-27-2012 10:37 AM)Max Power Wrote:  Why would the New York Times, CBS, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and all the other outlets releasing these polls do better business if Obama wins? Fox News I'll give you, because they can tap into the conservative outrage with more crazy sensationalism.

Without comprehension, reading is useless.

But you've described a Romney administration. War with Iran, children starving and homeless because aid is slashed-- I get why that's good for them. But my question is, what reasons do they have for helping Obama?
(This post was last modified: 09-27-2012 11:37 AM by Max Power.)
09-27-2012 11:36 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 




User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)


Copyright © 2002-2024 Collegiate Sports Nation Bulletin Board System (CSNbbs), All Rights Reserved.
CSNbbs is an independent fan site and is in no way affiliated to the NCAA or any of the schools and conferences it represents.
This site monetizes links. FTC Disclosure.
We allow third-party companies to serve ads and/or collect certain anonymous information when you visit our web site. These companies may use non-personally identifiable information (e.g., click stream information, browser type, time and date, subject of advertisements clicked or scrolled over) during your visits to this and other Web sites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services likely to be of greater interest to you. These companies typically use a cookie or third party web beacon to collect this information. To learn more about this behavioral advertising practice or to opt-out of this type of advertising, you can visit http://www.networkadvertising.org.
Powered By MyBB, © 2002-2024 MyBB Group.