wvucrazed
Heisman
Posts: 6,363
Joined: Apr 2004
Reputation: 179
I Root For: West Virginia
Location: Fairfax, VA
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<a href='http://www.mratings.com/cf/compare.htm' target='_blank'>http://www.mratings.com/cf/compare.htm</a>
the massey ratings is a combination of all available computer rankings.
The Big East
15 Louisville
25 West Virginia
31 South Florida
41 Connecticut
73 Rutgers
85 Pittsburgh
88 Syracuse
91 Cincinnati
Some analysis of the rankings.
By Conference average:
1) Big 10 33.72
Highest: Penn State #3
Lowest: Illinois#96
2) Big 12 38.52
Highest: Texas #4
Lowest: Oklahoma State #68
3) ACC 39.67
Highest: VPI #2
Lowest: Duke #109
4) SEC 42.91
Highest: Georgia #5
Lowest: Kentucky #100
5) Pac 10 46.1
Highest: USC #1
Lowest: Arizona #98
6) Big East 56.125
Highest: Louisville #15
Lowest: Cincinnati #91
7) Mountain West 66.89
Highest: TCU #29
Lowest: UNLV #107
8) CUSA 73.92
Highest: UTEP #46
Lowest: Rice #110
9) MAC 83.5
Highest: Toledo #39
Lowest: Buffalo #119
10) WAC 84.44
Highest: Fresno State 26
Lowest: Idaho 117
11) Sun Belt 104.5
Highest: Middle Tennessee State 92
Lowest: La-Lafayette 115
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10-09-2005 11:28 AM |
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CollegeCard
Hall of Famer
Posts: 12,102
Joined: Sep 2004
Reputation: 317
I Root For: UofL
Location: Ohio
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Not too bad overall considering we haven't won any of the non-conference games against the very top teams.
The new Sagarin's really helped out the top end this week. Largely based I suspect on UofL beating UNC by 55 (Our predictor went from 30th or so to 6th) and Penn St beating OSU. Both the Bulls and Bearcats lost to PSU so that win helped.
-The number to the left of the team name is their avg. Sagarin that he uses to make conference strength
-The first number to the right of their team record is the Elo-Chess. This is what is used in the BCS
-The last number column on the right is his predictor number. This is what he claims is most accurate.
11 Louisville A = 86.23 4-1 20 | 6
16 South Florida A = 84.23 3-2 14 | 24
30 West Virginia A = 79.38 5-1 24 | 35
55 Connecticut A = 72.18 4-1 83 | 32
85 Pittsburgh A = 66.52 2-4 107| 65
92 Rutgers A = 65.42 3-2 94 | 91
108 Syracuse A = 62.60 1-4 130 | 83
118 Cincinnati A = 61.01 2-3 110 | 124
A few things can be seen:
-UofL & UConn get a big predictor jump due to some blowouts as MOV is considered here.
-UConn's BCS number (83rd) should continue to rise simply by playing (and at least winning a few) other BE teams. Liberty especially is a dagger in their heart, rated 215th, which is so bad it puts them behind 4 members of the Pioneer Conference, a I-AA league that is is made up of non-scholarship programs.
-Rutgers, that Illinois loss is killing you. Illinois is rated 106th. No other B-10 team is below 59th. I don't think the Big 10 has 10 teams in the top 59 but they are his ratings.
-Syracuse's horrid BCS number (130) means they just need to get a W or two. He can't move a team up if they never win.
-The conference only has two more non-conference games. Rutgers plays Navy (Sag. #91) & Syracuse @ ND (Sag. #18). Rutgers beating the Midshipman would help them and the league out a lot. I can't imagine Syracuse winning in South Bend but a non-blowout wouldn't hurt anything much at all since ND is so high.
As for conferences overall, we have:
5. PAC-10- 75.17
6. BE- 71.50
7. MWC- 68.93
8. CUSA- 68.93
All the teams are connected now and this should be pretty accurate. In my opinion, it looks about right as far as just how the BE teams are rated in comparison to each other based on the predictor number (last column) except for maybe move UofL down a little and Rutgers up a little.
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10-09-2005 11:45 AM |
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