(09-04-2012 08:33 PM)TerryD Wrote: Is ND still viable??
ND currently gets $15 million a year for its home games from NBC and has since 2010. (it used to be $9 million a year before this last renewal).
That contract (up on 2015) is currently being negotiated for a renewal.
My prediction is $20-25 million.
The ACC currently gets $17 million per team, the last I saw.
ND also has an NBC national contract for its home hockey games and a national radio contract for football and basketball.
It sells out its 80,795 seat stadium for every home game.
The money is very good for ND.
Publicity? Are you kidding?
Fans of other schools ***** all the time about the publicity ND gets.
I disagree with you. People said the same thing 40 years ago and were wrong.
Only time (lots of time, I think) will tell.
P.S. If ND is this inconsistent, fading TV draw and "non-viable" (as you describe) school, why in the world do you want them to join the ACC so badly???
lets say that ND makes an average of $22.5 mil a year (that's the middle of your high and low) for their new contract starting in 2015. That would put them behind every "Power 5" conference. I don't see ND being satisfied with being the 63rd highest paid school. Do you?
And they
would be #63, because 1. TV contracts are back-loaded, so there is a HUGE advantage of starting a contract first, and 2. the ACC has a 17.1 million dollar contract, plus extra rights worth between 6-8 million/school.
Radio was really important at one point in time, but it is a LOT less important now.
80,000 is huge, adn it is very impressive, but Penn State is 107,000, Tennessee is something like 103,000, Bama is over 100,000k, I think, I want to say Michigan is nomething like 105,000.
Unless I am mistaken, ND was winning national championships 40 years ago. Now ND hasn't won a national championship in 25 years. In fact, none of the students at ND have ever seen ND win a national championship in football. Times are changing, and ND needs to change with the times, otherwise they will turn into just another program.
ND is still a good add because ND is still a very big deal. It is just nolonger
the big deal. I'm sure that you will agree that for most of the last 90 years, ND was the biggest name in CFB by a long shot. For the vast majority of that time, it wasn't even close. However, I am not sure they are even in the top 5 right now. I would say Texas, Alabama, OSU, Michigan, and USC all have ND beat, and, up until the scandal, I would put PSU on that list as well.
Like I said, ND will NOT jump in the immediate future. At best, they MIGHT begin transitioning in the next couple of years, but if ND remains ind, then they will get left behind.
P.S. For clarification's sake, I meant viable as in viable super power (i.e. consistently top 10), not viable, as in what Toledo is in a good year.