what would have happened?

Let's assume the SFs were the Rose and the Sugar

Rose SF - tOSU vs USC
Sugar SF - Florida vs Michigan(?)

Cotton (Champions Bowl) - Okla vs LSU
Orange - Wake vs ND (?)

Fiesta - Boise (?) vs Wisconsin (?)
Peach - Auburn (?) vs L'Ville (?)

Thoughts?

Cheers,
Neil

Rose, Sugar 100% agree

This is an interesting case. If Fiesta takes Rose matchup when Rose hosts sf- it'd be Wisconsin vs California.
Orange- This is one that would be also very interesting. I say that because if it's the highest rated team either in BE, ND, or previous non-AQ- that would be Louisville or Boise- not Notre Dame.

Outside that, you are spot on I think.

Wow, 3 Big Ten teams... maybe Delaney DOES know what he's doing!

The Big East was top heavy in 2006 with UL, WVU & Rutgers all in or around the Top 10. They would've deserved a second team in the mix that season.

Yes they were- but WV finished 13 and Rutgers 16. There were 4 1 loss teams, 2 0 loss teams, and 6 other 2 loss teams. Only Arkansas with 3 losses was in the top 12. WV may have gotten #12 in a comittee over them with how SOS was.

If we assume the committee would follow the AP poll fairly closely (I think that's likely), the last 3 years would have looked something like this.


2009
Final Regular Season AP Poll
1 Alabama (58) 13-0 1498 (SEC Champs)
2 Texas (2) 13-0 1425 (Big 12 Champs)
3 TCU 12-0 1376 (Mountain West Champs)
4 Cincinnati 12-0 1302 (Big East Champs)
5 Florida 12-1 1253
6 Boise State 13-0 1237 (WAC Champs)
7 Oregon 10-2 1128 (PAC-10 Champs)
8 Ohio State 10-2 1080 (Big Ten Champs)
9 Georgia Tech 11-2 952 (ACC Champs)
10 Iowa 10-2 925
11 Penn State 10-2 883
12 Virginia Tech 9-3 866
13 LSU 9-3 686
14 Miami (FL) 9-3 660
15 Brigham Young 10-2 658

This is probably the most difficult year in the entire BCS for a ranking (no other year comes close to 5 undefeateds). It's possible given strength of schedule that Florida would be in over an undefeated, but my guess is that given Alabama just solidly beat them and given they are up against conference champs, they don't get in.

Bowls
New Years Eve:
Cotton Bowl: Florida vs. #20 Oklahoma
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State vs. Penn State
Peach Bowl (semi-final): Texas vs. TCU

New Years Day:
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Iowa
Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Ohio State
Sugar Bowl (semi-final): Alabama vs. Cincinnati

2010
Final Regular Season AP Poll
1 Auburn (36) 13-0 1473 (SEC Champs)
2 Oregon (23) 12-0 1462 (PAC-10 Champs)
3 TCU (1) 12-0 1379 (Mountain West Champs)
4 Wisconsin 11-1 1289 (Big Ten Champs)
5 Stanford 11-1 1283
6 Ohio State 11-1 1179 (Big Ten Champs)
7 Michigan State 11-1 1101 (Big Ten Champs)
8 Arkansas 10-2 1085
9 Oklahoma 11-2 976
10 Boise State 11-1 932 (WAC Champs)
11 LSU 10-2 863
12 Virginia Tech 11-2 817 (ACC Champs)
13 Nevada 12-1 759 (WAC Champs)
14 Missouri 10-2 705
15 Alabama 9-3 628

Bowls:
New Years Eve:
Peach Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. LSU
Cotton Bowl: Ohio State vs. Boise State
Fiesta Bowl (semi-final): Auburn vs. TCU

New Years Day:
Sugar Bowl: Arkansas vs. Oklahoma
Rose Bowl: Stanford vs. Michigan State
Orange Bowl (semi-final): Oregon vs. Wisconsin

2011
Final Regular Season AP Poll
1 LSU (60) 13-0 1500 (SEC Champ)
2 Alabama 11-1 1418
3 Oklahoma State 11-1 1400 (Big 12 Champ)
4 Stanford 11-1 1283
5 USC 10-2 1179 (ineligable)
6 Oregon 11-2 1170 (PAC-12 Champ)
7 Arkansas 10-2 1148
8 Boise State 11-1 1107
9 Wisconsin 11-2 1038 (Big Ten Champ)
10 South Carolina 10-2 946
11 Kansas State 10-2 829
12 Michigan State 10-3 733
13 Michigan 10-2 707
14 Clemson 10-3 663 (ACC Champ)
15 Baylor 9-3 656


Bowls:
New Years Eve:
Fiesta Bowl: Stanford vs. Wisconsin
Peach Bowl: Michigan State vs. Kansas State
Cotton Bowl (semi-final): LSU vs. Oregon

New Years Day:
Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Boise State
Rose Bowl (semi-final): Alabama vs. Oklahoma State
Sugar Bowl: Arkansas vs. Kansas State