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Some simple maths about unemployment.
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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Post: #1
Some simple maths about unemployment.
1) US total population: 311 million


2) US "official" unemployment: 311 million * 8.2% ==> 25.5 million

This is actually down.


3) People not actively in the workforce, and thus not considered in unemployment: 87.897 million

This has skyrocketed up to near the all time high ever recorded.


4) And this is why I get my REAL unemployment (and inflation) from ShadowStats ... because when you factor in discouraged workers you arrive at a figure like the Shadowstats unemployment: 22.5% ==> 69.975 million
04-07-2012 01:12 AM
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Max Power Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Some simple maths about unemployment.
Shadowstats unemployment then would count my 90 year old grandmother with hip problems living on SS and a CAT pension, so I guess it's fair to say full employment is out of the question.

If you don't like the official employment (U3) there are some other good measures by the BLS that don't count my grandmother. U5 counts discouraged workers who at least give a job market related reason for not looking for work the last 12 months, and U6 counts part time workers

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t15.htm
(This post was last modified: 04-07-2012 06:43 AM by Max Power.)
04-07-2012 06:42 AM
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SumOfAllFears Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Some simple maths about unemployment.
The U6 number is currently at 14.6, almost twice the official number.

http://portalseven.com/employment/unempl...ate_u6.jsp
04-07-2012 08:31 AM
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Max Power Offline
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Post: #4
RE: Some simple maths about unemployment.
Yeah, that's because it counts people not looking for work and part time workers.
04-07-2012 09:11 AM
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Some simple maths about unemployment.
(04-07-2012 06:42 AM)Max Power Wrote:  Shadowstats unemployment then would count my 90 year old grandmother with hip problems living on SS and a CAT pension, so I guess it's fair to say full employment is out of the question.

If you don't like the official employment (U3) there are some other good measures by the BLS that don't count my grandmother. U5 counts discouraged workers who at least give a job market related reason for not looking for work the last 12 months, and U6 counts part time workers

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t15.htm

88 million are out of the workforce ... NOTICE that shadowstats unemployment is quite a bit less than total out of the workforce. ShadowStats doesn't count those who are too young to seek work or who are retired. But just because you're 90 doesn't mean you necessarily don't want to work, especially if your retirement got wiped out by investing in quality assets like, say, the government via Freddie/Fannie.
04-07-2012 09:38 AM
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Some simple maths about unemployment.
(04-07-2012 09:11 AM)Max Power Wrote:  Yeah, that's because it counts people not looking for work and part time workers.

Discouraged and underemployment should count too.
04-07-2012 09:38 AM
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SumOfAllFears Offline
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Post: #7
RE: Some simple maths about unemployment.
The unemployment #s are going the way of the "jobs created of saved" number. Fallacious.
04-07-2012 10:02 AM
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Max Power Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Some simple maths about unemployment.
There are 90 yo's looking for work? My god, that's why we have SS.

Does it count housewives who stay at home and raise kids?

I think discouraged should be counted in the official number, but not part time workers. But the government publishes those rates anyway.
04-07-2012 11:02 AM
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