(02-10-2011 11:53 AM)subflea Wrote:  

(02-10-2011 11:46 AM)Bearcats#1 Wrote:  somebody on here has some rpi game calculator that has, within a point or two I believe accurately predicted the outcomes of a lot of UC's games this year...what does this calculator say about this one?

KenPom has us as a 66-60 winner. That is subject to change since St. John's plays UConn tonight and that will change the data used to come up with the scores.

I did not even realize st johnsl was pulling the thursday night followed by a noon road game. Sounds like our days in cusa. Huggs used to fume over that. I may change my pick now.

UC 78
STJ 64

(02-10-2011 01:28 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(02-10-2011 11:53 AM)subflea Wrote:  

(02-10-2011 11:46 AM)Bearcats#1 Wrote:  somebody on here has some rpi game calculator that has, within a point or two I believe accurately predicted the outcomes of a lot of UC's games this year...what does this calculator say about this one?

KenPom has us as a 66-60 winner. That is subject to change since St. John's plays UConn tonight and that will change the data used to come up with the scores.

I did not even realize st johnsl was pulling the thursday night followed by a noon road game. Sounds like our days in cusa. Huggs used to fume over that. I may change my pick now.

Yeah, but that was Thursday eve/Saturday noon. Stj gets the extra day.

(02-10-2011 01:28 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(02-10-2011 11:53 AM)subflea Wrote:  

(02-10-2011 11:46 AM)Bearcats#1 Wrote:  somebody on here has some rpi game calculator that has, within a point or two I believe accurately predicted the outcomes of a lot of UC's games this year...what does this calculator say about this one?

KenPom has us as a 66-60 winner. That is subject to change since St. John's plays UConn tonight and that will change the data used to come up with the scores.

I did not even realize st johnsl was pulling the thursday night followed by a noon road game. Sounds like our days in cusa. Huggs used to fume over that. I may change my pick now.

For SJU's sake at least the game is Sunday and not Saturday. Extra day of rest. They looked pretty damn good the last time they played on a Sunday.

Cats 63
STJ 71

Edit: changing my prediction to Cats loss and a total board meltdown.

Is the overall contest stopped? I know the update is in the works.............................

I'll get it done tonight Brent.

UC 71
SJ 65

UC 72
SJ 67

UC 63
STJ 59

UC-71
St. John's-66

Holy smokes St Johns is whipping Uconn's arse at MSG tonight. They are going to be a nightmare for the committee. Watch UC sweep them and they'll still get the bid...

(02-10-2011 08:39 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  Holy smokes St Johns is whipping Uconn's arse at MSG tonight. They are going to be a nightmare for the committee. Watch UC sweep them and they'll still get the bid...

Not sure they'll be a nightmare. If St Johns gets to .500 in the conference they will get in. Too many standout wins. I know people around here love to talk about bad losses (of which St Johns has 2), but bad losses really are not that huge a deal. Sure they matter to an extent, but the committee has traditionally cared far more about whether a team can beat other NCAA tournament teams... and St Johns has consistently demonstrated that.

On a side note...UCONN has really struggled in Big East play the last two years... And yet they have beaten some big time teams out of conference.

Having maybe 14 losses is their biggest baggage. They are tough in New York. Would not want them in the BE tournament.

BTW the trend in all their big wins is shooting over 60% from behind the arc. They are at about 70% tonight. Same thing they did at WVU, and to Duke and ND at home.

(02-10-2011 08:56 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  BTW the trend in all their big wins is shooting over 60% from behind the arc. They are at about 70% tonight. Same thing they did at WVU, and to Duke and ND at home.

Yeah you will win games like that.

(02-10-2011 08:47 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  ...but bad losses really are not that huge a deal.

Having a Suckeye and a Mousketeer on the committee could also be problematic.

(02-10-2011 08:56 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  BTW the trend in all their big wins is shooting over 60% from behind the arc. They are at about 70% tonight. Same thing they did at WVU, and to Duke and ND at home.

They shot 17% (1-6), 44% (4-9), and 25% (3-12) against WVU, ND and GT respectively. They shot 60% (3-5) against Duke. They don't win games from 3-point range, they win them by getting out in transition like crazy and knocking down a good percentage of their free throws.

68 SJU
60 UC