RE: Recent Developements - everyone has an opinion afterall
Here's what I think happens, with as few detailed predictions as possible...
TCU is going to the BE and Villanova will announce their move up to FBS and the BE at the beginning of the year. Then the BE will hold pat because they are waiting to see what happens next.
The Big 10 made it very clear during the expansion over the summer that they wanted to go to 14-16 teams and I don't think they are done yet, they are just waiting for the football season to end before starting again. Assuming that is correct, they invite at least 2-3 (UCONN/'Cuse/Rutgers) schools from the BE and 1-2 (Mizzou/Iowa State) schools from the Big 12. That knocks the BE down to 7-8 schools and the Big 12 down to 8-9 schools.
The SEC moves in for the kill and raids the Big 12. Do they take 4 from the Big 12? I dunno, but they do take enough to eliminate a competitor. The Big 12 is left with 4-7 (?) schools. Texas goes indy, the rest scatter to a combination of the PAC-10/MWC/CUSA. I get kind of foggy here because math is hard.
The ACC, seeing the writing on the wall, moves to go to 14-16 and kills off the BE, taking some or all of WVU/Louisville/USF/Pitt. The BE is dead, the few remaining former BE football schools scatter to the winds, maybe landing in a revamped CUSA/MWC/MAC/WAC/SBC mish-mash that makes all a little more geographically compact.
We're now down to 4 "power conferences", with CUSA and the MWC probably ending being in about the same position, power wise, as they were before all this started, the WAC falling to the level of the SBC (or being killed off completely and there being some kind of SBC/WAC merger), and the MAC being...well, the MAC.
My dream in the above scenario would be that, as part of the SEC or ACC expansion, ECU gets an invite, but hard as I try to imagine it, I just can't see it happening. Because of all the changes, and because the FBS landscape has changed and only 4 AQ conferences remain, the BCS rules would probably change to allow 2-4 non-AQ teams in every year to make it appear more fair.
There ya go. I stand by none of this, and have no idea what I'm talking about.
(This post was last modified: 11-30-2010 10:54 AM by Lethemeul.)
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