(11-20-2009 01:34 PM)Tallgrass Wrote: As a NonBCS conference, CUSA is always at the bottom of the barrel looking up. The question I have is: Why is this taking so long? It does not seem terribly complicated. Being a CUSA "homer" and without any facts, I am going to go ahead and guess. The Liberty Bowl folks, if I recall correctly, are moving the team payout from I think $1.7 million to a bit over $2 million. My guess is that Liberty Bowl is holding out for sharing SEC #7/#8 with Music Bowl...and refusing SEC #8/#9. An attractive site (Memphis) and a $2 million payout would be attractive to close by Big-12....or (in the future) the ACC who is already playing in Independence Bowl in Shreveport. Who knows? But speculating is one of the things that makes these boards fun.
There are 5 bowls which have yet to sign for 2010-2013:
Liberty (CUSA vs. SEC?)
Papa John's (SEC vs. Big East?)
International (MAC vs. Big East?)
Boise (WAC vs. MAC?)
Detroit (MAC vs. Big Ten?)
-If the Big East does not sign Papa John's that bowl is likely going under. The SEC would then at best provide a #9 looking to play a SBC #3 or MAC #4 or #5. The SEC would then need a backup too. They'd have to play the MAC #4/#5 with SBC backup....what a waste of time for the SEC. With the SEC and Big East out the game is toast as the MAC and SBC already agreed upon the GMAC together. The Big East would then sign with the International Bowl for its #5/#6 team.
-If the SEC opts to go with a #8 in Papa John's and solidifies with the Big East, the Liberty Bowl is looking elsewhere than CUSA #9. The International Bowl likely goes under in this case, which hurts the MAC. The MAC could then supply its champ to Memphis which would be an upgrade over Toronto while the Big East backs up Detroit.
-If the Big East sends its #5 to the Liberty Bowl to play would could now be a CUSA East winner, the SEC #8 would stay in Papa John's possibly to play the MAC which there are no in-state matchups. I find it highly unlikely the Liberty would boot the SEC for a low Big East pick but it could happen.
-The Big East could stay with its #5 in Papa John's while getting a rotaton of CUSA #2 and SEC #8. Two years out of 4 the Liberty would be stuck with SEC #9. This would all be done to accomadate the Big East's wishes.
There are a lot of scenarios out there. My feeling is the SEC would be best off sending an #8 to Memphis for a nice payout over trying to placate the Big East. Why even sign a #9 for the SEC? If there is an open slot they'll surely get in at 6-6. Its the MAC and SBC which have to be concerned about how many bowls they have signed because they risk being boxed out with at-large selections.