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Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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SkunkworksFolding@NCAAbbsNCAAbbs LUGCrappies
Post: #1
Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
NH is virtually an open primary, so the polls should be close to their most inaccurate here.

If you average the polls:
1) McCain (31.8%)
2) Romney (28.2%)
3) Huckabee (12.2%)
4) Giuliani (9.3%)
5) Paul (8.2%)
6) Thompson (2.2%)

My prediction:
1) McCain
2) Romney
3) Paul
4) Giuliani
5) Huckabee
6) Thompson

I think McCain and Romney don't poll that high, especially Romney. Huckabee does worse than expected b/c NH isn't a big baptist church. Paul steals independents from Obama and McCain. Non-southerners wonder who exactly is this Fred guy and why they've never seen him.
(This post was last modified: 01-08-2008 05:34 PM by georgia_tech_swagger.)
01-08-2008 09:35 AM
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THE NC Herd Fan Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:NH is virtually an open primary, so the polls should be close to their most inaccurate here.

If you average the polls:
1) McCain (31.8%)
2) Romney (28.2%)
3) Huckabee (12.2%)
4) Giuliani (9.3%)
5) Paul (8.2%)
6) Thompson (2.2%)

My prediction:
1) McCain
2) Romney
3) Paul
4) Giuliani
5) Huckabee
6) Thompson

I think McCain and Romney don't poll that high, especially Romney. Huckabee does worse than expected b/c NH isn't a big baptist church. Paul steals independents from Obama and McCain. Non-southerners wonder who exactly is this Fred guy and why they've never seen him.

Man you are a diehard Paul supporter. His N.H. supporters didn't seem to care for Sean Hannity. 05-stirthepot

I think the Polls have it about right, I would put Paul ahead of Giuliani. Romney may be done with this loss, if he finishes behind Huckabee he will be for sure. If Romney exits I think he endorses Giuliani, the question is where will his supporters go? I think 2 to 1 to McCain. Thompson if done, but he never really started, what little support he has will go to McCain along with his endorsement.
(This post was last modified: 01-08-2008 05:34 PM by georgia_tech_swagger.)
01-08-2008 10:44 AM
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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SkunkworksFolding@NCAAbbsNCAAbbs LUGCrappies
Post: #3
RE: Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
Ouch.

Independent GOP voters:
1) McCain 36%
2) Romney 30%
3) Paul 14%

*sigh* Looks like I'll be voting Libertarian again, unless this election pulls another fiscal conservative (Bloomberg?) out of nowhere.
01-08-2008 07:36 PM
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WoodlandsOwl Offline
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Post: #4
RE: Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:My prediction:
1) McCain
2) Romney
3) Paul
4) Giuliani
5) Huckabee
6) Thompson

15.94% IN: *MCCAIN 37; ROMNEY 28; HUCKABEE 12; GIULIANI 9; PAUL 8; THOMPSON 2...
01-08-2008 08:15 PM
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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SkunkworksFolding@NCAAbbsNCAAbbs LUGCrappies
Post: #5
RE: Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
The independent swing I was counting on *clearly* went to McCain. The GOP field looks like it'll be Huckabee or McCain ... and either way **alot** of Republicans will feel alienated.
01-08-2008 09:01 PM
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RobertN Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
Not looking good for Obama tonight. Looks like the women came out for Hillary and more of the independent came out for McCain.
01-08-2008 09:22 PM
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WoodlandsOwl Offline
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Post: #7
RE: Will the polls hold up or look foolish? - NH Edition
georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:The GOP field looks like it'll be Huckabee or McCain ... and either way **alot** of Republicans will feel alienated.

There is no way in hell I can support McCain after his sellout on amnesty for illegal aliens.

I don't trust him.
01-09-2008 12:17 AM
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