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BoiseStateRules Offline
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Post: #21
 
Idaho WILL definitely finish in last place again this year in the Sun Belt. No question about it.

A. They have a brand new head coach who has never been a head coach previously. There's a big learning curve for a first year head coach who has only been a position coach prior to that. BIG learning curve. It will take him a minimum of two years to get things headed in the right direction (if ever).

B. The Vandulls have only a couple of returning starters coming back. Virtually every starter this season for the Vandulls (with a couple of exceptions) will be "new" starters. You can't lose as many starters as they did on both offense and defense (defense in particular) and not be worse than you were the previous year. I think Idaho only has ONE returning starter coming back this year on defense, and only two (or three) starters back on offense.

C. The only way that Idaho won't finish in last place in the Sun Belt this year is if one of the other Sun Belt teams manages to be even worse than Idaho.

D. New Mexico State has the best shot at exceeding expectations IMHO.
07-25-2004 11:09 AM
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Post: #22
 
BoiseStateRules Wrote:Idaho WILL definitely finish in last place again this year in the Sun Belt. No question about it.

A. They have a brand new head coach who has never been a head coach previously. There's a big learning curve for a first year head coach who has only been a position coach prior to that. BIG learning curve. It will take him a minimum of two years to get things headed in the right direction (if ever).

B. The Vandulls have only a couple of returning starters coming back. Virtually every starter this season for the Vandulls (with a couple of exceptions) will be "new" starters. You can't lose as many starters as they did on both offense and defense (defense in particular) and not be worse than you were the previous year. I think Idaho only has ONE returning starter coming back this year on defense, and only two (or three) starters back on offense.

C. The only way that Idaho won't finish in last place in the Sun Belt this year is if one of the other Sun Belt teams manages to be even worse than Idaho.

D. New Mexico State has the best shot at exceeding expectations IMHO.
I would bet that Idaho wins their 2 home games this year. Both La, La and La Monroe play in the kibble dome in back to back games in October. These 2 wins should keep them out of the celler. Although the vandals have never beaten La, La!
07-26-2004 08:51 AM
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Post: #23
 
The Belt lags behind the WAC's top three schools (Boise, Fresno, Hawaii) no question about it. After that it is fairly even.

I don't know that you can rule out Idaho having a competent season this year. They had a terrible coach last year. Tulsa came into ASU two years ago and got spanked for three quarters until they rallied on raw talent to make it a competitive game. The next year they were second in the WAC under a good leader. Arkansas State in 2002 under a new coach won 6 matching the win total of the previous 26 games. So change can be good.

Idaho had some pretty good teams from 1982 to 1999 until Cable came in and the wheels fell off. It's not like you can't win there. But a bad coach coupled with a geographic mis-match of a league isn't going to breed success.

Right now it looks like the battle for the WAC-bound Sun Belt schools is for at best third place.
07-26-2004 09:10 AM
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Post: #24
 
Yes ArkStFan, Troy State and UNT seem to be the class of the Sun Belt this season.
3rd place is up for grabs.

As far as how the 3 former Belt teams will do in the WAC, I think Utah State will have the best chance for success. They are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base. Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
08-03-2004 05:18 PM
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Post: #25
 
broncobob Wrote:They (USU) are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base. Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
Broncobob, I have a question for you: How many years of winning constitutes 'history?' What other criteria are you using?

My biased opinion is that Idaho has a pretty good history of winning in the modern era. Erickson on is a pretty solid record.
08-03-2004 11:49 PM
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Post: #26
 
BigVandalFan Wrote:
broncobob Wrote:They (USU) are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base.  Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
Broncobob, I have a question for you: How many years of winning constitutes 'history?' What other criteria are you using?

My biased opinion is that Idaho has a pretty good history of winning in the modern era. Erickson on is a pretty solid record.
I know I could bring out a vandal fan with that post!!!!
I was just looking at overall records through history.

Utah State has a winning percentage of 51.8%, 34 games over 50%
Idaho has a winning percentage of 45.9%, 76 games under 50%
NMSU has a winning percentage of 44.1% 109 games under 50%

None of the above teams have winning records over the last 5 years!
But I hope all three teams can start winning as WAC teams.

I just think Utah State has the best chance of success in the WAC!

Check out this website for WAC team records and Conference Histories: <a href='http://sports.mariah95.com/wacalltimefootball.htm' target='_blank'>http://sports.mariah95.com/wacalltimefootball.htm</a>
08-04-2004 08:43 AM
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Post: #27
 
broncobob Wrote:
BigVandalFan Wrote:
broncobob Wrote:They (USU) are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base.  Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
Broncobob, I have a question for you: How many years of winning constitutes 'history?' What other criteria are you using?

My biased opinion is that Idaho has a pretty good history of winning in the modern era. Erickson on is a pretty solid record.
I know I could bring out a vandal fan with that post!!!!
I was just looking at overall records through history.

Utah State has a winning percentage of 51.8%, 34 games over 50%
Idaho has a winning percentage of 45.9%, 76 games under 50%
NMSU has a winning percentage of 44.1% 109 games under 50%

None of the above teams have winning records over the last 5 years!
But I hope all three teams can start winning as WAC teams.

I just think Utah State has the best chance of success in the WAC!

Check out this website for WAC team records and Conference Histories: <a href='http://sports.mariah95.com/wacalltimefootball.htm' target='_blank'>http://sports.mariah95.com/wacalltimefootball.htm</a>
Kind of feel bad for Vandal fans! They have been playing football for over 100 years and their "winning tradition" is based on a 17 year span with wins mostly over d1aa teams.

But their big problem now are very poor facilities for a d1a team. The kibbie dome may be okay for football and basketball in the Big Sky, but it is woefully poor for the WAC!

The will have difficult time recruiting until they build a new football stadium and basketball center.

Then there is the matter of season tickets which impacts revenue big time.

There only advantage is to play football in the kibbie dome where they have a huge home field advantage over teams that play in real football stadiums.
08-04-2004 11:52 AM
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Post: #28
 
BigVandalFan Wrote:
broncobob Wrote:They (USU) are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base.&nbsp; Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
Broncobob, I have a question for you: How many years of winning constitutes 'history?' What other criteria are you using?

My biased opinion is that Idaho has a pretty good history of winning in the modern era. Erickson on is a pretty solid record.
So this Ericson fellow, was a recent coach?????
08-04-2004 11:54 AM
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Post: #29
 
SportsDawg Wrote:
BigVandalFan Wrote:
broncobob Wrote:They (USU) are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base.  Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
Broncobob, I have a question for you: How many years of winning constitutes 'history?' What other criteria are you using?

My biased opinion is that Idaho has a pretty good history of winning in the modern era. Erickson on is a pretty solid record.
So this Ericson fellow, was a recent coach?????
SportsDawg, I was simply asking for a point of clarification to Broncobob as to how he viewed which team as being most competitive in the upcoming WAC seasons. Certainly our record in the '20s against won't have any bearing, would it? In fact this string has taken a wide tangent from its initial point: to discuss which of the incoming teams would exceed expectiations in their last year of the Sun Belt.

To answer that question, I'd say that NMSU has a great chance, for their QB play was very impressive. Personally, I wasn't impressed with NMSU's offensive- or defensive-line play, even with their touted guard. But, again, the QB play - both run and pass - was impressive during the game I saw. USU has a proven QB, and a highly touted RB coming in, not to mention a great free safetey, but that's all I know about them (other than a Vandal win last year). Now to Idaho, which I see as a quagmire and hard to access. Talent wise, I see mixed reviews: some good, raw talent, but also some skill positions in need of major upgrade. The o-line is young and uderappreciated. Hank Therien and Nate VanderPol will make the best, and youngest, tackle tandem in the Sun Belt; and will be the top in the WAC when they are JRs in '05. The Guard spots are above average and Young. Jade Tadvick, at the LG spot, is explosive, but I also saw him slip on some blocks in his freshmen year. I'm looking for improvement. The rest of the o-line is a question for I haven't seem them play, but three out of finve aint' bad. We'll certainly miss drafted Jake Scott. but I see the pre-season starting line being the strenght on offense. RB: no one knows, and we'll probably have to play a young player, probably a TF. WR: Wendal Octave will surprise, as will Stowe; might see a TF that was on Michigan State's board until late in the process. The Defense will be improved, but I don't expect miracles. We lost our top two tackles, and opposing teams ran around our ends all last season. I think our strength will be at LB (opposed to prognasticators) and corner. Even though True freshmen will play the DT spot, I expect the safeties to be the weakness. Our's last year couldn't do anything - cover or tackle - and it cost us dearly. We have some good players, a great motivator as a coach, but some holes that will be filled by young players, and a brutal schedule. We were in a lot of conference games late year, and I expect the same.

Now to answer your points: True, Ericson started our winning and we didn't win early in our history against teams with much larger budgets, and subsequently more players (no NCAA rules back then). But so what? What baring will that have on our future in the WAC? Our administration and university has done well over the course of the last two decades, bar Cable, at attracting talented coaches (on a side note: I won't harp on Cable any longer. He will show to be a very good OC in the future). Now with the return to a Western conference, I think you'll see us keep attracting talented coaches, particularly once we even out our slate of Major Contenders.

Your remarks about Idaho's "winning tradition" with wins mostly over d1aa teams: Well, duh, we were in the Big Sky, you know, a D1AA conference (Side note: so was UNR & BSU after their JC days). But we also beat D1A teams during those years. In '94 we - a lowly D1A - beat a UNLV that made it into a bowl game that year. The point is we've proven the ability to compete against conference members and win some games we weren't supposed to.

Facilities: Yup, it's an issue and may cause us to lose some recruits. But really, we have more of a Game Day Arena issue more than one of total facilities. The WAC commisioner himself praised our new weight center as 'state of the art,' and this was while showing little interest in Idaho. Now, it would be great to have a new hoop arena, and I would certainly welcome the news to having one. But, again, we've been competitive against current WAC teams with what we have (see: BSU and UNR), and you stated yourself how the kibbie could actually play to our favor as having a competive advantage. And speaking of facilities, you forgot about our greatest advantage: the campus. It's gorgeous and provides a real college atmosphere, which is a great advantage. I want new game day facilities, but it won't preclude us from competing. And it certainly didn't preclude us from getting a DT - that will play right away - from BYU, which offered his Jr year; or the LB from USC.

Season Tickets: Yup, again you're right. We are lacking. But we still already have a budget on pace with the WAC middle ground.

I never claimed to have a tradition on par with USC or Notre Damn. I know our winnig has been back loaded, but so have a lot of teams around these parts. But, as it pertained to the topic of this string, our winning since the Ericson years has bearing and weight.
08-04-2004 01:59 PM
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Post: #30
 
Careful about grading yuor players agianst the WAC. Therrian is a fine player, but he won't make all WAC in 05. He's behind alot of talent at OT including Daryn College.
08-04-2004 03:22 PM
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BoiseStateRules Offline
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Post: #31
 
arkstfan Wrote:The Belt lags behind the WAC's top three schools (Boise, Fresno, Hawaii) no question about it. After that it is fairly even.

I don't know that you can rule out Idaho having a competent season this year. They had a terrible coach last year. Tulsa came into ASU two years ago and got spanked for three quarters until they rallied on raw talent to make it a competitive game. The next year they were second in the WAC under a good leader. Arkansas State in 2002 under a new coach won 6 matching the win total of the previous 26 games. So change can be good.

Idaho had some pretty good teams from 1982 to 1999 until Cable came in and the wheels fell off. It's not like you can't win there. But a bad coach coupled with a geographic mis-match of a league isn't going to breed success.

Right now it looks like the battle for the WAC-bound Sun Belt schools is for at best third place.
Oh please get real. The Sun Belt is no where near the same level as the W.A.C. regardless of how one tries to spin it. According to the College Football Ranking website (which combines a number of different polls to rank the 117 Div. I-A teams) this is how the W.A.C. compares to the woeful Sun Belt Conference:

Western Athletic Conference...............Sun Belt Conference
# 14 - Boise State................................# 64 - North Texas
# 51 - Fresno State..............................# 83 - Troy State
# 57 - Hawaii........................................# 95 - Middle Tenn. State
# 66 - Tulsa...........................................# 99 - Louisiana Lafayette
# 77 - Nevada.......................................# 100 - Utah State
# 81 - Louisiana Tech............................# 105 - Arkansas State
# 88 - Rice.............................................# 106 - Idaho
# 101 - San Jose State...........................# 108 - New Mexico State
# 114 - U.T.E.P........................................# 115 - Louisiana Lafayette
# 116 - S.M.U.

As to your contention that after the top three schools in the W.A.C. the Sun Belt is "fairly even" with the W.A.C., here's the truth:

Western Athletic Conference.......................Sun Belt Conference
# 66 - Tulsa................................................# 64 - North Texas
# 77 - Nevada.............................................# 83 - Troy State
# 81 - La Tech..............................................# 95 - Middle Tenn. State
# 88 - Rice....................................................# 99 - Lou. Lafayette

So, even if you remove the top 3 teams from the W.A.C. (why?) out of the equation the W.A.C. is STILL clearly superior to the Sun Belt.

Now, if you wish to try to contend that the three worst teams in the W.A.C. (in football) are comparable to the three worst teams in the Sun Belt, then you might have an argument. But then again there are only 117 spots available and the worst of the lot can only be ranked so low. Bad is bad no matter what conference you are in. The fact is SEVEN of the nine teams in the Sun Belt are ranked among the 23 worst teams in all of Div. I-A football, and only three of the ten W.A.C. teams are similarly ranked. And EIGHT of the nine teams in the Sun Belt Conference are ranked among the 35 worst teams in Div. I-A and only four of the ten W.A.C. teams are similarly ranked. There is no comparison here.

As to ruling out Idaho, I have already explained WHY I have them ruled out this year. If you didn't understand it the first time, there's little chance you would understand it the 2nd time. But I will summarize the reasons for you one more time, nonetheless: New head coach, head coach has never been a head coach before, very few returning starters.....nuff said.
08-05-2004 09:27 AM
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broncobob Offline
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Post: #32
 
BigVandalFan Wrote:
SportsDawg Wrote:
BigVandalFan Wrote:
broncobob Wrote:They (USU) are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base.  Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
Broncobob, I have a question for you: How many years of winning constitutes 'history?' What other criteria are you using?

My biased opinion is that Idaho has a pretty good history of winning in the modern era. Erickson on is a pretty solid record.
So this Ericson fellow, was a recent coach?????
SportsDawg, I was simply asking for a point of clarification to Broncobob as to how he viewed which team as being most competitive in the upcoming WAC seasons. Certainly our record in the '20s against won't have any bearing, would it? In fact this string has taken a wide tangent from its initial point: to discuss which of the incoming teams would exceed expectiations in their last year of the Sun Belt.

To answer that question, I'd say that NMSU has a great chance, for their QB play was very impressive. Personally, I wasn't impressed with NMSU's offensive- or defensive-line play, even with their touted guard. But, again, the QB play - both run and pass - was impressive during the game I saw. USU has a proven QB, and a highly touted RB coming in, not to mention a great free safetey, but that's all I know about them (other than a Vandal win last year). Now to Idaho, which I see as a quagmire and hard to access. Talent wise, I see mixed reviews: some good, raw talent, but also some skill positions in need of major upgrade. The o-line is young and uderappreciated. Hank Therien and Nate VanderPol will make the best, and youngest, tackle tandem in the Sun Belt; and will be the top in the WAC when they are JRs in '05. The Guard spots are above average and Young. Jade Tadvick, at the LG spot, is explosive, but I also saw him slip on some blocks in his freshmen year. I'm looking for improvement. The rest of the o-line is a question for I haven't seem them play, but three out of finve aint' bad. We'll certainly miss drafted Jake Scott. but I see the pre-season starting line being the strenght on offense. RB: no one knows, and we'll probably have to play a young player, probably a TF. WR: Wendal Octave will surprise, as will Stowe; might see a TF that was on Michigan State's board until late in the process. The Defense will be improved, but I don't expect miracles. We lost our top two tackles, and opposing teams ran around our ends all last season. I think our strength will be at LB (opposed to prognasticators) and corner. Even though True freshmen will play the DT spot, I expect the safeties to be the weakness. Our's last year couldn't do anything - cover or tackle - and it cost us dearly. We have some good players, a great motivator as a coach, but some holes that will be filled by young players, and a brutal schedule. We were in a lot of conference games late year, and I expect the same.

Now to answer your points: True, Ericson started our winning and we didn't win early in our history against teams with much larger budgets, and subsequently more players (no NCAA rules back then). But so what? What baring will that have on our future in the WAC? Our administration and university has done well over the course of the last two decades, bar Cable, at attracting talented coaches (on a side note: I won't harp on Cable any longer. He will show to be a very good OC in the future). Now with the return to a Western conference, I think you'll see us keep attracting talented coaches, particularly once we even out our slate of Major Contenders.

Your remarks about Idaho's "winning tradition" with wins mostly over d1aa teams: Well, duh, we were in the Big Sky, you know, a D1AA conference (Side note: so was UNR & BSU after their JC days). But we also beat D1A teams during those years. In '94 we - a lowly D1A - beat a UNLV that made it into a bowl game that year. The point is we've proven the ability to compete against conference members and win some games we weren't supposed to.

Facilities: Yup, it's an issue and may cause us to lose some recruits. But really, we have more of a Game Day Arena issue more than one of total facilities. The WAC commisioner himself praised our new weight center as 'state of the art,' and this was while showing little interest in Idaho. Now, it would be great to have a new hoop arena, and I would certainly welcome the news to having one. But, again, we've been competitive against current WAC teams with what we have (see: BSU and UNR), and you stated yourself how the kibbie could actually play to our favor as having a competive advantage. And speaking of facilities, you forgot about our greatest advantage: the campus. It's gorgeous and provides a real college atmosphere, which is a great advantage. I want new game day facilities, but it won't preclude us from competing. And it certainly didn't preclude us from getting a DT - that will play right away - from BYU, which offered his Jr year; or the LB from USC.

Season Tickets: Yup, again you're right. We are lacking. But we still already have a budget on pace with the WAC middle ground.

I never claimed to have a tradition on par with USC or Notre Damn. I know our winnig has been back loaded, but so have a lot of teams around these parts. But, as it pertained to the topic of this string, our winning since the Ericson years has bearing and weight.
Nice to get some vandal fan interaction here! I am looking forward to playing the vandals in conference, when it counts!!!

Are you going to make it to the Idaho game in Boise this year????
08-05-2004 09:53 AM
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Post: #33
 
BoiseStateRules Wrote:As to your contention that after the top three schools in the W.A.C. the Sun Belt is "fairly even" with the W.A.C., here's the truth:

Western Athletic Conference.......................Sun Belt Conference
# 66 - Tulsa................................................# 64 - North Texas
# 77 - Nevada.............................................# 83 - Troy State
# 81 - La Tech..............................................# 95 - Middle Tenn. State
# 88 - Rice....................................................# 99 - Lou. Lafayette

So, even if you remove the top 3 teams from the W.A.C. (why?) out of the equation the W.A.C. is STILL clearly superior to the Sun Belt.
CLEARLY how the hell is that CLEARLY.

Those rankings are so close that most services would predict the home team to win any of those match-ups.

The WAC has three outstanding teams. The rest of the pack is no better than the Belt.

If that is insulting to you for the good name of Boise quit telling people you are a fan.
08-11-2004 09:04 AM
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Post: #34
 
broncobob Wrote:As far as how the 3 former Belt teams will do in the WAC, I think Utah State will have the best chance for success. They are the only team coming in with a history of winning and they have the best season ticket base. Most potential in my eyes!!!!!
I think all three teams will see incresed competition, fan support and regional interest. All three teams benefit and the WAC will benefit by their program growth. North Texas made a good decision to stay on top of the sunbelt instead of moving to the center of the WAC.
08-11-2004 10:18 AM
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Post: #35
 
arkstfan Wrote:
BoiseStateRules Wrote:As to your contention that after the top three schools in the W.A.C. the Sun Belt is "fairly even" with the W.A.C., here's the truth:

Western Athletic Conference.......................Sun Belt Conference
# 66 - Tulsa................................................# 64 - North Texas
# 77 - Nevada.............................................# 83 - Troy State
# 81 - La Tech..............................................# 95 - Middle Tenn. State
# 88 - Rice....................................................# 99 - Lou. Lafayette

So, even if you remove the top 3 teams from the W.A.C. (why?) out of the equation the W.A.C. is STILL clearly superior to the Sun Belt.
CLEARLY how the hell is that CLEARLY.

Those rankings are so close that most services would predict the home team to win any of those match-ups.

The WAC has three outstanding teams. The rest of the pack is no better than the Belt.

If that is insulting to you for the good name of Boise quit telling people you are a fan.
Wrong Side Of the Bed Mark?????

UNT would have a good chance of finishing in the top half of the WAC. The WAC really has become the Big 3 and the other guys kind of like UNT and the other guys in the Sun Belt.

The bottom teams in the WAC are baaaaaaaaaaaaad!
The bottom teams in the Sun Belt are also baaaaaaaaaaaad!

Maybe the change in conferences will help all the teams involved.

I am very confident that Utah State and Idaho will improve. Utah State and Idaho both had big time problems reqruiting as Sun Belt/Indendents!!!!!
08-12-2004 02:33 PM
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