georgia_tech_swagger Wrote:There's this guy named Rudy Giuliani.
He's going to destroy the Dems in 2008.
He'll be labeled a Republican, even if he's much more Libertarian / non religious right Republican like GW Bush.
You should become familiar with him.
He'll be your next President.
I'll believe it when I see it.
I have a feeling that those giving him such a huge lead in the polls haven't yet been made aware of the tumultuousness in his personal life over the last 8 years.
We tend not to knowingly elect leaders who are estranged from their children and tell their wives they are divorcing them in a live press conference.
If the evangelicals don't are willing to compromise on policy -- they may just end up being flat creeped out by the guy, and feel like he doesn't really represent their values.
In steps Romney, who while has waffled in the past, clearly supports their position now -- and he has the family life and history that reflects their values.
If the GOP social conservative base is still in the mood to compromise in 6 months, they'll be far more to make their compromise on Romney, in my opinion.
People forget, that in a splintered primary, its not theoretical poll support that matters, its the organizational power of the campaign that matters. And evangelicals are far more organized in this regard than libertarians.
Case in point, Romney's victory in the CPAC straw poll. Splintered poll, nobody coalescing any comprehensive support. Romney wins because he organizes more supporters to come to the conference on his behalf than any other candidate. I'm not saying that this is reflective of a primary exactly -- though it is reflective of a caucus -- but it illustrates the power of organization, where I think 8 months from now, Romney will have a huge advantage.