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WHAT EFFECT WILL REAGAN"S DEATH HAVE!
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Dogger Offline
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As someone who wants to see a new direction in leadership I wonder if Reagan's death will buoy our current fraud in chief.
06-12-2004 09:53 AM
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I'm not sure it will help Bush....I think the public will be reminded of "a kinder and gentler nation" that we had before the current crop of neo cons were spawned under Reagan's administration.
Though it was not his fault........

The old conservatives were decent people who were working towards the best interests of our country using their conservative philosiphy.

The neo cons are using their power to further their own personal agendas and wealth.

I think the people will see this now more than ever since the comparison is so evident.

I don't think Bush could stand up to much comparison to Reagan.

My guess is that he will be glad when Reagan is once again forgotten.

doh
06-12-2004 10:06 AM
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I'm lost, I thought Reagan was the Anti-Christ that killed millions of people with the AIDS virus and killed Sandanistan Rebels with $$$ from the Iran-Contra affair. You guys need to huddle up or something. I'm getting mixed signals.
06-12-2004 03:00 PM
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RebelKev Wrote:I'm lost, I thought Reagan was the Anti-Christ that killed millions of people with the AIDS virus and killed Sandanistan Rebels with $$$ from the Iran-Contra affair. You guys need to huddle up or something. I'm getting mixed signals.
The Sandinistas weren't the rebels. Not during the Reagan era. Reagan was trying to have a popular government overthrown.

Some history:

Three different members of the Somoza family had ruled Nicaragua as dictators from 1937-1979. The first Somoza was (basically) installed by U.S. military during an occupation during the 1920s and 1930s.

The Somozas ruled Nicaragua with an iron fist. They killed journalists, jailed political opponents, that kind of thing. When an earthquake struck the country in 1972, leaving 50,000 people homeless, the Somozas looted much of the foreign aid.

The Sandinsta rebels named themselves for Augusto Sandino, who had led bands of peasants against the conservative Nicaraguan government and the U.S. military during the 1920s and 1930s (the first Somoza had him killed).

After years of guerilla warfare, the Sandinistas -- with the help of more moderate groups -- eventually overthrew the Somoza government in 1979.

The revolution had enormous popular support. When he finally fled the country, Somoza controlled only Managua, and that was collapsing around him.

The Sandinistas began radical changes: land reforms, nationalization of industries, programs for the poor, a mass literacy effort, that kind of thing. And they became close to the Soviet Union and Cuba -- countries that formed much of the intellectual inspiration for the rebellion.

The U.S. also accused the Sandinsta government of supporting leftist rebels in El Salvador (who were trying to overthrow a right-wing thug of their own). The Sandinstas denied it.

Reagan tended to see everything in the context of the Cold War, and he found all of this unacceptable. Soon the CIA was mining Nicaraguan habors**, attacking oil installations and helping establish the Contra rebels in Honduras (using former Somoza solders who had fled the country).

The Sandinistas weren't angels. But, in 1984, Daniel Ortega and his Sandinistas did win two-thirds of the vote in an election deemed free and fair by most observers. (The Reagan administration called it a sham).

And the bottom line is that the Contras were unlikely to to win over the hearts and minds of most Nicaraguans. Not with so many Somoza soldiers in their ranks. Not with the obvious U.S. backing.

The Contras were hardly angels either. Congress finally got fed up with them and passed a law insisting that the U.S. not offer them direct support. Reagan defied that law, leading to the Iran-Contra scandal.

A political moderate defeated the Sandinstas in 1990 elections. Observers figured people were just tired of the violence and the U.S. embargo, which was wrecking the economy. The Sandinstas remain a viable political party, but they haven't won a national election since.

And the U.S. continues to make its presence felt. Right before the 2001 election, Jeb Bush bought a full page ad in one of the big local dailies, informing (or warning) Nicaraguans that George W. Bush supported Daniel Ortega's opponent and informing them that "Daniel Ortega is an enemy of everything the United States represents."

Many Nicaraguans interpreted the ad as a veiled threat: A vote for Ortega is a vote for another U.S. embargo. Ortega lost.

----

** This mining of harbors was deemed an illegal act of war by the International Court of Justice. The U.S. refused to recognize the decision and has not recognized the court ever since.
06-12-2004 09:44 PM
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Schadenfreude Wrote:
RebelKev Wrote:I'm lost, I thought Reagan was the Anti-Christ that killed millions of people with the AIDS virus and killed Sandanistan Rebels with $$$ from the Iran-Contra affair. You guys need to huddle up or something. I'm getting mixed signals.
The Sandinistas weren't the rebels. Not during the Reagan era. Reagan was trying to have a popular government overthrown.

Some history:

Three different members of the Somoza family had ruled Nicaragua as dictators from 1937-1979. The first Somoza was (basically) installed by U.S. military during an occupation during the 1920s and 1930s.

The Somozas ruled Nicaragua with an iron fist. They killed journalists,
At least they weren't all bad.
06-14-2004 08:04 AM
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ccs178 Offline
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Schadenfreude Wrote:
RebelKev Wrote:I'm lost, I thought Reagan was the Anti-Christ that killed millions of people with the AIDS virus and killed Sandanistan Rebels with $$$ from the Iran-Contra affair. You guys need to huddle up or something. I'm getting mixed signals.
The Sandinistas weren't the rebels. Not during the Reagan era. Reagan was trying to have a popular government overthrown.

An interesting attempt to gloss things over, but quite flawed. The Reagan Administration was from 1980 to 1988.

Schadenfreude Wrote:Some history:

Three different members of the Somoza family had ruled Nicaragua as dictators from 1937-1979. The first Somoza was (basically) installed by U.S. military during an occupation during the 1920s and 1930s.

The Somozas ruled Nicaragua with an iron fist. They killed journalists, jailed political opponents, that kind of thing. When an earthquake struck the country in 1972, leaving 50,000 people homeless, the Somozas looted much of the foreign aid.

The Sandinsta rebels named themselves for Augusto Sandino, who had led bands of peasants against the conservative Nicaraguan government and the U.S. military during the 1920s and 1930s (the first Somoza had him killed).

Ok, first you said they weren't rebels, now you say they were. Oh wait, you said they weren't rebels during the Reagan Era. We'll look at that a little further down. Stay tuned.

Schadenfreude Wrote:After years of guerilla warfare, the Sandinistas -- with the help of more moderate groups -- eventually overthrew the Somoza government in 1979.

The revolution had enormous popular support. When he finally fled the country, Somoza controlled only Managua, and that was collapsing around him.

So after the revolution, the Sandanistas decided they were the only ones capable of running the government. What happened to all their buddies in the moderate groups. They kicked them to the curb. Hmmm, how very democratic. Replace one dictator with another dictator.

Schadenfreude Wrote:The Sandinistas began radical changes: land reforms, nationalization of industries, programs for the poor, a mass literacy effort, that kind of thing. And they became close to the Soviet Union and Cuba -- countries that formed much of the intellectual inspiration for the rebellion.

Which has done so well for Cuba.

Schadenfreude Wrote:The U.S. also accused the Sandinsta government of supporting leftist rebels in El Salvador (who were trying to overthrow a right-wing thug of their own). The Sandinstas denied it.

I'm not sure why you even mentioned this. So what? Daniel Ortega Saavedra was accused of being a Boston Red Sox fan too, but he denied it.

Schadenfreude Wrote:Reagan tended to see everything in the context of the Cold War, and he found all of this unacceptable. Soon the CIA was mining Nicaraguan habors**, attacking oil installations  and helping establish the Contra rebels in Honduras (using former Somoza solders who had fled the country).

The mining was overboard, definitely. Score one for the left.

Schadenfreude Wrote:The Sandinistas weren't angels. But, in 1984, Daniel Ortega and his Sandinistas did win two-thirds of the vote in an election deemed free and fair by most observers. (The Reagan administration called it a sham).

It was a sham. Remember the moderate groups that helped overthrow Somoza? The ones that the Sandanistas kicked to the curb as soon as they were in power? They were boycotting the elections. So, when someone would get a ballot only Sandanistas were on it. Hussein was elected as President in Iraq too. One of the few leaders ever to get 100% of the vote. I guess he was popular too.

As for your "they weren't rebels during the Reagan Era" comment. I'm not sure if you are aware of this but, the Reagan Era started before 1984. He was elected in 1980. It was in all the papers.

Schadenfreude Wrote:And the bottom line is that the Contras were unlikely to to win over the hearts and minds of most Nicaraguans. Not with so many Somoza soldiers in their ranks. Not with the obvious U.S. backing.


The bottom line is that no one group had a monopoly on the hearts and minds of the the Nicaraguan people. The Sandanistas just thought that if they were in power long enough people would come around to their way of thinking.

Schadenfreude Wrote:The Contras were hardly angels either. Congress finally got fed up with them and passed a law insisting that the U.S. not offer them direct support. Reagan defied that law, leading to the Iran-Contra scandal.

The Boland amendments only covered the CIA and the DOD. So, the NSC stepped up to fill the void. Not illegal. It's called a loophole.

Schadenfreude Wrote:A political moderate defeated the Sandinstas in 1990 elections. Observers figured people were just tired of the violence and the U.S. embargo, which was wrecking the economy. The Sandinstas remain a viable political party, but they haven't won a national election since.

Wow. As soon as somebody other than the Sandanistas participates, the Sandanistas lose. Imagine that.

Schadenfreude Wrote:And the U.S. continues to make its presence felt. Right before the 2001 election, Jeb Bush bought a full page ad in one of the big local dailies, informing (or warning) Nicaraguans that George W. Bush supported Daniel Ortega's opponent and informing them that "Daniel Ortega is an enemy of everything the United States represents."

Many Nicaraguans interpreted the ad as a veiled threat: A vote for Ortega is a vote for another U.S. embargo. Ortega lost.


Forget that the Sandanistas have never won a national election where people had choices other than the Sandanistas to vote for. <sarcasm>No, it was just those evil Republicans.</sarcasm> :rolleyes:

Schadenfreude Wrote:** This mining of harbors was deemed an illegal act of war by the International Court of Justice. The U.S. refused to recognize the decision and has not recognized the court ever since.

Like I said, the mining was a bad thing, no doubt. Funny thing though. Nicaragua filed a discontinuence in Sept 1991. I guess it wasn't such a big deal after all.
06-14-2004 10:16 AM
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Schadenfreude Offline
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ccs178 Wrote:An interesting attempt to gloss things over, but quite flawed. The Reagan Administration was from 1980 to 1988.
You harp on this a lot. Fact is, I was responding this quote, from another post:

"I'm lost, I thought Reagan was the Anti-Christ that killed millions of people with the AIDS virus and killed Sandanistan Rebels with $$$ from the Iran-Contra affair."

The Contra army was formed by the Reagan administration to overthrow the Sandinista government. The Sandinistas were never rebels during the Reagan administration.

Quote:So after the revolution, the Sandanistas decided they were the only ones capable of running the government. What happened to all their buddies in the moderate groups. They kicked them to the curb. Hmmm, how very democratic. Replace one dictator with another dictator.&nbsp;

...

Schadenfreude Wrote:The Sandinistas weren't angels. But, in 1984, Daniel Ortega and his Sandinistas did win two-thirds of the vote in an election deemed free and fair by most observers. (The Reagan administration called it a sham).

It was a sham. Remember the moderate groups that helped overthrow Somoza? The ones that the Sandanistas kicked to the curb as soon as they were in power? They were boycotting the elections. So, when someone would get a ballot only Sandanistas were on it. Hussein was elected as President in Iraq too. One of the few leaders ever to get 100% of the vote. I guess he was popular too.

Consider the comparison with Hussein. Hussein got virtually 100 percent of the vote.

In contrast, one third of Nicaraguans voted for parties other than the Sandinistas in '84 -- and despite the boycott from certain right-wing opposition groups.

On its face, your notion that only Sandinista candidates appeared on the ballots appears a fantasy. And, in fact, I believe even the boycotting right-wingers were still on ballots for that election.

A useful link:

<a href='http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/stories/november/5/newsid_2538000/2538379.stm' target='_blank'>http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/s...000/2538379.stm</a>

The British government thought the 1984 election was, overall, fair. So did most observers.

Quote:
Schadenfreude Wrote:And the bottom line is that the Contras were unlikely to to win over the hearts and minds of most Nicaraguans. Not with so many Somoza soldiers in their ranks. Not with the obvious U.S. backing.

The bottom line is that no one group had a monopoly on the hearts and minds of the the Nicaraguan people. The Sandanistas just thought that if they were in power long enough people would come around to their way of thinking.

This analysis falls short.

If you accept -- as you seem to -- that broad support from moderate-left groups helped give Sandinista revolution enough momentum to push Somoza from power, then how can you suggest that many if not most Nicaraguans would have welcomed an overthrow from a guerilla movement packed with ex-Somoza thugs?

Quote:
Schadenfreude Wrote:The Contras were hardly angels either. Congress finally got fed up with them and passed a law insisting that the U.S. not offer them direct support. Reagan defied that law, leading to the Iran-Contra scandal.
The Boland amendments only covered the CIA and the DOD. So, the NSC stepped up to fill the void. Not illegal. It's called a loophole.

You may be right. I have not familiar with this argument.

Quote:
Schadenfreude Wrote:A political moderate defeated the Sandinstas in 1990 elections. Observers figured people were just tired of the violence and the U.S. embargo, which was wrecking the economy. The Sandinstas remain a viable political party, but they haven't won a national election since.

Wow. As soon as somebody other than the Sandanistas participates, the Sandanistas lose. Imagine that.

See my previous point. The right-wing parties were the ones boycotting in '84. The Sandinistas still had plenty of opposition.

And the fact is, Violeta Chamorro was hardly a right-winger. She was a moderate who detested Somoza, who had her husband killed.

Quote:
Schadenfreude Wrote:And the U.S. continues to make its presence felt. Right before the 2001 election, Jeb Bush bought a full page ad in one of the big local dailies, informing (or warning) Nicaraguans that George W. Bush supported Daniel Ortega's opponent and informing them that "Daniel Ortega is an enemy of everything the United States represents."

Many Nicaraguans interpreted the ad as a veiled threat: A vote for Ortega is a vote for another U.S. embargo. Ortega lost.

Forget that the Sandanistas have never won a national election where people had choices other than the Sandanistas to vote for. <sarcasm>No, it was just those evil Republicans.</sarcasm> :rolleyes:

This was the ad:

GEORGE W. BUSH SUPPORTS ENRIQUE BOLANOS

This November, Nicaragua will choose a new president. This decision rests where it should, in the hands of the Nicaraguan voting public. At the same time, we in Florida want the people of Nicaragua to know that they are not alone in making this decision.

The elements which have made of Florida and the United States a place where exiles from diverse countries have found success - democracy, respect for law, transparency and confidence in public institutions - are being developed in many Latin American countries. Florida benefits when its neighbors adopt the successful formulas - free elections, open markets, the integrity of the public sector - which have produced such good results in our country.

However, this formula for success is not automatic. Not everyone has the same commitment to these successful free institutions...As I look at Latin America today, I'm reminded of the motto which is written above the entrance to the US National Archives: "The Past Is Prologue." The past is without doubt the key indicator of the future. In a world which has been transformed during the last decade through political and economic openings, it is inconceivable that a people would choose to return to a totalitarian past.

The past and present of Daniel Ortega clearly indicate that he neither understands nor accepts the basic principles of freedom, democracy and the free market. Some say he has changed, that the years out of power have convinced him of the necessity for genuine democracy, for open markets, and for the maintaining of good relations with his neighbors and with the United States. This is what Ortega would want us to believe.

Daniel Ortega is an enemy of everything the United States represents. Further, he is a friend of our enemies. Ortega has a relationship of more than 30 years with states and individuals who shelter and condone international terrorism.

By contrast Enrique Bolanos is a man whose past promises a future of freedom. I knew him for the first time fifteen years ago, before the end of the Cold War, when freedom was not yet secured in many parts of the world. He spoke with clarity of purpose and with precision about the importance of democracy, of the free market, and of the absolute necessity to have a public sector with integrity. He not only spoke about these ideas but also defended them valiantly in the hostile and repressive climate created by the Sandinistas. Thanks to this experience, I can say that Enrique Bolanos will be an excellent leader for Nicaragua.

To construct democracy is not easy. It puts a leader's commitment to the test as well as his will to hold to the true path. This is why Latin America needs people whose valorous past points to a promising future. Latin America needs leaders like Enrique Bolanos, people whose history shows a commitment to the construction of prosperous economies and solid democracies which are the necessary base for reinforcing bonds of brotherhood with Florida, just as with the whole United States of America.


I am reasonably certain that if the President if Nicaragua were to buy a full page ad in the New York Times endorsing George W. Bush, it would be blatantly illegal.

Quote:
Schadenfreude Wrote:** This mining of harbors was deemed an illegal act of war by the International Court of Justice. The U.S. refused to recognize the decision and has not recognized the court ever since.

Like I said, the mining was a bad thing, no doubt. Funny thing though. Nicaragua filed a discontinuence in Sept 1991. I guess it wasn't such a big deal after all.

That was the year Chamorro came to power.

Bush I made it clear that Nicaragua would not be receiving any aid at all from the United States until the case was discontinued.
06-14-2004 08:50 PM
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ccs178 Offline
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Quote:The Contra army was formed by the Reagan administration to overthrow the Sandinista government. The Sandinistas were never rebels during the Reagan administration.


The Sandanistas were not democratically elected and did not hold elections until almost half-way through Reagan's administration. If you want to play on semantics then they weren't rebels in the sense of rebelling against the government, but they were far from being the legit government either. When Somoza left they took his place. Dictatorship for dictatorship. The difference? The Sandinistas tried to color it as a social movement to legitimize their assumption of power and denying the people their rights.

The Contras existed before the Reagan administration became involved. They were poorly trained, ill-equipped and barely organized, but formed on their own.

Quote:Consider the comparison with Hussein. Hussein got virtually 100 percent of the vote.

In contrast, one third of Nicaraguans voted for parties other than the Sandinistas in '84 -- and despite the boycott from certain right-wing opposition groups.

On its face, your notion that only Sandinista candidates appeared on the ballots appears a fantasy. And, in fact, I believe even the boycotting right-wingers were still on ballots for that election.


You use throw statistics around rather haphazardly. Why would you know who were on the ballots or stats for Nicaraguan elections that were held 20 years ago, but not know anything about American laws (Boland amendments) you were citing? I'd say you don't know much about either of them. Documentation?


Quote:A useful link:

<a href='http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/s...000/2538379.stm' target='_blank'>http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/s...000/2538379.stm</a>

The British government thought the 1984 election was, overall, fair. So did most observers.


Go back and read that article. The British Government had no observers there and made no statements about the election. Nor does it quote "most observers." Were you not expecting anybody to actually read the link?

Quote:This analysis falls short.

If you accept -- as you seem to -- that broad support from moderate-left groups helped give Sandinista revolution enough momentum to push Somoza from power, then how can you suggest that many if not most Nicaraguans would have welcomed an overthrow from a guerilla movement packed with ex-Somoza thugs?

It wasn't a Sandanista Revolution. Being Anti-Somoza and being Pro-Sandanista are two different things. Just because there was popular support for Somoza's ouster does not mean the Sandanistas had popular support to form their own dictatorship. Can you understand the difference?

The Sandanistas tried to exploit the popularity of Somozas ouster, but almost immediately ran into resistance due to unpopular agrarian reforms, putting restrictions on the freedom of the press, the freedom to strike, holding political prisoners, and instituting an unpopular military draft. That doesn't sound like a movement with broad popular support to me.

Quote:(Boland Amendments) You may be right. I have not familiar with this argument.

Shouldn't you be if you are going to cite the Boland Amendments while debating?

Quote:I am reasonably certain that if the President if Nicaragua were to buy a full page ad in the New York Times endorsing George W. Bush, it would be blatantly illegal.


It was Jeb Bush's ad, not Pres. Bush. President Bush was never even mentioned in the ad, but Florida was mentioned a number of times. Did Jeb do it without Pres. Bush's knowledge and approval? Certainly not, but that hardly makes it illegal. I don't know of any US law against foreign leaders expressing their support of a sitting President during an election. Accepting money from foreign contributors is a no-no, but having one stand up and simply say "He's our friend and I hope he's there next year!" is hardly illegal. Maybe you would care to enlighten us?

Quote:That was the year Chamorro came to power.

Bush I made it clear that Nicaragua would not be receiving any aid at all from the United States until the case was discontinued.

Then why didn't they try to have it reinstated when Pres. Bush was voted out of office less than 2 months later?
06-15-2004 12:23 AM
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One of these days, Communism will make a comeback. :rolleyes:
06-15-2004 03:18 AM
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ccs178 Wrote:
Quote:The Contra army was formed by the Reagan administration to overthrow the Sandinista government. The Sandinistas were never rebels during the Reagan administration.

The Sandanistas were not democratically elected and did not hold elections until almost half-way through Reagan's administration. If you want to play on semantics then they weren't rebels in the sense of rebelling against the government, but they were far from being the legit government either. When Somoza left they took his place. Dictatorship for dictatorship. The difference? The Sandinistas tried to color it as a social movement to legitimize their assumption of power and denying the people their rights.

The Contras existed before the Reagan administration became involved. They were poorly trained, ill-equipped and barely organized, but formed on their own.

It is not semantics. The Sandinstas took power in 1979. After that point, they were no longer rebels.

Quote:
Quote:Consider the comparison with Hussein. Hussein got virtually 100 percent of the vote.

In contrast, one third of Nicaraguans voted for parties other than the Sandinistas in '84 -- and despite the boycott from certain right-wing opposition groups.

On its face, your notion that only Sandinista candidates appeared on the ballots appears a fantasy. And, in fact, I believe even the boycotting right-wingers were still on ballots for that election.

You use throw statistics around rather haphazardly. Why would you know who were on the ballots or stats for Nicaraguan elections that were held 20 years ago, but not know anything about American laws (Boland amendments) you were citing? I'd say you don't know much about either of them. Documentation?

So much of what one sees on the Internet is vociferiously pro- or anti-Sandinista. This appears reasonably neutral:

<a href='http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nicaragua_history_index.html' target='_blank'>http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nica...tory_index.html</a>

This site claims as its source the "Library of Congress Country Studies." I'm not familiar with that as a source, but I think we can assume it wasn't written by (for example) a Cuban Communist.

Relevant excerpts:

In mid-1984, the Electoral Law was passed setting the date and conditions for the election. As was the case with the Political Parties Law, much debate went into the law's drafting. The opposition parties favored the election of a two-year interim president and a six-year legislature that would draft a new constitution. The junta, citing foreign pressure to hold elections early and the added cost of two elections in two years, prevailed with its proposal to simultaneously elect the president and members of the new legislature for six-year terms. The opposition preferred a 1985 date for elections to give it time to prepare its campaign, but the FSLN set the election for November 4, 1984 and the inauguration for January 10, 1985. The law set the voting age at sixteen, which the opposition complained was an attempt to capitalize on the FSLN's popularity with the young. The number of National Assembly seats would vary with each election--ninety seats to be apportioned among each party according to their share of the vote and an additional seat for each losing presidential candidate. The entire electoral process would be the responsibility of a new fourth branch of government, the Supreme Electoral Council. Parties that failed to participate in the election would lose their legal status.

By July 1984, eight parties or coalitions had announced their intention to field candidates: the FSLN with Daniel Ortega as presidential candidate; the Democratic Coordinator (Coordinadora Democrática--CD), a broad coalition of labor unions, business groups, and four centrist parties; and six other parties--the PLI, the PPSC, the Democratic Conservative Party (Partido Conservador Demócratica--PCD), the communists, the socialists, and the Marxist-Leninist Popular Action Movement. Claiming that the Sandinistas were manipulating the electoral process, the CD refused to formally file its candidates and urged Nicaraguans to boycott the election. In October, Virgilio Godoy Reyes of the PLI also withdrew his candidacy, although most of the other candidates for the National Assembly and the PLI's vice presidential candidate remained on the ballot. Other parties reportedly were pressured to withdraw from the election also.

On November 4 1984, about 75 percent of the registered voters went to the polls. The FSLN won 67 percent of the votes, the presidency, and sixty-one of the ninety-six seats in the new National Assembly. The three conservative parties that remained in the election garnered twenty-nine seats in the National Assembly; the three parties on the left won a total of six seats. Foreign observers generally reported that the election was fair. Opposition groups, however, said that the FSLN domination of government organs, mass organizations groups, and much of the media created a climate of intimidation that precluded a truly open election. Inauguration came on January 10, 1985; the date was selected because it was the seventh anniversary of the assassination of newspaper editor Chamorro. Attending Ortega's swearing in as president were the presidents of Yugoslavia and Cuba, the vice presidents of Argentina and the Soviet Union, and four foreign ministers from Latin America.


I've got to tell you, I don't see any smoking guns here. From what is presented here, the two key opposition objections were:

1. The election was coming too soon. (Too soon?)
2. The voting age was 16, not 18.

I don't doubt that the FSLN held enormous sway over most of the insitutions of power at that time. On the other hand, it is clear that the FSLN made a great deal of efforts to protect minorities in the system that was set up (by, for example, ensuring that losing presidential candidates had seats in the national assembly.

The key point: Most observers considered it reasonably fair.

Quote:Go back and read that article. The British Government had no observers there and made no statements about the election. Nor does it quote "most observers." Were you not expecting anybody to actually read the link?

I didn't read it closely.

This is the link again:

<a href='http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/low/dates/stories/november/5/newsid_2538000/2538379.stm' target='_blank'>http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/low/dates/...000/2538379.stm</a>

Here is the relevant quote:

Approximately 400 independent foreign observers, including a number of Americans, were in Nicaragua to monitor proceedings.

The unofficial British election observer, Lord Chitnis, said proceedings were not perfect but he had no doubt the elections were fair.


Quote:It wasn't a Sandanista Revolution. Being Anti-Somoza and being Pro-Sandanista are two different things. Just because there was popular support for Somoza's ouster does not mean the Sandanistas had popular support to form their own dictatorship. Can you understand the difference?

I grasp your point. Being anti-Somoza and pro-Sandinista are two different things.

That said, it very much was a Sandinista revolution. More than any other group, the Sandinistas got credit for pushing Somoza from power. They had been working to do so the longest.

Quote:The Sandanistas tried to exploit the popularity of Somozas ouster, but almost immediately ran into resistance due to unpopular agrarian reforms, putting restrictions on the freedom of the press, the freedom to strike, holding political prisoners, and instituting an unpopular military draft. That doesn't sound like a movement with broad popular support to me.

Again, I'd point you to the election, in which they won two-thirds of the vote and two-thirds of the seats in the national assembly.

I said in my first post they weren't angels. Yes, they did place restrictions on the press at times -- although, as near as I can tell, they never assassinated newspaper editors.

I'd love to dig out Amnesty International reports on the Somoza regime and the Sandinista regime. I have seen it asserted that the the situation greatly improved under the Sandinistas. I tend to believe that.

And, yes, the draft was unpopular. Daniel Ortega has said he believes it cost him the 1990 election. On the other hand, the decision to impose a draft was forced upon him, faced with well-financed (by the Americans) rebel armies.

But I wouldn't be so quick to assume the agrarian reforms were unpopular. Nicaragua was -- and remains -- a nation of vast poverty, and the FSLN's base was always the the rural poor.

Here is another excerpt from those Library of Congress Country Studies:

<a href='http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nicaragua_history_consolidation_of_the_revolution_1979_80.html' target='_blank'>http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nica...on_1979_80.html</a>

Quoting here:

The new government enacted the Agrarian Reform Law, beginning with the nationalization of all rural properties owned by the Somoza family or people associated with the Somozas, a total of 2,000 farms representing more than 20 percent of Nicaragua's cultivable land. These farms became state property under the new Ministry of Agrarian Reform. Large agroexport farms not owned by the Somozas generally were not affected by the agrarian reform. Financial institutions, all in bankruptcy from the massive capital flight during the war, were also nationalized.

First of all, think about that: One fifth of the nation's potential farmland was owned by Somoza or his family and friends.

I have my doubts that nationalizing that property and trying to get it into the hands of the rural poor was unpopular at all.

Quote:
Quote:(Boland Amendments) You may be right. I have not familiar with this argument.

Shouldn't you be if you are going to cite the Boland Amendments while debating?

I don't know everything. And I have news for you: Neither do you.

Quote:
Quote:I am reasonably certain that if the President if Nicaragua were to buy a full page ad in the New York Times endorsing George W. Bush, it would be blatantly illegal.

It was Jeb Bush's ad, not Pres. Bush. President Bush was never even mentioned in the ad,

This was the headline of the ad, in giant, red capital letters:

GEORGE W. BUSH SUPPORTS ENRIQUE BOLAÑOS

Quote:but Florida was mentioned a number of times. Did Jeb do it without Pres. Bush's knowledge and approval? Certainly not, but that hardly makes it illegal. I don't know of any US law against foreign leaders expressing their support of a sitting President during an election. Accepting money from foreign contributors is a no-no, but having one stand up and simply say "He's our friend and I hope he's there next year!" is hardly illegal. Maybe you would care to enlighten us?

Election law is complex.

But, as you say, it is illegal in the United States for a camapign committee supporting a candidate for federal office to accept money from foreign sources.

My take is that current U.S. law would have considered an ad such as Jeb's an "independent expenditure," becuase it seems to expressly advocate the election or defeat of a clearly identified candidate.

It is illegal under U.S. law for "independent expenditures" to include foreign money.

It is my sense that we ought to play by the same rules we impose on others.

I have a real problem with the United States attempting to influence foreign elections, because I know Americans would greatly resent such activity if foreigners were actively trying to influence our elections.

Quote:
Quote:That was the year Chamorro came to power.

Bush I made it clear that Nicaragua would not be receiving any aid at all from the United States until the case was discontinued.

Then why didn't they try to have it reinstated when Pres. Bush was voted out of office less than 2 months later?

I'm not an international lawyer.
06-15-2004 07:11 AM
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Schadenfreude Offline
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Post: #11
 
RebelKev Wrote:One of these days, Communism will make a comeback. :rolleyes:
I hate this thread for what it does: Make me seem like a Communist apologist.

The overarching point I'm trying to make is that people sometimes choose Communism or shades of it. Sometimes they do so through revolutions. Sometimes they do so at the ballot box. In Nicaragua's case, it appears they did so so in both forums.

There is few principles more sacred to me than the right of people to choose their leaders freely. The United States should always oppose repression and autocrats and fight for free elections.

But that principle should be applied in an even-handed manner. We should oppose right-wing autocrats just as we oppose those of the left wing -- and our history in Nicaragua does *not* reflect that even-handedness.
06-15-2004 07:32 AM
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ccs178 Offline
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Post: #12
 
Schadenfreude Wrote:
ccs178 Wrote:
Quote:The Contra army was formed by the Reagan administration to overthrow the Sandinista government. The Sandinistas were never rebels during the Reagan administration.

The Sandanistas were not democratically elected and did not hold elections until almost half-way through Reagan's administration. If you want to play on semantics then they weren't rebels in the sense of rebelling against the government, but they were far from being the legit government either. When Somoza left they took his place. Dictatorship for dictatorship. The difference? The Sandinistas tried to color it as a social movement to legitimize their assumption of power and denying the people their rights.

The Contras existed before the Reagan administration became involved. They were poorly trained, ill-equipped and barely organized, but formed on their own.

It is not semantics. The Sandinstas took power in 1979. After that point, they were no longer rebels.

Rebels or revolutionaries it doesn't matter. They were not the legitimate government. They were simply the most powerful group when Somoza left.

Schadenfreude Wrote:
Quote:
Quote:Consider the comparison with Hussein. Hussein got virtually 100 percent of the vote.

In contrast, one third of Nicaraguans voted for parties other than the Sandinistas in '84 -- and despite the boycott from certain right-wing opposition groups.

On its face, your notion that only Sandinista candidates appeared on the ballots appears a fantasy. And, in fact, I believe even the boycotting right-wingers were still on ballots for that election.

You use throw statistics around rather haphazardly. Why would you know who were on the ballots or stats for Nicaraguan elections that were held 20 years ago, but not know anything about American laws (Boland amendments) you were citing? I'd say you don't know much about either of them. Documentation?

So much of what one sees on the Internet is vociferiously pro- or anti-Sandinista. This appears reasonably neutral:

<a href='http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nicaragua_history_index.html' target='_blank'>http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nica...tory_index.html</a>

This site claims as its source the "Library of Congress Country Studies." I'm not familiar with that as a source, but I think we can assume it wasn't written by (for example) a Cuban Communist.


I've got to tell you, I don't see any smoking guns here. From what is presented here, the two key opposition objections were:

1. The election was coming too soon. (Too soon?)
2. The voting age was 16, not 18.

I don't doubt that the FSLN held enormous sway over most of the insitutions of power at that time. On the other hand, it is clear that the FSLN made a great deal of efforts to protect minorities in the system that was set up (by, for example, ensuring that losing presidential candidates had seats in the national assembly.

The key point: Most observers considered it reasonably fair.

Again, I wonder if you expected me to not read that link. Maybe you should read it again.

1. The two complaints you mentioned were concerning the specific law written by the Sandanista junta. The law was written in Mid-1984 and the election held in early November. That's not a whole lot of time to organize a campaign in a Third World nation. Especially a campaign to unseat a junta that limits freedom of speech and freedom of press.

2. When the election was over opposition groups said that the FSLN domination of government organs, mass organizations groups, and much of the media created a climate of intimidation that precluded a truly open election. Not to mention the forced relocation of the native populations and holding political prisoners.

Schadenfreude Wrote:
Quote:Go back and read that article. The British Government had no observers there and made no statements about the election. Nor does it quote "most observers." Were you not expecting anybody to actually read the link?

I didn't read it closely.

This is the link again:

<a href='http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/low/dates/stories/november/5/newsid_2538000/2538379.stm' target='_blank'>http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/low/dates/...000/2538379.stm</a>

Here is the relevant quote:

Approximately 400 independent foreign observers, including a number of Americans, were in Nicaragua to monitor proceedings.

The unofficial British election observer, Lord Chitnis, said proceedings were not perfect but he had no doubt the elections were fair.

You said the British Government declared the elections to be fair. They didn't. A British citizen in no official capacity, representing only himself, said he had no doubt the elections were fair. Were the campaigns leading up to the election fair? Were there foreign observers for that? Remember the oppostion cited the climate of intimidation created by the Sandanista junta.

Schadenfreude Wrote:
Quote:The Sandanistas tried to exploit the popularity of Somozas ouster, but almost immediately ran into resistance due to unpopular agrarian reforms, putting restrictions on the freedom of the press, the freedom to strike, holding political prisoners, and instituting an unpopular military draft. That doesn't sound like a movement with broad popular support to me.

Again, I'd point you to the election, in which they won two-thirds of the vote and two-thirds of the seats in the national assembly.

Won by abusing the power they gave themselves.

Schadenfreude Wrote:I said in my first post they weren't angels. Yes, they did place restrictions on the press at times -- although, as near as I can tell, they never assassinated newspaper editors.

I'd love to dig out Amnesty International reports on the Somoza regime and the Sandinista regime. I have seen it asserted that the the situation greatly improved under the Sandinistas. I tend to believe that.

It is commonly known as the lesser of two evils. They were a kindler, gentler dictatorship.

Schadenfreude Wrote:And, yes, the draft was unpopular. Daniel Ortega has said he believes it cost him the 1990 election. On the other hand, the decision to impose a draft was forced upon him, faced with well-financed (by the Americans) rebel armies.

Or they could've stopped oppressing the people.

Schadenfreude Wrote:But I wouldn't be so quick to assume the agrarian reforms were unpopular. Nicaragua was -- and remains -- a nation of vast poverty, and the FSLN's base was always the the rural poor.

Here is another excerpt from those Library of Congress Country Studies:

<a href='http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nicaragua_history_consolidation_of_the_revolution_1979_80.html' target='_blank'>http://workmall.com/wfb2001/nicaragua/nica...on_1979_80.html</a>

Quoting here:

The new government enacted the Agrarian Reform Law, beginning with the nationalization of all rural properties owned by the Somoza family or people associated with the Somozas, a total of 2,000 farms representing more than 20 percent of Nicaragua's cultivable land. These farms became state property under the new Ministry of Agrarian Reform. Large agroexport farms not owned by the Somozas generally were not affected by the agrarian reform. Financial institutions, all in bankruptcy from the massive capital flight during the war, were also nationalized.

First of all, think about that: One fifth of the nation's potential farmland was owned by Somoza or his family and friends.

I have my doubts that nationalizing that property and trying to get it into the hands of the rural poor was unpopular at all.

Nationalizing the land took it from the Somoza supporters and gave it to the Sandanistas. They did not redistribute the wealth. No Nicaraguan Robin Hoods here. The poor stayed poor. Again, trading one dictatorship for another.

Schadenfreude Wrote:
Quote:
Quote:(Boland Amendments) You may be right. I have not familiar with this argument.

Shouldn't you be if you are going to cite the Boland Amendments while debating?

I don't know everything. And I have news for you: Neither do you.

I never said I did know everything. I just noticed that with a little scrutiny your "facts" tend to unravel into personal opinion and glossed-over half-truths.

Schadenfreude Wrote:
Quote:
Quote:I am reasonably certain that if the President if Nicaragua were to buy a full page ad in the New York Times endorsing George W. Bush, it would be blatantly illegal.

It was Jeb Bush's ad, not Pres. Bush. President Bush was never even mentioned in the ad,

This was the headline of the ad, in giant, red capital letters:

GEORGE W. BUSH SUPPORTS ENRIQUE BOLAÑOS

Quote:but Florida was mentioned a number of times. Did Jeb do it without Pres. Bush's knowledge and approval? Certainly not, but that hardly makes it illegal. I don't know of any US law against foreign leaders expressing their support of a sitting President during an election. Accepting money from foreign contributors is a no-no, but having one stand up and simply say "He's our friend and I hope he's there next year!" is hardly illegal. Maybe you would care to enlighten us?

Election law is complex.

But, as you say, it is illegal in the United States for a camapign committee supporting a candidate for federal office to accept money from foreign sources.

My take is that current U.S. law would have considered an ad such as Jeb's an "independent expenditure," becuase it seems to expressly advocate the election or defeat of a clearly identified candidate.

It is illegal under U.S. law for "independent expenditures" to include foreign money.

It is my sense that we ought to play by the same rules we impose on others.

I have a real problem with the United States attempting to influence foreign elections, because I know Americans would greatly resent such activity if foreigners were actively trying to influence our elections.


Are you naive enough to think that it doesn't happen here?

Schadenfreude Wrote:
Quote:
Quote:That was the year Chamorro came to power.

Bush I made it clear that Nicaragua would not be receiving any aid at all from the United States until the case was discontinued.

Then why didn't they try to have it reinstated when Pres. Bush was voted out of office less than 2 months later?

I'm not an international lawyer.

So, all you know for certain is that Bush bullied them into giving up? How convenient. I guess you went as far as "republicans are evil" and then stopped reading.
06-15-2004 07:57 PM
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Schadenfreude Offline
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Post: #13
 
Quote:
Quote:It is not semantics. The Sandinstas took power in 1979. After that point, they were no longer rebels. 

Rebels or revolutionaries it doesn't matter. They were not the legitimate government. They were simply the most powerful group when Somoza left.

Okay, smart guy. Who was?

Quote:Again, I wonder if you expected me to not read that link. Maybe you should read it again.

1. The two complaints you mentioned were concerning the specific law written by the Sandanista junta. The law was written in Mid-1984 and the election held in early November. That's not a whole lot of time to organize a campaign in a Third World nation. Especially a campaign to unseat a junta that limits freedom of speech and freedom of press.

2. When the election was over opposition groups said that the FSLN domination of government organs, mass organizations groups, and much of the media created a climate of intimidation that precluded a truly open election. Not to mention the forced relocation of the native populations and holding political prisoners.

Why don't *you* start backing up your assertions with links?

And how does any of this negate the opinions of *most* observers, who concluded the election was fair?

Quote:You said the British Government declared the elections to be fair.

And, in my next post, I acknowledged that I had not read the thread closely. In other words, I was wrong. It wasn't necessarily the government.

Quote:A British citizen in no official capacity, representing only himself, said he had no doubt the elections were fair.

He was one of hundreds of people.

Quote:It is commonly known as the lesser of two evils. They were a kindler, gentler dictatorship.

Until 1984, when they won an election judged by most as fair.

Quote:
Quote:I have a real problem with the United States attempting to influence foreign elections, because I know Americans would greatly resent such activity if foreigners were actively trying to influence our elections. 


Are you naive enough to think that it doesn't happen here?

If you've got any tips for me, I'll be happy to relay them to a prosecutor or the FBI.

Quote:So, all you know for certain is that Bush bullied them into giving up?

Let me know when you come up with an alternate explanation.
06-15-2004 09:20 PM
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