Fine...if you dont like that one how about this...
At 30 Gwynn batted .309 and his batting average was under .320 for the next 2 season before he batted .358 in 1993 and an incredible .394 in the strike shortened 94 season.
Wouldnt the Padres have felt like dumbasses if they decided he wasnt worth it anymore if they let him go when he batted just ( :rolleyes: ) .309 with with a .357 OBP at age 30?
You want more examples?
Wade Boggs is the perfect example.
The Redsox thought he was through when he batted a rather lame .259 in 1992, the catch is his OBP was still a very respectable .353. He batted .302 the next season with the hated Yankees and in the strike shortened '94 season he batted .342. The Red sox clearly made a mistake in letting Boggs go, he went on to have several more very productive seaons in the majors.
Also I the reason why I brought up what Carew and Gwynn did early in their careers is because while they were much younger than Ichiro is, Ichiro still has only been in the league for 3 years. He has only been facing major league pitching for 3 years just as Carew and Gwynn for the seasons I brought up their numbers. Yes, Ichiro is 30 but his learning curve isnt the same as 30 year old players who have been in the league for 5+ years already.
Also I think the fact that Bill Mueller won the batting crown with a .326 average should factor into the argument, afterall he did finish 7th in the league in batting average.
If you want more examples of when a team possibly could have thought a player to be in decline but turned out to be wrong just let me know.