OUGwave Wrote:If they lose, it will be because they never took the swift boat attacks seriously from the start, because they believed them to be just beyond the pale of acceptability and irrelevant, and they believed it was so OBVIOUS that everyone else would see them the same way.
When they finally did realize that, "hey, some people out there actually think this stuff is relevant" and they realized they were getting killed, they overreacted.
In hindsight, the first thing they should have done at the outset was contact the group through a backchannel (direct contact is illegal) to find out what is motivating these guys. They thought this thing was a politically motivated attack, and treated it as such. But it isn't, its personal, and goes back to PERSONAL feelings of resentment these guys have towards Kerry from 1971. Once Kerry discovered that, he should have issued an apology for the insensitive parts of his testimony in 1971. After doing that, he should have said, "now, if anyone who has a problem with any my SERVICE to the military, who was THERE AT THE TIME has anything to say about me, he can meet me on Larry King tomorrow night and we'll set the record straight, once and for all."
I'm convinced that if he did that on day one, he would be fine. His campaign team are morons for not seeing that, and they deserve to be fired. These guys got complacent, and felt that they could run out the clock and waltz right into the white house. Just poor planning...no excuse for not anticipating that the guys who have resented and attacked Kerry for 30 years would let this election go by without having their say, and having it in a big way. This was all SO forseeable.
Kerry should fire every last one of his strategists. Bring in the big guns from the Clinton team. If he does it by the end of next week, he still has a chance.
The Swift Boat thing has been fodder for the cable networks, nothing more.
People are starting to focus more on the election, and taking a hard look at Kerry's record in the Senate, which in their own admission has been damn near irrelevant based on the amount of time his campaign has spent touting it.
Plus, the Republicans have done a nice job steering the debate back to terrorism, with help from the Dems. If Kerry had spent more time moving the debate towards issues in which he was getting strong numbers (i.e. the economy and health care, although only God knows why) it would've been more beneficial. Instead, he stood up there with his selected Band of Brothers, snapped off a salute...and took the debate right where President Bush wanted it to go.
If the subject is terror and keeping the U.S. safe...President Bush wins in a walk.
All along, people have been underestimating the President, when the truth is he's a genius campaigner. By taking the high road while MoveOn.org, Fatboy Moore, and the Dem Primaries were skewring him, he's seemed classy and Presidential. By calling for the removal of ALL 527s he's again taken the high road, boxing the Dems in a situation he knows they won't handle correctly because they're not morally capable of doing so.
And with carefully chosen speeches and subtly challenging Kerry's manhood, he's manipulated Kerry into saying things that in effect STRENGTHEN THE PRESIDENT - i.e. "I'd have made the same decision about Iraq regardless of WMDs", etc.
But he's an idiot, a stupid cowboy....blah, blah, blah. Based on how he's cornered Kerry, if he's an idiot...then what is the Dem nominee?
Now I'm not saying this thing is won by a long shot. Kerry has shown remarkable resiliency during previous campaigns, and Karen Hughes and company damn near blew the last election by sitting on a lead and not continuing to fight right up until the bell.
Hopefully, the Republicans won't make the same mistakes twice and we can bury Kerry by mid october.