Those NYT/Sienna polls that showed dems holdoing leads; yea, the dems privately are calling bs on those polls too.

You are not likely to have a blue wave of any kind when you have 3 senate seats on the verge of flipping blue to red.


GOP internal polling shows republicans likely holding on to 52-53 seante seats. Insider DNS pollsters are worried the public polls are too rosy for the dems.

I think you could make a ton in you were inclined on the polymarket. It skews WAY in favor of the Democrats, even more than the polls.

(10-13-2026 02:00 PM)bullet Wrote:  I think you could make a ton in you were inclined on the polymarket. It skews WAY in favor of the Democrats, even more than the polls.

I was noticing that today when I went to the Kalshi twitter site. Crazy what some of the odds are considering the polls are quite close.

Bad news on the polling front beginning to materialize in real time for the dems. Quantus Insights shows Paxton leading Talarico.

Also, the NY Sienna poll that shows Talarico leading by 4 points needs to be compared to their 2024 texas prediction. They had Trump +6 in Texas. Trump won by 14 points, so the NYT/Sienna poll had an 8 point miss in Texas in 2024. Probably why the DNC insider pollsters are starting to sound the warnings on polls like NYT/Sienna showing these leads for dem candidates, because they arent true.