I’ll put together three “sources” that are kinda saying similar things.

Flugar released his latest educated guess to where everyone standing in his Friday “Holy Smoke Theatre” update.

https://www.youtube.com/live/LK7eRF6pIEw...emKWEICdrv

Candidate tiers:
B1G
1. ND
2. UNC
3. Miami
4. uVA, Duke
5. FSU, Clemson, GT
6. Utah, Stanford
7. Kansas, Cal
8. VT, NC State

SEC
1. UNC, UVA
2. Clemson, FSU
3. Miami, NC State, VT
4. Kansas

Greg mentions the SCSA has infuriated the B1G and SEC and pushed up the time table for expansion as if a bill doesn’t get past this legislative session, there will be renewed efforts next year.


I’m surprised there’s no Duke on the SEC side. Flugar also mentioned the sec is concentrating on adding UNC and UVA, so they might be willing to add 4-6 members to accommodate everything they need.

Next up is Moen who uses his Columbus, Ohio source to get information.
Below are two videos; one is a shortened tidbit of the main points he heard this week and the other has the full conversation with jumpers to the start of that content in the comment section.

https://www.youtube.com/live/EsWbYXRtlCA...EovwXY4m6S

https://youtu.be/IDDmK4BNRBU?is=Udp3VzdPY9cJjQS1

Moen’s Ohio State source says the B1G is likely to add Miami and either Virginia or Duke (not both). He believes the SEC would also add schools from the ACC forcing Notre Dame to finally give up independence. B1G would negotiate with SCSA lawmakers to push up the conference membership number cap from 19/20 to 22 in order to show good faith negotiations and also put real pressure on ND to join them. So it sounds like Miami, Virginia, Notre Dame, + whoever ND wants is the chalk from Columbus.

The other “source” I’ll reference is the Florida State Money Perch. He’s a big Donor that has been repeatedly accurate over the years.

https://www.youtube.com/live/9VOwxt7a1kE...oy_6qEO57Q

This is older material, 3-4 weeks, but the highlights were FSU intermediaries are constantly talking to UNC intermediaries. FSU may need UNC to pull the trigger to get SEC to invite Seminoles. Governor DeSantos has greased the skids for UF, money and suppport, to get UF to push for FSU. DeSantos also was active to remove/alter the bill for the SEC, hoping for some quid pro quo. A quick strike could happen if bill goes to the floor for a vote. This would halt any conference expansion. SEC would want to quickly add new members now before bill could progress to house and finally signed into law by the President. FSU knows they were told to be prepared for this quick strike if SEC decides to act, as well as Clemson and Virginia Tech.


There should be links to the relevant content in the videos in the comment sections. So if I were to guess who the likeliest additions were going to be based on these videos and information:
B1G: Miami and Virginia
SEC: FSU, Clemson, VT, UNC, (NC State, Kansas if NCSU required)
Final wave:
B1G: ND, +1

Let me know what you think.

(07-25-2026 05:18 PM)murrdcu Wrote:  I’ll put together three “sources” that are kinda saying similar things.

Flugar released his latest educated guess to where everyone standing in his Friday “Holy Smoke Theatre” update.

https://www.youtube.com/live/LK7eRF6pIEw...emKWEICdrv

Candidate tiers:
B1G
1. ND
2. UNC
3. Miami
4. uVA, Duke
5. FSU, Clemson, GT
6. Utah, Stanford
7. Kansas, Cal
8. VT, NC State

SEC
1. UNC, UVA
2. Clemson, FSU
3. Miami, NC State, VT
4. Kansas

Greg mentions the SCSA has infuriated the B1G and SEC and pushed up the time table for expansion as if a bill doesn’t get past this legislative session, there will be renewed efforts next year.


I’m surprised there’s no Duke on the SEC side. Flugar also mentioned the sec is concentrating on adding UNC and UVA, so they might be willing to add 4-6 members to accommodate everything they need.

Next up is Moen who uses his Columbus, Ohio source to get information.
Below are two videos; one is a shortened tidbit of the main points he heard this week and the other has the full conversation with jumpers to the start of that content in the comment section.

https://www.youtube.com/live/EsWbYXRtlCA...EovwXY4m6S

https://youtu.be/IDDmK4BNRBU?is=Udp3VzdPY9cJjQS1

Moen’s Ohio State source says the B1G is likely to add Miami and either Virginia or Duke (not both). He believes the SEC would also add schools from the ACC forcing Notre Dame to finally give up independence. B1G would negotiate with SCSA lawmakers to push up the conference membership number cap from 19/20 to 22 in order to show good faith negotiations and also put real pressure on ND to join them. So it sounds like Miami, Virginia, Notre Dame, + whoever ND wants is the chalk from Columbus.

The other “source” I’ll reference is the Florida State Money Perch. He’s a big Donor that has been repeatedly accurate over the years.

https://www.youtube.com/live/9VOwxt7a1kE...oy_6qEO57Q

This is older material, 3-4 weeks, but the highlights were FSU intermediaries are constantly talking to UNC intermediaries. FSU may need UNC to pull the trigger to get SEC to invite Seminoles. Governor DeSantos has greased the skids for UF, money and suppport, to get UF to push for FSU. DeSantos also was active to remove/alter the bill for the SEC, hoping for some quid pro quo. A quick strike could happen if bill goes to the floor for a vote. This would halt any conference expansion. SEC would want to quickly add new members now before bill could progress to house and finally signed into law by the President. FSU knows they were told to be prepared for this quick strike if SEC decides to act, as well as Clemson and Virginia Tech.


There should be links to the relevant content in the videos in the comment sections. So if I were to guess who the likeliest additions were going to be based on these videos and information:
B1G: Miami and Virginia
SEC: FSU, Clemson, VT, UNC, (NC State, Kansas if NCSU required)
Final wave:
B1G: ND, +1

Let me know what you think.

I think they are just spit-balling to try to keep his viewership up. Those have pretty much remained the schools of interest. I don't really see 22 for any of us. I can see 20 or 24.

The Big Ten needs 2 to the West to cut travel for those schools considerably and to restore some rivalries. I expect to see that. They want into Florida and Miami is their best bet. Virginia is not Southern in culture and is now decidedly Beltway in their view of the world. So there's 22 for the Big Ten. Notre Dame if they join would be 24. Where they get 23 could be Duke, Colorado, for more of a bridge West, perhaps an Arizona school to make things contiguous again (other than Miami).

The SEC would be looking FSU /UNC or Kansas to 18. FSU & Clemson to 20, the other of UNC/Kansas to 21 with perhaps Virginia Tech & Duke to 23. What next? Georgia Tech, N.C State, Louisville? I think the other Arizona would be too far.

For the Big Ten Miami would slip into a new East including Virginia.

But keep in mind until they know for sure what the Senate might ask for, in the very unlikely event that bill gets even voted on in the Senate, they may decide to take the two for the SEC and stay under the proposed cap and if the Senate doesn't vote on the Bill in September, or it fails, then come back and secure what they want in one final move each. U.S. Law cannot be enacted on a person or entity ex post facto.

If Virginia Heads north look for UNC to push for Duke to travel with them here.

(07-25-2026 07:34 PM)JRsec Wrote:  

(07-25-2026 05:18 PM)murrdcu Wrote:  I’ll put together three “sources” that are kinda saying similar things.

Flugar released his latest educated guess to where everyone standing in his Friday “Holy Smoke Theatre” update.

https://www.youtube.com/live/LK7eRF6pIEw...emKWEICdrv

Candidate tiers:
B1G
1. ND
2. UNC
3. Miami
4. uVA, Duke
5. FSU, Clemson, GT
6. Utah, Stanford
7. Kansas, Cal
8. VT, NC State

SEC
1. UNC, UVA
2. Clemson, FSU
3. Miami, NC State, VT
4. Kansas

Greg mentions the SCSA has infuriated the B1G and SEC and pushed up the time table for expansion as if a bill doesn’t get past this legislative session, there will be renewed efforts next year.


I’m surprised there’s no Duke on the SEC side. Flugar also mentioned the sec is concentrating on adding UNC and UVA, so they might be willing to add 4-6 members to accommodate everything they need.

Next up is Moen who uses his Columbus, Ohio source to get information.
Below are two videos; one is a shortened tidbit of the main points he heard this week and the other has the full conversation with jumpers to the start of that content in the comment section.

https://www.youtube.com/live/EsWbYXRtlCA...EovwXY4m6S

https://youtu.be/IDDmK4BNRBU?is=Udp3VzdPY9cJjQS1

Moen’s Ohio State source says the B1G is likely to add Miami and either Virginia or Duke (not both). He believes the SEC would also add schools from the ACC forcing Notre Dame to finally give up independence. B1G would negotiate with SCSA lawmakers to push up the conference membership number cap from 19/20 to 22 in order to show good faith negotiations and also put real pressure on ND to join them. So it sounds like Miami, Virginia, Notre Dame, + whoever ND wants is the chalk from Columbus.

The other “source” I’ll reference is the Florida State Money Perch. He’s a big Donor that has been repeatedly accurate over the years.

https://www.youtube.com/live/9VOwxt7a1kE...oy_6qEO57Q

This is older material, 3-4 weeks, but the highlights were FSU intermediaries are constantly talking to UNC intermediaries. FSU may need UNC to pull the trigger to get SEC to invite Seminoles. Governor DeSantos has greased the skids for UF, money and suppport, to get UF to push for FSU. DeSantos also was active to remove/alter the bill for the SEC, hoping for some quid pro quo. A quick strike could happen if bill goes to the floor for a vote. This would halt any conference expansion. SEC would want to quickly add new members now before bill could progress to house and finally signed into law by the President. FSU knows they were told to be prepared for this quick strike if SEC decides to act, as well as Clemson and Virginia Tech.


There should be links to the relevant content in the videos in the comment sections. So if I were to guess who the likeliest additions were going to be based on these videos and information:
B1G: Miami and Virginia
SEC: FSU, Clemson, VT, UNC, (NC State, Kansas if NCSU required)
Final wave:
B1G: ND, +1

Let me know what you think.

I think they are just spit-balling to try to keep his viewership up. Those have pretty much remained the schools of interest. I don't really see 22 for any of us. I can see 20 or 24.

The Big Ten needs 2 to the West to cut travel for those schools considerably and to restore some rivalries. I expect to see that. They want into Florida and Miami is their best bet. Virginia is not Southern in culture and is now decidedly Beltway in their view of the world. So there's 22 for the Big Ten. Notre Dame if they join would be 24. Where they get 23 could be Duke, Colorado, for more of a bridge West, perhaps an Arizona school to make things contiguous again (other than Miami).

The SEC would be looking FSU /UNC or Kansas to 18. FSU & Clemson to 20, the other of UNC/Kansas to 21 with perhaps Virginia Tech & Duke to 23. What next? Georgia Tech, N.C State, Louisville? I think the other Arizona would be too far.

For the Big Ten Miami would slip into a new East including Virginia.

But keep in mind until they know for sure what the Senate might ask for, in the very unlikely event that bill gets even voted on in the Senate, they may decide to take the two for the SEC and stay under the proposed cap and if the Senate doesn't vote on the Bill in September, or it fails, then come back and secure what they want in one final move each. U.S. Law cannot be enacted on a person or entity ex post facto.

If Virginia Heads north look for UNC to push for Duke to travel with them here.

I personally don’t think the bill gets voted on this summer. In that case, the SEC waits for North Carolina to jump through their BOG hoops and once clear to leave, the SEC expands with them, FSU, Clemson and one more. VT if politics allows or Duke at UNC’s request (and probably ESpN’s).